Successfully secured a series of structural steel projects collectively worth ~RM172.2m in the Middle East and India.
Details of the projects are:
(1) Dana Island complex in Doha and substructure portion for the connectivity to Lusail City Development, Qatar;
(2) Facility for International Airport in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia,
(3) Entertainment centre and architectural landmark in Dubai;
(4) Grand mosque in Al Ain, Abu Dhabi, and
(5) Sky bridge in Kolkata, India
Comments 1st major announcement win… The collection of contracts secured is a welcomed development for Eversendai after failing to meet its annual order book replenishment target of RM1.5bn over the past 2 years whereby only RM669m worth of projects was secured for FY13.
Decent size... The latest orders are of significant size as it represents 15.7% of Eversendai’s previous outstanding order book of RM1.1bn and 17.8% of FY13’s revenue.
Earnings visibility… Estimated outstanding order book has been lifted slightly to RM1.27bn, translating to 1.3x FY13’s revenue.
Risks Execution risk; Regulatory and political risk; Rising raw material prices; Unexpected downturn in the construction cycle; and Sharp fluctuation in forex.
Forecasts FY14 earnings slashed by 32.8% to RM66.5m (8.6 sen/share), mainly due to slower execution progress for its projects and lower margin assumption while introducing FY15 earnings forecast.
Rating HOLD
Too much expectation for earnings growth and contract flows have been priced in Eversendai’s share price and it will take earnings recovery in the subsequent quarters to regain back investors’ confidence. Hence, we are maintaining our HOLD call on the company until signs of improvement.
Valuation Target Price reduced by 21.1% to RM1.01 from RM1.28 previously as we rollover Eversendai’s valuation based on unchanged 10x FY15 earnings.
Source: Hong Leong Investment Bank Research - 30 Apr 2014
News Eversendai announced that it has secured a string of contracts for structural steel projects with a total worth estimated at RM172.2m from the Middle East and India. Amongst the steel structures (i.e. design, supply, fabrication and erection of steel) projects awarded are: (i) complex on Dana Island and Lusail City Development in Doha, Qatar, (ii) facility for the International Airport in Jeddah, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, (iii) entertainment centre and architectural landmark in Dubai, (iv) grand mosque in Al Ain, Abu Dhabi, and (v) a sky bridge in Kolkata, India. These projects are expected to complete by end-2014 – 2015.
Comments While we were not entirely surprised with the news as the amount of contracts falls within our assumed orderbook of RM1.0b this year, these contracts will boost its orderbook by +18% to RM1.3b from RM1.1b previously which will last for at least the next 2 years.
Assuming a 12% pre-tax margin, these contracts will contribute RM10m per annum to bottom line.
Outlook Based on our recent conversation with the management recently, the Group reaffirmed that it will secure more than RM1.0b new contracts this year.
Eversendai is eyeing more steel structural jobs in the Middle East, particularly in Commonwealth Independent States (CIS) countries such as Azerbaijan. It has already secured one project in the country last year (a 41-storey office tower in Crescent City project). Other than that, Eversendai is sanguine about Dubai hosting the World Expo in 2020. There will be more convention centres to be built there and hence opportunities for steel-structural market leaders such as Eversendai.
As for its O&G segment, we have yet to see significant O&G contract flows for the Group. Nonetheless, the management remains hopeful to secure some contracts from the sector in the Middle East and Petronas’ RAPID projects.
Forecast Relatively unchanged.
Rating Maintain MARKET PERFORM
We are maintaining our MARKET PERFORM rating on Eversendai at this juncture due to the stock’s limited upside.
Nonetheless, we may consider upgrading the stock if Eversendai could secure a higher level of contract sums than our assumptions.
Valuation Revised to RM1.18 from RM0.99 as we roll-over our valuation benchmark to FY15 based on unchanged fwd-PER of 9x.
Risks to Our Call Better progress in construction projects
I think better to make exit from Sendai. Already May'14, they have landed only RM170 million of the over RM1 billion worth of projects they have forecasted to win this year. This is not good news noting that almost mid-way through the year.
sookfun, your average was below 1.02?? I've not sell any. My average is way too high and I do not want to make losses in a good and potential counter. Will wait for a while more which I felt in this month or next it will move its way up that I can at least get back my invested capital and profit from it too.
Sendai is fundamentally a strong Company, however there are not too many ppl interested in buying. Hope they can land more big projects they are bidding which could return the interest in this counter.
Construction: PNB calls pre-qualification tender for Warisan Merdeka. Permodalan Nasional Bhd (PNB) has called for pre-qualification tender for the construction of the 118-storey tower, Warisan Merdeka. It has invited local and foreign contractors with the experience in constructing tall buildings to bid for the main contractor role in the development. (Source: The Edge Daily)
Market sentiment this week is week but would presume slightly better next week in my opinion. I think it takes a week or 2 for Sendai to regain its composure and start of again, hence, is still very vague on how far up it can or will go. All these projects' tender are only for us to hope and be optimistic, however, we still need to be careful and now be carried away with false hope. Let's keep our finger crossed guys.
Price up now but low volume will not keep the price at this level for long. Only positive news on the project tenders will give it a firm push up. To review in a week or 2, meanwhile keep this counter in cold storage.
Over Dh11bn Sharjah contracts Meed says 188 active major projects worth Dh60bn in Sharjah By Staff Published Wednesday, May 14, 2014 New project pipeline shows significant growth prospects in Sharjah with Dh11 billion worth of projects to be awarded in the emirate by the end of this year, according to forecast by Meed.
Major project awarded in Sharjah in the two years to the end of 2013 were almost Dh19 billion, three times the rate of the previous two-year period to the end of 2011.
If Sharjah major contract awards reach Dh11 billion for 2014 that would represent a 25 per cent increase on major contract signings last year.
“Sharjah is just beginning to capitalize on its earlier investments in Hamriyah Free Zone and Khorfakkan,” said Julian Herbert, Director of Meed Projects in the consultancy’s report. “Based on economic growth and growth in the population of the UAE as a whole, this emphasis on the processing of recyclable materials and manufacturing, positions Sharjah well to grow in tandem with the UAE.”
Overall it is currently tracking some 188 active major projects in Sharjah, which are either planned or underway. The total value of these projects is almost Dh60 billion.
The bulk of these contracts are in the power and water, industrial, transport, infrastructure, construction, public works and environment sectors.
Sector projects
In power and water, underway and planned projects total over Dh3 billion. Projects include power generation and distribution and reservoirs and pumping stations.
In other sectors, some of the major projects it said were awarded in the first quarter of 2014 include Dh350 million by Dana Gas for the Zora gas field and some Dh740 million of private sector real estate projects.
Looking further ahead, it has identified almost Dh22 billion of major projects that are already slated to be awarded in Sharjah by 2018 across all sectors. About half of these contracts are expected to be awarded in the construction sector, and a third in transport as Sharjah makes major investments in its infrastructure. The consultancy also pinpointed waste management, recycling and waste-to-energy projects as particular sources of growth.
The report looked at all projects in the emirate with a value of over Dh18.3 million ($5 million).
Sharjah is regarded as the industrial and manufacturing centre of the United Arab Emirates, with 19 industrial zones and two thriving free zones.
At Al Hamriya Freezone, projects worth a total of more than Dh1.5 billion are underway by companies including Lamprell, Quality International, Eversendai Engineering, Emirates Techno Casting, and Hazel Middle East. Al Hamriya Freezone is specialised in bulk and heavy infrastructure.
In addition to heavy industry and trade Sharjah is focused on developing its tourism infrastructure, renewable energies and healthcare sectors.
Sharjah is building new tourist resorts throughout the Emirate and applying to Unesco to list the Heart of Sharjah historical area as a UNESCO World Heritage Site.
Renewable energy sources being used currently include wind and geothermal. Sharjah has also developed Al-Saj’ah as one of the largest waste management plants in the world.
Meanwhile Sharjah recently disclosed that it is nearing completion on 21 projects to mark its year as Islamic Capital of Culture at a value of nearly Dh1.5 billion. The projects include building new universities, monuments, Islamic parks, traditional markets, museums and libraries, as well as scientific and architectural buildings.
Technics Oil and Gas consortium bags $166m contract to set up gas facility
PUBLISHED ON MAY 14, 2014 11:04 AM 0 1 0 0
BY RENNIE WHANG SINGAPORE - Technics Oil and Gas and its Middle East partner have received a letter of award to set up a $166 million gas processing facility in South Asia.
The mainboard-listed firm said on Wednesday that the contract includes two years of operations and maintenance for the facility.
The contract is not expected to have positive material impact on the earnings per share for the financial year ending September 2014, the firm said.
It holds a 70 per cent stake in the consortium while its partner holds the remaining 30 per cent.
Profit decrease 56% compare last year q1 report... Emm, but AK say this year will be better than last year.. Hold sampai tahun depanlah nampaknya.. @_@"
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Teh_Invest
475 posts
Posted by Teh_Invest > 2014-04-24 17:12 | Report Abuse
Wow.. I thought Kenneth you went off and left sendai for good.