zlyc bro. i will keep. i keep them all... :-) and wait till 2018... or beyond... i will treat the free warrants as an "ESOS" and only exercise them when i need ... got 5 years life period :-) so target 2020 lah :-) 5 years very fast will pass by...
the potential of this company is very very bright. overseas expansion and clinching contracts to build and lease = recurring income for many many years to come...
this one hopefully will be my golden goose... to lay golden eggs for years to come...
that's my plan :-) what about you bro? did u manage to pinjam the $$ and subscribed to all your allocations? :-)
FY14 - 16.3m, FY 15 (TTM) - 20m vs RHB forecast in July for FY 15 - 33m. It appears that RHB forecast is too optimistic, i.e. that the profit comes in sooner than later. More importantly, OCK is a growth stock, the 33m profit will be achieved, perhaps in one or two years later. The important part is OCK can achieve it, and also sustain the earnings.
Looks OK, potential of earnings is visible (RI lately with W). Upside is good, with TP about RM1.00-1.20. This is a DELAY performance, not a major issue. Can seriously consider.
Wow. Initial 12 years with an option to renew 3x 5 years. = 27 years? This redefines the word long term. Ock target 3000 towers in the next 5 years. Taking a conservative target of 1000 towers for the next 4x 5years, it may end up owning 7000 towers build n leased back to telenor. Recurring income. Sweet. U can already imagine next year revenue for the 920 towers to be done by 2016.
Market watcher bro, nvm if you are a long term holder. If short term traders, bad perhaps. Have a look at how UncleZ views PE, perhaps this will open up a view from a different perspective :
Common market sentiment when new warrant is listed.. Mother goes down while son going up... Supposedly because shareholders are selling mother to collect more warrants by ratio. Most of time this activity will be self corrected come the next trading days onwards.. I still FEEL GOOD!!!!!!!
I just sell all my warrants and change to mother share.....have to keep for long term.Just fyi,myanmar has 3 telco company ie MPT ,telenor and ooredoo.population is more than 60 million...so you can compare to malaysia...
Zoomboom... My take is to seize any opportunities to grab the warrants before it joins the mother to move north based in the company superb performance. I may have to risk some of my mother shares to be in this position but my thought is more on expanding by holding position before the expiry period of the warrants comes near. 5 years to me is a long opportunity period given to share a bigger profit margin with the assumption that the son will follow the mother for any price movement and in this case since I have a lot of confidence with the company the share price is predicted to move up during that period. Of course I am not going to convert all of the mother shares in hold to warrants.. Just some portion of the already tiny portion currently on hold for long term... Not so sure if this is a good strategy considering the risk premium of about 25 cents associated with it but I am willing to try my luck as I believe the premium will stay more or less the same with the consideration that it is the factor built in the warrant price at the moment for the 5 year grace period given before the warrants become useless without conversion. Who knows what the mother price will be during that 5 years with all the exciting income generated from the overseas projects the company is involved in currently and the possible chance to further expand its business with the excess fund it generated from the recent right issues. I FEEL GOOD.
sosfinance bro, read your write up on OCK. For the 9mths, it's already hitting 20mil. For Q4, traditionally telco players will ramp up site build and players like OCK will benefit. I won't be surprised if the Q4 report will be good. Remember the recent local players 4GLTE "war"? In any case, OCK will end the year with a bang as it will be the highest revenue and profit yearly to date.
Masinnya bro, I guess there is no absolute right or wrong strategy. So long as it fits the respective individual investing risk appetite and how fast he or she want to taste the rewards it should be fine.
Wishing everyone a merry Christmas and happy holidays!
In my personal opinion I would classify this share as a solid long term growth share. You need to be very patient as it will take time for the price of the share to reflect the potential of the share. Not suitable for someone who wants a quick gain.
ND087 bro, you are most welcome. I am basically just sharing what I interpret from publicly available data, and also my short experience in share investment. do also have a read on UncleZ's earlier blog postings, I have learnt quite a lot from his experience sharing.
If you are a long term holder, make sure u don't borrow or have margin calls, then u can have peace of mind even if the share price volatility is huge. FairTalk bro has a rational explanation too - you need patience to unlock the true value of this stock.
I believe Q4 results will be an icing on the cake for OCK's 2015 full year financial results. Let's continue to see how it unfolds...
ND087.. I hope my strategy will work. So far the trading vol. recorded for the warrants and mother shares is still healthy with more interest seen on the warrants. However.. It is also frustrating to observe that the share prices of both are being pressed down..... I guess.. Maybe SOMEONE is still not finish collecting the shares esp the warrants... Hence trying to create some fear in the chicken feed investors like myself about holding on to the small portion of the shares.. and in responding to the situation will willingly throw away his/her holdings with some small profit already in the pockets. For now..... I am still holding my patience not to succumb to the pressure and still positive with my hope to cherish the expected exciting moments to come in the future of this company.
The journey up should start from here.. The BIG players have had enuf FUN collecting cheaply recently and I think now is the time to GO.. I am still holding my tiny holdings tightly and manage to add and convert some recently.. Hope that my strategy is working... I AM FEELING GOOD !!!!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
zoomboom
2,168 posts
Posted by zoomboom > 2015-12-17 11:07 | Report Abuse
this stock very nice punya. always give opportunity to collect before it start to fly.... UncleZ very pandai, nicknamed it old man lol....
can see the accumulation going on :-)
stay calm. stay focused. keep steady.