O&G is eventually going to disengage from DJIA & KLCI. Becos these do not really dictate the profitability of O&G. O&G is not like infrastructure, construction, manufacturing etc. The major impactor for O&G is only oil price.
No, it's not a wet dream, Nicholas. Becos Reach is on a real turnaround, with production steadily growing. Just two months ago, if someone said Reach can hit 52 in October, you'd hv told them it's a so called 'wet dream'. But now, no more. It did that a few days ago.
This year is not like 2013 - 2014. That time oil was already at peak. This time, it's just beginning an upsurge. And there is also no danger of Saudi-OPEC making another stupid-ridiculous-suicidal price dropping strategy. They hv already learnt their painful lesson, big time. The conditions are completely different.
Now guys are talking US$100 oil. Pretty soon, they'll be talking US$110. You don't believe me, you just wait & see.
Perhaps Saudi-OPEC was conned by the Americans into that idiotic, high prod low price strategy, that time. Maybe the Yanks told them that their rivals like Russia wud be hit & injured, when in actual fact it was the Americans who gained the most from cheap oil.
Oil prices must not go up too fast. This will have negative impart on global economies and will resulted in reduce demand for oil. It is best for Brent to stabilise at 75-85 pb. However, EM, Dow and HSI must also stabilise. This will be good for ALL.
Yesterday's DJ drop of 200+ was less than 1%. Reach should not hv dropped 5%. Complete over-reaction. Panic selling by contra players mostly, quite likely. Especially when Brent is now going so strong.
No need to track DJ or oil price everyday. Just calculate it earnings based on 70usd and at 3k barrel and you can tell what is the fair value for evry qtr coming.
Oil price still good ie rangebound 75-85, Dow just a little correction which is good. Lets see next week trading especially Shanghai Index after a week long holiday.
if DJIA continue to drop on Monday... for sure REACH going to drop another 5% again.. For those earning profit should sell it and wait it back to 40s and re accumulate again.
liar or fact... inside everybody heart will know it... as usual.. thats human being... when buy a share drop from profit to lose, u holding then u said u are long term holder.. when u buy n shoot for profit then u said u are speculator play short term.. This is the market!! sometime no need to study and we did have some common sense too.. especially the market now we all can see.. holding cash is the power now..
no doubt.. yesterday DJIA drop another 180++ index again.. u see la.. Monday definitely again red sea.. can run better run.. those doing contra all lose badly.. the market is really no good.. why still be stubborn keep for it when u have profit now?? If the market turn bull again, we always can enter again n seek for better prospect
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
pang72
51,510 posts
Posted by pang72 > 2018-10-05 17:00 | Report Abuse
Correction come!!