It will lose the time value as time goes, moving to the true value. the chance to go up is maybe after US interest up on Dec 2015, but it is a bit late to play HK.
i understand why people afraid of FBMKLCI-HK...because 'window dressing'...which i take reverse thinking method..due to strong move..so this year no window dressing....if it happen..its just minimal..perhaps..really2 1-2 trading days at the end of the year which not much..no worries..different people different views..but one thing for sure..once MYR/USD break RM 4.40-4.45..the will be some 'excitement' on this instrument..:)
That +0.41 is artificial.....its x about 1MDB now. Its about the reluctance MYR/USD to stabilise around 4.10-4.15..and crude around USD 45-48..The real challenge now is how our reserve to sustain its impressive "foreign inflows" within next 2-3 weeks if MYR/USD climb back to 4.40 n worst still if it created new high at 4.50-4.55 by mid DEC instead of 3.90 for earlier forecast n projected figure.
If China GDP is just about 6%..that's mean ours is about 4.5% n with USA people cautiously spending n slightly increased in interest rates will dampened our exports next year even though the theme now "looks good with MYR depreciation" boost our exports. But we x realised that the majority consumers of USA who took mortgage still *cautiously spending" hehehehehe..therefore..HK still has chance to achieved if not 20sen...15sen...:)..
I just check HG counter, the expired date is closer but the price is done at 0.17 only which exercise price is 1800 (impossible to hit).. surprised the price is so low and worried abt this counter =.=lll
Supergeng... HG expiring very soon so the price stick close to intrinsic value [(1800-1686)/667] = 0.17... HK expire later so will giv some room to speculate...
Kennyrid explanation is absolutely right. Yes kakashi u r right. This week theme for DJIA is COMMENT FROM FOMC BOARD MEMBERS..one of them is already using BUBBLE he hehehe...I m just a novice..hehehe..the way I look at it the whole scenario...if it follow the similar trend this TURNING POINTS OR TOUCH POINTS will only be bottom after 250 points to smack down for FBMKLCI which I x know when will be that FINAL BOTTOM...wallahuallam..(yes there will be technical rebound here n there but its just a beginning for AN END)
Oil price drops below 40, our economy will not collapse. Private sectors will be benefiting from low oil and commodities price. BN government who has an excessive civil servants and high operating expenses will be in trouble; that's why GST comes in to mitigate the reduction of oil incomes. I guess that this is part of USA strategy to lower down oil and commodities price in order for corporate/enterprises making more profit and revive back the economy.
If usd strengthen, how private sectors will be benefiting from low oil and commodities price? This is the reason we still pump ron 95 at high price even oil price drop from usd 110 to usd 47 now
Ringgit once almost hit RM5/usd and the worst part was most of our corporate's debt were in USD in 1998. We are now in better shape than 1998.If then our economy did not tank, why now? Manufacturing exports should get a boost, aided by a weaker exchange rate and higher growth in the United States. Tour sectors will be benefiting also with weaker ringgit. Don't you see those export companies's stock price are spiraling up? Modest negative impact on GDP is expected, priority for government is to tackle leakages and corruption as well as addressing the quality human capital, to put the country on a sustainable growth path.
Sayakamiyuki, for debt we can't do anything. Because government handling one. It just see whether ff will run away or not. As per pristine68, Malaysia got many local fund support, it just see whether the local fund can support when all ff take out the fund or not.
Sayakamiyuki,why you alwiz said our country bad bad bad???and wait it to collapse??you really wanna to see our country in economic crisis?? The only reason is you hold a large number of put w....forget it!!! Put and call no interest oledi....just accept your failure and move forward.....our epf is superb brilliant and they have investment on foreign country!!oil loss is covered back by gst!!!!can't you understand?? It will take some maybe to see our economic slowdown!but till it comes, the put will london dead!!! Do you know how many suffered from hk and hg and other h like w,v....they are still hoping!!!so far the index won't have big move and if there is, it will up only!!accept!
Sayakamiyuki,I've read that report, there is a risk but is not as serious as in 1998; I would say it's ~30% of it. Ong, don't put your words too hard, anything can happen in stock market. Your parents will be sad if that happens.
Hi ong lie chin. I understand that you hold a lot of call warrant. That the reason you can't accept the market to collapse. I wait for you to jump from klcc.
Kekeke...as I mention, call warrant oso people dun wan play...so ....saki...you r sosohoissssss.....c12...where got people want???I represent a neutral view....if the market will collapse,it will collapse during that 1530plus moment !!!!again,retard!!just see aj and fm as examples la...they are the pioneers in this...and will run first!!!
Sayakamiyuki, everybody's life is precious, watch your virtues. Bank Negara Malaysia figures(March 31 this year), slightly more than 90% of the government’s foreign debt was in ringgit at RM160.24 billion, with US dollar denominated debt at RM12.47 billion then and yen debt at RM4.76 billion.
HAhaha, ong lie chin...cakap besar hor...if klse cross 1620 u jump?? Don't talk nonsense la.. 1620 is not even a strong support and you cant even tell tomorrow go up or down. Nonsense.
Overall, macro economy does seems bad. Emerging currency drop, Oil drop, China massive slow down, Europe neutral even after huge stimulus... Even US banks are not doing well...and Feds going to raise rate this year or next. so, its just a matter of time.
Having said that, many countries had taken steps to ensure economy does not spiral down. Europe potential stimulus in Dec, US hike rates means economy is getting stronger, China announce steps to encourage growth, and Malaysia using GST to support losses on oil revenue and 20bil value cap.
So, back to value investing. Invest in good companies and let it grow. Less heart attack at night when Dow go up or down
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
klee
3,525 posts
Posted by klee > 2015-11-07 12:30 | Report Abuse
Drop everyday.