Bear and Bull are easily predictable by the MA/SMA
While correction can be base on counter or KLCI. Normally correction is shorter compared to bear.
Now the difficult one is determining crash because a crash is not a normal phenomenon just like earthquake. This is because a crash does not follow a bear movement and neither a correction in its finest characteristic. It does not follow sma or % of upside prior to correction however it does have a trademark.
The trademark being similar to a major earthquake!!!! Where there will be many small and mini earthquake leading to a major one.
This in OUR case is man made coupled with other market forces will determine the push down. How can something crash you ask? Our KLCI was at 17XX hammered down to 16XX and hammered further to 15XX. If it goes to 14XX a momentum would hv build up and 13XX would gather much natural force to plunge it further. So if you see 14XX ie 300 point hammering over a short period, be ready!!!!
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11 comment(s).Last comment by apanama 2015-08-18 19:06
I see a meltdown coming. Everyone trying to survive by lifting their head above the water and HOPING the water will subside. But look at it this way, it is not whether it will subside or not but when is the next wave hammering the coast. So in short, those trying to get rebound will definitely drown in the next wave and the next as they are already holding for awhile while those fresh one buying in after the crash will be fresher and holding at lower cost
1. Rise in US interest rate. Ringgit will further depreciate. 2. China slow down, commodity prices will remain soft. 3. Political uncertainty - Najis's struggling to survive will continue, opposition and Tun will not let it go easily. 4. 1MDB will NOT able to be "resolved" due to weak economy and loan in US dollar.. 5. Europe will not able recover if China & emerging market economy are weak.. 6. Japan economy is contracting....and....etc....
Go financial crisis or not? 1997 financial crisis and 2008 financial crisis. But now we have interest rate crisis only, means us economy improving right? Shanghai stock market was only 2200 less than a year ago, but correction at 3748 create global panic? So much fear so much panic but no crisis. Normal lar China going into slowdown but no crisis. Only here we got crisis, najib crisis, aiyah, wait lar another 3 years for election. Aiyah, so many kacheong only lar
Its normal during 2 term. Bottom up 1 year and half before election. As market need to be in bear market first before we talk about recession..after recession..we talk about deflation. Hahaha..the more panic the crowd the merrier as the rich will be more richer..the poor will be more poorer..the cake is small now. Last time BN..no opposition. Opposition just Lim Kit Siang. Hadi Awang. Now..more oppositions and more BN too. Hehe..everywhere now 'profit margin' so small. Hehehe..pondan pun terpaksa bersaing..inikan pula..yg tak pondan..hehe..:)
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Posted by Red_Sonja > 2015-08-18 14:47 | Report Abuse
Bear and Bull are easily predictable by the MA/SMA While correction can be base on counter or KLCI. Normally correction is shorter compared to bear. Now the difficult one is determining crash because a crash is not a normal phenomenon just like earthquake. This is because a crash does not follow a bear movement and neither a correction in its finest characteristic. It does not follow sma or % of upside prior to correction however it does have a trademark. The trademark being similar to a major earthquake!!!! Where there will be many small and mini earthquake leading to a major one. This in OUR case is man made coupled with other market forces will determine the push down. How can something crash you ask? Our KLCI was at 17XX hammered down to 16XX and hammered further to 15XX. If it goes to 14XX a momentum would hv build up and 13XX would gather much natural force to plunge it further. So if you see 14XX ie 300 point hammering over a short period, be ready!!!!