Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-02-02 11:13 | Report Abuse

1) DJIA, S&P500 & Nasdaq = average up by 8% ~ 10% YTD

2) Russell 200 = average up by 11% YTD

3) Europe Zone (Germany, France & Londong ) = average up by 4.50% ~ 6.50% YTD

4) Asia market = average up by 4% ~ 9% YTD (Best performance are Hang Seng Index by 9.08% & KOSPI by 8.71%)


** Majority index are up up up form Jan 2019

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-02-02 11:16 | Report Abuse

Maybe any experts or Economist or Analysts can view their voice, is it BEAR market rally??

OR

Is it super bull before market crisis or recession come??

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-02-02 11:19 | Report Abuse

China Economy - Another number paints a bleak picture of manufacturing in China

The Caixin/Markit Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) came in at 48.3 in January, compared to 49.7 in December. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected the Caixin PMI to be 49.5 last month.

It was the second-consecutive month of contraction and the lowest reading since 2016.


^^^ What can you foresee Feb19 PMI for China?? Since only short month of real working day, any possible drop below 48???

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-02-02 11:23 | Report Abuse

Most of the investors / Fund managers / market retailers are buying the hope, investing by hopeful & betting the hope

In fact the real Data produced by major BIG economy are indicating ugly performance

Once people really realise the fact, I foresee market heavily & panic heading south

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-02-02 11:33 | Report Abuse

Gold price silently moving up from $ 1186 (08/10/18) to $ 1328 (01/02/19)

Did you realise when market turbulence near the corner, Gold price definitely moving convergence upward against the global market??

Posted by Keyman188 > 2019-02-02 11:50 | Report Abuse

Bond King Jeffrey Gundlach says we just got 'the most recessionary signal' yet
(Published 3:18 PM ET Tue, 29 Jan 2019 Updated 5:21 PM ET Tue, 29 Jan 2019)

~ Consumer confidence at present remains strong, but future expectations are plummeting, according to the Conference Board's latest readings.

~ Such wide gaps often portend significant economic slowdowns ahead.


~ "The most recessionary signal at present is consumer future expectations relative to current conditions. It's one of the worst readings ever," bond guru Jeffrey Gundlach said in a tweet.


Drooping consumer sentiment is pointing the way to a substantial economic slowdown, if history is any guide.

In particular, the gap between current sentiment and future expectations has blown out wider, according to the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index released Tuesday.

While confidence in the broader confidence index remains strong, falling just slightly month over month, the Expectations Index tumbled from 97.7 to 87.3 from December. Since October, the expectations reading has plunged 24 percent. Conversely, the Present Situation Index is at 169.6, a nudge lower from December's reading.

Such wide gaps have portended sharp declines in economic activity, as pointed out by several market observers, including DoubleLine Capital's Jeffrey Gundlach, the so-called Bond King.

"The most recessionary signal at present is consumer future expectations relative to current conditions. It's one of the worst readings ever," he said in a tweet.

The difference between the two readings has only been wider three times in the survey's history going back to 1967, according to Bespoke Investment Group. Those came in January through March of 2001, the final month being the beginning of a recession.

Moreover, when the gap between the Present Situation and Expectations indexes has exceeded 50 — it is currently at 82.3 — "recessions weren't far behind," wrote Bespoke's Paul Hickey.

The partial government shutdown, which ended this week, was the longest in history and likely dented sentiment.

"Shock events such as government shutdowns (i.e. 2013) tend to have sharp, but temporary, impacts on consumer confidence," Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at The Conference Board, said in a statement. "Thus, it appears that this month's decline is more the result of a temporary shock than a precursor to a significant slowdown in the coming months."

But Hickey said investors would be wise to watch what appears to be a fragile economy closely. He said such disparities in present and future sentiment are the last indicators of growth that is in its latter stages.

"The stock market decline in December followed by the government shutdown undoubtedly had a negative impact on consumer sentiment in January, so the big gap in sentiment towards the present and future doesn't guarantee that the US economy is on the cusp of a recession, but it does serve as a reminder that the economy is a lot slower now than it was a year ago," he said in a note. "Therefore, the cushion to absorb any further weakness has worn thinner."