Ahoy, stock market adventurers! If you’re on the lookout for a potentially thrilling ride in the investment seas, then Malaysian Bulk Carriers Berhad, or Maybulk, might just be the ship you want to board. Let’s dive into why this could be a fantastic short-term opportunity, especially if you’re ready to navigate the waves of risk and reward.
The Rising Tide of Shipping Rates
First, let’s talk about what’s happening in the global shipping world. Recently, there’s been a sudden surge in shipping rates. This means that the cost for moving goods across oceans has shot up. When shipping rates climb, companies that own and operate ships generally see a boost in their earnings. Higher shipping fees can lead to bigger profits, as companies can charge more for their services.
TASCO and Maybulk: Sailing Together
Now, you might have heard of TASCO Berhad, a well-known name in the logistics sector. TASCO has been riding the wave of rising shipping rates, and its stock price has appreciated significantly, currently trading at RM 0.99. This company provides comprehensive logistics solutions, including air, sea, and land transportation. As shipping rates increase, TASCO benefits from higher freight charges and greater demand for its services. Investors have taken notice, and TASCO’s stock price reflects this optimism.
The Undervalued Gem: Maybulk
But here’s where things get interesting. While TASCO has already seen significant price appreciation, Maybulk’s stock is still relatively dormant, trading at RM 0.335. This presents a unique opportunity. Maybulk operates in the dry bulk shipping sector, transporting essential commodities like coal, iron ore, and grains. With rising shipping rates, Maybulk stands to benefit directly through increased charter rates, which can significantly boost its revenues and profitability.
Why Maybulk Might Jump Higher
Think of Maybulk as a hidden gem. Despite the favorable market conditions, its stock price hasn’t moved much, making it undervalued compared to its peers like TASCO. Here’s why Maybulk could be on the verge of a significant price increase:
Undervalued Status: Maybulk’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 7.88, much lower than TASCO’s P/E ratio of 11.72. This suggests that Maybulk is currently undervalued and has more room to grow.
Valuation Multiples: Maybulk’s EV/Revenue is 0.90, compared to TASCO’s EV/Revenue of 1.03. A lower EV/Revenue ratio indicates that Maybulk is cheaper relative to its revenue, offering potential for higher upside.
Revenue and Profitability:
Maybulk: Revenue stands at RM23.7 million, but it’s currently facing a loss of 1.8 million RM for the latest quarter. Despite this, the revenue growth is strong, with a YoY increase of 133.9%.
TASCO: Revenue is higher at RM246.41 million, but the net margin is only 6.15%. While TASCO has higher revenue, its profitability per dollar is lower compared to Maybulk.
Financial Stability:
Maybulk: Total assets are RM129.211 million, with a debt/equity ratio of 0.59. It has a stronger balance sheet and better financial health.
TASCO: Total assets are higher at RM353.344 million, but with a higher debt/equity ratio of 0.42, indicating more leverage.
Volatility and Potential: Maybulk’s higher volatility (6.08%) compared to TASCO’s (5.31%) indicates a higher risk-reward potential. Dormant price movement means there’s room for significant upward movement.
Projected Price for Maybulk
Let’s put some numbers into the projection to give you a target price for Maybulk. Given Maybulk’s current P/B ratio of 0.624 and assuming it reaches a P/B ratio similar to industry averages, we can calculate a potential target price:
Current Book Value per Share (NTA): 0.5366
Target P/B Ratio: Consider a conservative target P/B ratio of 1.2.
Projected Price Calculation
NTA × Target P/B : 0.5366 × 1.2≈ RM 0.644
This projection suggests a potential price increase to approximately 0.644 RM from the current 0.335 RM, representing a potential upside of about 92.2%.
Short-Term Speculation: The Risks and Rewards
It’s essential to understand that this opportunity is more about short-term speculation rather than a long-term investment. Here are a few points to consider:
Higher Reward Potential: Because Maybulk is undervalued and less appreciated by the market, it has a higher potential for a significant price increase. If the market starts recognizing its value, the stock could jump quickly.
Higher Risk: With higher potential returns come higher risks. Maybulk’s stock is more volatile, meaning its price can swing more dramatically. This is not a “set it and forget it” kind of stock — it requires active monitoring.
Market Sentiment: Stock prices can be influenced by market sentiment. If investors shift their focus from TASCO to Maybulk due to its undervaluation, we could see a sharp rise in Maybulk’s stock price.
Navigating the Investment Waters
Investing in Maybulk at this point is like setting sail on a high seas adventure. The potential rewards are substantial, but the journey could be rough. For those with a higher risk tolerance and a keen eye on market movements, Maybulk presents an exciting short-term opportunity.
So, ready to catch the next big wave with Maybulk? The seas are rising, and this could be your chance to ride the tide to potential gains. Happy investing, and may your journey be prosperous!
Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes and not investment advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
https://bit.ly/maybulk
Created by Alex_Kho | Jun 10, 2024
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Left only remaining vessel-Alam Kuasa from its peak 6 vessel. Revenue and profit from the shipping bulkers segment is expected to be stable throughout the year 2024 as the only remaining vessel, Alam
Kuasa, is under long-term contract at fixed contracted rate subject to bunker price adjustments and will not be affected by open market
charter rate volatility. However, the results of the coming quarter will be affected by dry docking of the vessel for scheduled maintenance.
3 weeks ago
ya lor, heard they sold most of the vessels and Robert Kuok is no longer the major holder
2 weeks ago
Thanks for the comments.
Note:
Higher Risk: With higher potential returns come higher risks. Maybulk’s stock is more volatile, meaning its price can swing more dramatically. This is not a “set it and forget it” kind of stock — it requires active monitoring.
Im holding both Maybulk and TASCO. However, maybulk seems to be more attractive. anyway, happy trading / investing.
2 weeks ago
agreed with skc761103. Maybulk earning is not from normal operation. It keep selling asset to get profit and hence i dont agree with your write out. You should continue your good write out like what you did for ksl but not something like what you didnt above.
2 weeks ago
Your feedback is valuable guys, and I understand the concerns regarding the reliance on asset sales for profitability. Will delve deeper into Maybulk's earnings from normal operations and provide a more detailed analysis in future posts.
2 weeks ago
skc761103
maybulk core business no more on shipping related business ,don't mislead people
3 weeks ago