小陈。股市

游击战:IRETEX-LR(二)[stoCKTANgerine]

stoCKTANgerin
Publish date: Sun, 15 Jun 2014, 04:27 PM

之前在IRETEX的债券白表格 (IRETEX-LR) 交易时,乘机投机 (偷鸡) 了一下,打了一场游击战。有兴趣的朋友可以参考之前小陈写的这篇文章:

游击战: IRETEX-LR  << 点击这里

在发售债券的除权日后,IRETEX的股价就开始下跌,连续跌了好几天,导致股东欲认购债券的欲望不强,因为母股跌了好多,价格不太吸引。在IRETEX-LR开始交易的那5天里(19/5至23/5),母股IRETEX的交易价格却有逐渐上升的趋势,从RM0.555逐渐上升至RM0.64,价量齐升,见下图:

 

既然母股呈现上升趋势,价量齐升,照理来说IRETEX-LR应该很多人追捧才是。但事实却相反,IRETEX-LR的交易价格却逐渐下跌,最后一天的交易日竟然才报RM0.01罢了。小陈也乘机捞了一些,进行一场游击战。见下图,IRETEX-LR交易的5天价格图表:

有胆量以RM0.01购入IRETEX-LR的朋友们,请记得做好准备,明天就是IRETEX债权(IRETEX-LA)上市的日子。当然还有IRETEX的免费凭单(IRETEX-WA)。

 

如果当时你以RM0.01买入200,000股IRETEX-LR,你的成本一共是多少呢?

1)以市场价购买IRETEX-LR的成本=RM0.01 x 200,000 = RM2,000

2)认购IRETEX-LR的成本=RM0.075 x 200,000 = RM 15,000

总共是RM2,000 + RM15,000 = RM17,000 >> 这是你的投机/偷鸡成本。

 

万万没想到,大股东的炒作能力这么强!上周五IRETEX竟然以RM0.77的价格闭市!盘中一度直逼RM0.80!这个价格已经是比除权日前的价格高出了好几档。有认购债券的股东们,明天应该都会好兴奋,可以一路笑到银行去了(laughing all the way to banks)。

以IRETEX闭市价RM0.77,明天上市的债券IRETEX-LA会以什么价格交易呢?

 

之前小陈的文章有提到这IRETEX-LA债券有两种转换方式。这里不多谈,直接看看这两组转换方式所带出的IRETEX-LA内在价值。

方式一:以8IRETEX-LA转换成一股IRETEX

直接用RM0.77 除于 8 = RM0.096,这就是IRETEX-LA的内在价值。

 

方式二:以1IRETEX-LARM0.525转换成一股IRETEX:

我们用RM0.77 – RM0.525 = RM0.245,IRETEX-LA的内在价值竟然高达RM0.245???

以RM0.075的价格认购IRETEX债券,短短几个星期竟然升值至每股价值RM0.245???

有影无?边有咁大只蛤乸隨街跳???

 

以RM0.01购入IRETEX-LR,认购全部债权的权利,你的投机/偷鸡总成本为RM17,000。那目前的市值到底值多少呢?

假设IRETEX-LA以内在价格交易(但一般上都会折价交易),你目前手持200,000股的IRETEX-LA市价为:

200,000 x RM0.245 = RM49,000

 

别忘了你还有免费凭单。每认购8股债券获赠1股凭单!如果你认购200,000债券,那你明天手上会有25,000股凭单。凭单行使价为RM0.80,母股目前价位RM0.77,这只凭单至少以RM0.20交易吧~

25,000 x RM0.20 = RM5,000

 

什么?投机/偷鸡RM17,000,一个月内变RM49,000 + RM5,000???“有影无?边有咁大只蛤乸隨街跳???”。

 

如果你当时买更多呢?500,000股?1,000,000股?2,000,000股?5,000,000股?疯了,你快疯了,一个月内几乎开超过2番了!!!

别高兴得太早,明天记得起个大早,看看IRETEX-LA和IRETEX-WA上市的走势咯~ 或许有更多的惊喜等着你~ 惊喜?惊叹?惊讶?很难说~ 让你亏掉老本也说不定!

 

IDEAL Sun City要拜Dato Alex Ooi,那这IRETEX你需要拜Tey Por Yee, Ooi Kock Aun和Teh Eng Huat。太多人,很难拜,会分散注意力,呵呵~
 

谢谢!

小陈股市

投资部落格:http://cktan1984.blogspot.com/

面子书专页名称:http://www.facebook.com/StockTangerine

电子邮箱:tanchinkok@gmail.com

 

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2 people like this. Showing 13 of 13 comments

ttgipoh

Let's pray to God

2014-06-15 16:51

ttgipoh

Good analysis, the warrant exercise price is .80, hope for .305

2014-06-15 16:54

yanxuan8

If can get WA to trade at gearing of 2.5, it will be 30.5 sen, limit up, let make this aspiration. Be positive.

2014-06-15 20:10

ttgipoh

After football, show time for iretex la and wa

2014-06-15 21:51

yanxuan8

Yes, let's it be 3:1.....

2014-06-15 22:03

sbg3106

ck, how come no selling of tips before this announcment?

2014-06-16 07:57

ttgipoh

Iretex la and wa

2014-06-16 08:16

wt222

Iretex-LR will trade at discount....

2014-06-16 08:52

wt222

This group of people come out with a more innovative game, but still, be very careful...mother oredi being pushed to sky high...

2014-06-16 08:54

ttgipoh

send for conversion

2014-06-16 09:44

ttgipoh

the whole episode is in a mess

2014-06-16 20:55

ttgipoh

will the la reflect the true value

2014-06-18 10:22

stoCKTANgerin

It is time to take profit and change to next ship lo!
Bye~

2014-06-18 10:26

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