Followers
66
Following
0
Blog Posts
72
Threads
4,865
Blogs
Threads
Portfolio
Follower
Following
2020-04-12 05:05 | Report Abuse
How much have you lost?
2020-04-11 23:21 | Report Abuse
Exactly.
2020-04-11 23:10 | Report Abuse
FYI, I don't own a single share in this company. I may or may not buy stocks in STAR, I am not obligated to inform you if I do.
And yes, Warren has sold all the newspapers companies that he has to another party.
2020-04-11 23:08 | Report Abuse
since KYY has already abandoned you, let me leave some pump and dump articles for ikan bilis to follow.
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/philip5/2020-04-11-story-h1505927167-My_Second_Pump_Dump_Article_How_to_pump_with_a_Conscience.jsp
2020-04-11 23:05 | Report Abuse
Since we are all trading pump and dump articles, here is mine:
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/philip5/2020-04-11-story-h1505927167-My_Second_Pump_Dump_Article_How_to_pump_with_a_Conscience.jsp
2020-04-11 23:02 | Report Abuse
https://youtu.be/xXHbXrRdQ-I
This is also a wonderful episode, that gained a lot of viewers and subscribers from vietnam.
2020-04-11 22:56 | Report Abuse
My second penny stock article is out.
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/philip5/2020-04-11-story-h1505927167-My_Second_Pump_Dump_Article_How_to_pump_with_a_Conscience.jsp
2020-04-11 22:55 | Report Abuse
My second pump and dump article is out.
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/philip5/2020-04-11-story-h1505927167-My_Second_Pump_Dump_Article_How_to_pump_with_a_Conscience.jsp
2020-04-11 20:11 | Report Abuse
Poor mable. Abandoned by KYY.
2020-04-11 20:01 | Report Abuse
In all honesty, everyone was hoping for a 15% reduction in oil production to stabilize the price in light of the OPEC+ agreement between russia and saudi, however the reduction was a little too late to catch, 10 million barrels a day when consumption is expected to drop by 16-18 million barrels a day.
I think KYY has every right to buy or sell stocks, he has no need to explain to anybody least of all you or me. However, the series of pump articles followed by a very big and silent dump article seems to me a very ungentleman way of handling things.
Pity the ikan bilis.
2020-04-11 19:53 | Report Abuse
I think I will stop replying you here. You have the same attitude and the same quality as those other individuals that you have just mentioned. I think you may be better served to start running value investing classes and collection subscription fees or charging to write articles or even write a book. You certainly talk as if you know very well, and you certainly don't need a portfolio to write financial articles.
I think I will stop replying you here. You are a troll, plain and simple.
You are not interested in learning new things, but simply trying be a troll and antagonize.
Your portfolio strategy obviously isn't working in buying insas long term.
So why don't you stop commenting on mine and go over to your insas and troll there. I have stopped commenting on INSAS. I think it is a lousy investment (and it has been for the last 3 years - https://www.google.com/search?q=insas+share+price&oq=insas+share+price&aqs=chrome.0.35i39l2j0l6.2103j0j4&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8) long term. You obviously think it is a wonderful investment (despite not feeling the returns).
Good luck to you and have your fun elsewhere. You are a waste of replying space, where others look to learn things, you simply try to have your own confirmation bias.
I have never "shown off". In fact, I have never sold a book, promoted a subscription, or given a class. All I have done is provide transparency in how I invest and the results that come with it. You will never find another investor who updates his trackable portfolio and his articles in keeping with his investment philosophy. You instead have chosen to follow (and don't deny it) fake sifu and biased writers to bad results.
If you wish to lecture me about ethics? Know that in this forum, it is full of unethical and ungentlemen investors. Say bad things? when you hear things you like about stocks you hold, you say it is nice. You hear unfriendly comments? you say bad things. But when have I ever said it was untrue? If you see my comments on your stocks, it comes honestly and from how I view your quarterly and annual reports. Do I profit from what I say? Do i short jaks and inari and insas? NO. I just point things out as it is.
I think most i3 sifu is unethical, biased and do not have a shred of results to back things up,
You included.
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/tradeview/2020-04-11-story-h1505926983-_Tradeview_2020_Open_Letter_to_Koon_Yew_Yin_on_Dayang_Margin_Ethics.jsp
GO AWAY.
>>>>>>>>>>
Or had you earned the license to kill (Say bad things about Inari, Insas, Choivo, Ricky Yeo, Icon8888 and KCChong) just because you have results of your own to show off?
2020-04-11 19:24 | Report Abuse
I didn't say you were wrong about vitrox. I said that you didn't know anything about vitrox but commented as if you do (until you learnt something new).
But you posted this sentence, "Vitrox your favorite with no revenue or net profit growth but people still chase it to PE of 47 is disaster waiting to unfold."
How long have you been studying vitrox to suddenly point out it is a disaster waiting to unfold?
>>>>>>>>
So am I saying bad things about Vitrox without fact?
2020-04-11 19:20 | Report Abuse
Hi Chong. I am still holding my shares in Stone Co. In the end, herd immunity or social distancing aside, we will get through this crisis.
If we don't and the virus mutates, then there is no point holding any asset.
So if we have to believe in something, believe that one day things will recover. So if it does, then holding on to stoneco will probably be a very profitable activity.
2020-04-11 16:31 | Report Abuse
It depends your skill level as an investor.
Maybe if you show me your portfolio first I can tell you what is wrong.
But if you are a gambler, then your jiwa angkuh dan liar is not going to help you.
How long have you been trading in the market?
2020-04-11 15:22 | Report Abuse
And before the invariable comment on losing money comes around, let me clarify. When warren buffett says never lose money, he doesn't mean that literally. What he means is to always buy something for cheaper that it is intrinsically worth years from now. Buy companies with a proven competitive advantage, good revenues and growing earnings. Low debt, good cash levels and good share holder management (share buybacks, dividends, no ESOS). etc. etc.
Losing money is when you buy things with finite life, taking on margin, short term trades that become long term traps. unsold options, cutloss etc.
The fact is, if you buy a stock and you didn't sell it, in the short term the price will always be volatile. But in the long term it will either go up or down.
Or you might be losing money in opportunity costs.
Rule no. 1: Never lose money.
2020-04-11 14:10 | Report Abuse
As for Serba Dinamik, look at the strategy and management explanations from Karim.
https://youtu.be/B9ncqlT_cSg
He started his business in 1993 doing rotating equipment servicing, in bintulu with 3 staff. And growing it to 1 billion in revenue today. Does he sound like a fraud or an earnest man to you?
Somehow he doesn't give me the feel of those snakes who are starting a company just to cheat and sell shares. In fact, he seems like just another engineer, and one I would like to know more about.
If you look at his history, he went into CIS and middle east at the right time, just when GE and Siemens and ABB were leaving the country and they step in with cheap price, 20 year experience and know how in servicing, supplying and maintaining rotating turbines and equipment, doing overhaul in bintulu.
I feel the 10+ billion in orderbook with a yearly replenishment of 2.5 billion per year, a double digit growth versus peers, and low PE, 3% dividend is a good number allowing serba to stabilize its market reach, while being in the right position where the cost of oil production is still positive (compared to the rest of the world, at USD5 per barrel).
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2019/06/20/serba-dinamik-can-meet-order-book-target
https://www.nst.com.my/business/2020/01/555375/serba-dinamik-ambitious-achieving-rm15-bil-year-end
http://staging.serbadinamik.com/?p=5023
So far, with the oil production reduction agreement, there will be less production (more O&M programs) to overhaul and clean rotating equipments. And best of all, with the new updated and upgraded internal facilities, they have scale and better facilities compared to their smaller and less financially equipped competitors, who will be reeling with the coming storm.
In my opinion, those who managed to generate good debt before the covid-19 storm will have some breathing room to navigate the economic coma coming.
2020-04-11 13:52 | Report Abuse
SSlee, I find your activities in saying bad things about other stocks without any results of your own very baffling. Your chasing low PE stocks doesn't seem to have the results that you thought it would, either. So, are you a disaster waiting to unfold?
2020-04-11 11:17 | Report Abuse
there is always a likelihood of anything happening. But I dont understandd the question, payment is guaranteed, so delayed or not gkent will be getting paid.
As I am a long term type of shareholders with a planned holding pattern of beyond 2024 (where lrt3 completion is expected, I dont see the point of your question.
If you are a short term investor, then the simple answer is I dont know if it will rain or shine tomorrow.
2020-04-10 19:02 | Report Abuse
The good news is, Moscow and Saudi is cutting volumes by 10 million barrels day.
Bad news is, the world economy due to covid19 is reducing oil volume usage requirements by 16-18 million barrels a day.
Good news is, USA and the rest of the countries has not finalized their oil production reduction plans.
Bad news is, Mexico is not reducing its 100k barrels per day as required.
Worse news is, more than 10% reduction in production is required.
Good news is, Serbadk contracts are based on man day charge contracts which has a fixed yearly term, and not based on the price of oil.
>>>>>>>>
https://www.ft.com/content/c7a1e2e6-8c17-48d5-8c16-edce911b5cbb
2020-04-10 15:39 | Report Abuse
A good example to learn from is to study the 5 year earnings of mikro MSc, a company started by another Sabahan friend of mine. The share price and dividends and profits were growing very well on a multi year rise, then when the mida Pioneer status ended, the profit margins crashed, and they found themselves unable to raise prices, as that would put them within the price range of ABB ( spaj relays) and Schneider electric ( sepam relay) prices. So they are forced to keep the prices low or encur problems with their expansion.
Share price has still not recovered.
>>>>>>>>
One important valuation factor when I begin to study manufacturing and tech companies.
2020-04-10 15:30 | Report Abuse
Yup u understand it very well. So you should go back to NETX and push back the share price to 2 cents. No one is listening to you here.
>>>>>>>>
stockraider U don understand high tech industry mah....!!
It is like that mah.....!!
2020-04-10 15:27 | Report Abuse
One important valuation factor when I begin to study manufacturing and tech companies.
1. Does it have government support,
2. How long does the government support last.
3. When the government support ends, how can they maintain profit margins or remain competitive.
>>>>>>>>
https://www.mida.gov.my/home/incentives-in-manufacturing-sector/posts/
2020-04-10 15:18 | Report Abuse
MIDA grant of 100 million for inari to build new factory, 7 million for R&D grant.
INARI pays 11% income tax thanks to short term incentives.
Vitrox pays 3% income tax thanks to short term incentives.
What do you think their profit margins will be when income tax incentives end, and those companies have to start standing in their own two feet and compete internationally and fairly?
Do you think they will be able to raise their prices to maintain profit margins and still be competitive in the international markets?
MIDA incentives don't last forever.
2020-04-10 15:04 | Report Abuse
I was "chasing" it at rm1.02. I thought it was cheap then with share buybacks and 5% dividends, so as the price today is at 70 cents, with NOSH lower than when I bought it, and no projects cancelled, lrt3 and mrt2 and final claim from hospitals progress going smoothly now all cylinders running, I believe you can expect 20-25 million of earnings per quarter, as per 2017 prior to lrt3 project put on hold.
You can act on that information in any way you choose.
2020-04-10 14:53 | Report Abuse
Hi I think you may be very mistaken in business nature of QL versus lhi. Ql is a vertically integrated company which has feedmill, surumi, frozen seafood, fishmeal, and retail in family mart business.
LHI is just a chicken and eggs producer.
>>>>>>>
Business nature quite similar to QL
2020-04-10 09:23 | Report Abuse
Hi if you are looking for short term profits, you may be better off buying some INSAS.
Thank you
2020-04-10 07:20 | Report Abuse
Fyi osat means outsourced assembly and test.
So if you are a major manufacturer you would look to these things:
1. Outsource to the nearest supply chain to your production center
2. Outsource to the cheapest source.
3. Outsource to the highest quality supplier.
4. Outsource to the best r&d supplier.
5. Outsource to a related/stable/political source ( subsidiary).
This is how I would start my qualitative scuttlebutt OSAT companies if I am looking to invest in one for the long term.
Which does inari, vitrox and others fall into?
2020-04-09 17:54 | Report Abuse
Very good. If inari biggest customer as we all know is broadcom, at 1 billion revenue a year, 650 million of that will come from a single customer. Apple has already known it's revenues from smartphone sales will continue to drop, and it is banking on its biggest profit margin, software to pick up the slack.
If you know the long term prospects of inari will no longer be an increase in sales from broadcom ( as announced by Apple), then you need to also look at the qualitative factors of buy and hold into INARI and thus INSAS.
Otherwise holding on to insas over 3 years is going to prove to be a very unproductive affair, and you will not have the courage to buy deep, throw everything into INSAS when it was selling at 0.35.
I am willing to throw large amounts into GKENT buying at lows because I know the long term prospects.
Now, you bought at gkent at 0.46. sold at 0.52 ( 10% gain wow). Then it subsequently went up to 0.72.
What do you do now? Do you buy INSAS? GKENT? What defines your investing principles? Past results and assets? Or future growth prospects?
>>>>>>>>
For FY2018 the top 3 customers accounted for 99% of Inari gross revenue in ratio of 65%, 27% and 7 % respectively.
2020-04-09 17:30 | Report Abuse
Yes this is true, but Apple will not sign a fixed minimum supply agreement, if their smartphone sales drop as per management guidance, then rf orders will also drop.
Personally at the price sold per phone, without a clear differentiator between Android phones and Apple phones, the long term prospects of the hardware supply will only reduce with time.
This is not a possibility, this is a certainty.
>>>>>>>
popo92 Having said that, Broadcom is not selling their rf business anymore. Broadcom hock said this
09/04/2020 4:31 PM
2020-04-09 14:08 | Report Abuse
Sslee, a very simple question which you post long article which has no meaning except more conjectures.
How much of revenues is INARI getting from broadcom per year and what are its revenue mix? If you still cannot answer then you really do not know inari or insas well enough.
Who are INARI customers and what is its breakdown?
2020-04-09 11:55 | Report Abuse
A test of how well you understand the qualitative side of business. Insas most important revenue is coming from inari
Without checking with Google, what is the name of INARI CEO? How long has he been in the industry? How many CEO before him? How many shares does he hold? What is avago yearly revenue contribution to inari? How many percent of that contribution is total revenue derived by INARI?
This is all very important facts that I value just as much as pe and roe.
2020-04-09 10:24 | Report Abuse
Everything in business is done based on leverage, even musim mas group.
(https://www.dnb.com/business-directory/company-profiles.musim_mas_holdings_pte_ltd.42a098a5874ddd679a08fe0daa9a122d.html#credit-reports),
If you apply leverage and debt correctly, you can grow a business into a juggernaut.
As Warren buffet likes to put it, debt and leverage is not the risk. Risk is when you do things that you do not understand. If you look at my portfolio, by applying margin and leverage correctly to buy back shares at huge 50% discounts, I am able to go back to the green on my stocks over a longer period of time, effectively averaging down. I am not worried in borrowing millions of ringgit on margin from banks to do this endeavour, firstly because the long term prospects of the company is still intact, and secondly because my initial buy in price was cheap intrinsically, so having a bigger discount due to transient market conditions ( not fundamental changes in business prospects).
What do I term transient? The salad oil crisis for AMEX, stoneco/facebook IPO crash, covid19, China us trade war.
What do I term fundamental? Broadcom selling it's entire RF business to Apple. Cambridge analytica scandal, Debenhams and Carrefour business model.
>>>>>>>>>
Sslee 4. Please read the book by KCCHONG or KCChong blogs to avoid the pitfalls by following tips from internet Sifu and understand the basic of financial report and on leverage.
2020-04-09 10:17 | Report Abuse
Everything in business is done based on leverage, even musim mas group.
(https://www.dnb.com/business-directory/company-profiles.musim_mas_holdings_pte_ltd.42a098a5874ddd679a08fe0daa9a122d.html#credit-reports),
If you apply leverage and debt correctly, you can grow a business into a juggernaut.
As Warren buffet likes to put it, debt and leverage is not the risk. Risk is when you do things that you do not understand. If you look at my portfolio, by applying margin and leverage correctly to buy back shares at huge 50% discounts, I am able to go back to the green on my stocks over a longer period of time, effectively averaging down. I am not worried in borrowing millions of ringgit on margin from banks to do this endeavour, firstly because the long term prospects of the company is still intact, and secondly because my initial buy in price was cheap intrinsically, so having a bigger discount due to transient market conditions ( not fundamental changes in business prospects).
What do I term transient? The salad oil crisis for AMEX, stoneco/facebook IPO crash, covid19, China us trade war.
What do I term fundamental? Broadcom selling it's entire RF business to Apple. Cambridge analytica scandal, Debenhams and Carrefour business model.
>>>>>>>>>
Sslee 4. Please read the book by KCCHONG or KCChong blogs to avoid the pitfalls by following tips from internet Sifu and understand the basic of financial report and on leverage.
2020-04-09 09:59 | Report Abuse
So meaning you comment again without understanding,
What part of my sentence is wrong? It is all true. However, since you did not read any quarterly reports you assume it is the same as inari and assume it is the ONLY revenue source(broadcom). It is 30% of their total revenue, and the most profitable.
But you are the one who simply added,
" I do not think Philip Study Serba Dinamik 10 year records as I believe Serba Dinamik take on too much debt, expand too fast and too dependent on Qatar. "
Is this remark fair when I spent an entire year understanding the company before I bought a single share?
>>>>>>>>>
Qatar is their biggest revenue and profit center.
2020-04-09 09:09 | Report Abuse
But sslee does have a point: debt is a very important factor in business growth. However just like cholesterol, there is always good and bad. As an investor we need to be very clear and understand the difference between the two.
Firstly, how much is the total debt generation versus the growth in revenue and earnings. This is a very important fact to understand. Debt is good if you get a big jump in revenue and earnings for each dollar of debt generated ( meaning a big market and ready to be tapped). Debt is bad when you actually get less revenue and earnings for every dollar put in ( take for example London biscuit, where increased debt turned into increase receivables that turned into late payments that turned into bad debt).
Secondly, is the debt serviceable with free cash flow? If the debt interest payments are within expectations, and job cancellations are still below threshold, and working capital is still available say the end of the day, then you need to understand how many hits the company can take before serious problems occur.
Thirdly, is the market shrinking or growing? Are the profit margins enough to cover debt risk? Who are their competitors and what levels of margins are they working with? There is no such thing as expanding too fast or taking on too much debt. What is most important is always the ratio of debt taken versus the orderbook and cashflow.
2020-04-09 08:44 | Report Abuse
I think sslee doesn't even look at quarterly reports. Refer to page 13 please for juicy details.
Out of their 1.36 billion in revenue in latest quarter, 395 million comes from one source and 427 million comes from another source. Guess how much is Qatar contribution to their total revenue? Is this amount going to grow or reduce in the next few years? ( Guess: look at total orderbook)
Now go back to inari, who is their biggest revenue source? What percentage is that compared to their second largest source? Now, big hint: is Apple guiding towards a growth in smartphone orders or reduction in orders?
So, please do your due diligence and study deeper.
FYI, I have a unlucky feeling that INSAS will show a huge losing quarter in the next quarterly report due revision of fair value loss on assets ( stocks), reduction in value of inari sold at low prices, lower dividend yields ( even cancellation of dividend for to the need to conserve cash). Will I be lucky or origin come to fruition?
In any case better to be lucky than good.
>>>>>>>>
7. I do not think Philip Study Serba Dinamik 10 year records as I believe Serba Dinamik take on too much debt, expand too fast and too dependent on Qatar.
2020-04-09 08:30 | Report Abuse
I would personally not use this " investor" as a guide because despite his beautiful prose, he is both right and wrong in his investments, which in reality means his analysis means absolutely nothing. How do I know his article is bullshit?
Very simple, compare his results versus his article. He writes this be that and has opinions in this and that, but in 2017 he says that public Bank is overvalued, and his picks as you now know were rcecap (30% of his portfolio) and affin bank (2% of his portfolio).
What were his results versus public Bank that I held within the same period ( 2012-2019)?
You can check it yourself. Even as his comments were correct on mbsb, he was remarkably wrong in buying affin and rcecap.
So, what good are academics with no results doing in giving you advice?
In short, it is similar to your father telling you vitamin c can cure covid19 based on some Facebook posts he read.
Unsubstantiated, not results based and with no history of accuracy.
I will recommend you do your own due diligence instead.
All I can say is the valuation metrics cold eye is using is wrong, icon8888 is using is wrong, Jonathan choi is wrong and sslee is wrong.
Let's start from there.
I myself do not have a clear understanding of the banking industry in Malaysia for the next 5-10 years which is why I sold pb. Lucky or not depends on you, although I am pretty sure I do 10x the amount of research and thinking on the future prospects than sslee when I go into a stock.
I have a feeling sslee only knows 2 of the CEOs of all the stocks that he buys ( without checking Google) and no Vincent tan is not the CEO of bjland.
Details which I consider critically important on my concept of valuation, rather than just numeric accounting figures.
>>>>>>>
Sslee P/S: As valuation on banking sector you can read the below blog
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/PilosopoCapital/2017-12-31-story-h14...
09/04/2020 7:55 AN
2020-04-09 08:11 | Report Abuse
Very interesting, what makes you think PCHEM is at its peak? I firmly believe that it was cheap when I bought it at 8.33. and today at 4.09 it was even more cheap, as shown by my frequency of purchases. I sold public Bank exactly because I could no longer see good long term growth coming from public Bank and other banking counters in Malaysia. Yes during the covid-19 crisis, everything is cheap.
But even though everything is cheap, not everything is a long term buy. And if you can only choose one stock, better to put it into a stock that you know well instead.
>>>>>>>>>
1. Philip is not completely honest on his take on banking counters as he and his family members used to hold Public Bank but he is smart to sold off Public Bank near it peak and bought Pchem near it peak too.
2020-04-08 21:58 | Report Abuse
For me a few things come to mind usually:
1. Growth of revenue and earnings: dialog hasn't grown much in revenue but their earnings have gone up a lot. I expect their profit margins to come down substantially as Aramco comes into the picture, PDT comes online and PIC in Johor starts to have much more competition in storage prices.
2. Total addressable market. Serba is performing in many places around the world, and I believe if their revenues and earnings are accurate, they will continue to grow at a phenomenal pace compared to dialog.
On the other hand there is a chance that Serba revenue and earnings are fabricated, but the consistency in dividends and earnings growth compared to peers seems to give me hope. I will continue to monitor this stock to understand more.
>>>>>>>>
Fabien "The Efficient Capital Allocater" Hi Philip, mind sharing why you choose Serba over Dialog?
08/04/2020 7:22 PM
2020-04-08 21:48 | Report Abuse
Apologies if I took your comment from email, but I thought this was an excellent question which requires some thoughts.
Most traders and new investors I know usually buy a stock based on ticker prices.
So when the ticker price goes up or down beyond their assumptions they usually panic and become very worried. A short term trade becomes a mid term hold becomes a long term "investment".
This is one of the worse things to do when stockpicking, because when you buy stocks based on ticker prices, you can never know if you are buying a stock cheaper than its intrinsic value, or chasing an uptrend stock into an accident, or catching a falling knife.
Knowing when to buy a stock is just half the game.
Knowing when to rationally sell a stock, and when to average down is another.
It is always a huge conundrum.
A few ways I go about it is to ignore the share price first and look to three business:
1. What is the debt of the company and possibility of bankruptcy.
2. Is the revenue/earnings downturn a permanent issue or a short term obstacle ( trade war, oil war, covid19 war)
3. How is the company doing in comparison to its peers
For me I prefer to purchase consistently growing companies that don't rise too high during good times, but also lose little during bad times. That way I can sleep well at night without much to worry about. And if a good discount day comes my way, I will be ready with a cash pile to buy in.
>>>>>>>>
When i added on for MRCB and GKENT it was making a profit but not up to my expectation to sell so i held on but then it went down further.I have no choice now but to hold on to them. I was wondering based on your experience shall i cut loss and invest on other counters but which at this current situation i supposed everything is uncertain.
2020-04-08 21:37 | Report Abuse
Hi Fabien, do you mind sharing why you chose dialog over Serba? I'm also interested to know your opinion.
2020-04-08 15:53 | Report Abuse
Which deep sea storage are you talking about? And more importantly how fast can you get that nicely sitting from deep sea storage to your customers?
2020-04-08 08:00 | Report Abuse
The simple answer is I don't know how to value the long term returns of banks like CIMB and Maybank and electronic? Counters. As I prefer to to buy stocks in industries I know well and businesses I know well and within my area of competence.
Instead, if your area of competence is in banks or electronic counters then you should study that instead ( and share with me your findings haha).
For me, I have had only 4 stocks in my portfolio for the last 9 years, and added 2 last year and 1 this year, after carefully following and researching for 1 year. As well stoneco in NYSE.
Firstly, my advice is not to follow dividend paying only stocks, because you will invariably be led to REITS, which is a horrible idea in Malaysia. My advice is to follow companies which consistently grow their revenues and earnings every year while controlling debt, liabilities and shareholder dilution to a minimum. You can earn money in many ways other than dividends: via share buybacks, increase of share price due to p/e expansion etc. Note that warrants and share splits do not reward shareholders ( I consider them shareholder dilution).
My recommendation is to follow Warren buffet advice, treat buying stocks the same way you are buying a house, getting married or buying a car. If you can only buy 10 cars in your entire lifetime, it makes sense to be very very careful in choosing your cars. For me buying stocks is the same way.
If you are interested in a stock you should spend at least a month understanding a company before even thinking of buying it ( and removing all confirmation bias). You need to be brutally honest in understanding the long term prospects of the company you are researching in. Be cautious and assume you are presenting a report to the sultan of Saudi Arabia, who could behead you if you got it wrong.
There are no penalties or fines if you don't buy stocks. No bad decisions if you don't buy, only if you put your money in. Remember that. Ignore all those FOMO thoughts, and concentrate on never losing money.
So firstly you should read all 10 years annual reports to grasp:
1. What the management has done to grow the business
2. How much assets was grown during the period.
3. How much debt was generated during the period.
4. How much revenue and earnings was generated during the period.
5. Which customers and where those earnings came from and where it will come from 5 years from now.
6. How volatile/ stable is the earnings growth, how much bad years
7. How the management is acting on shareholder behalf.
If you have done all of this properly, reading the quarterly reports and annual reports, then you need to understand the competition
1. Read the industry journals to find the most efficient/fastest growing companies in industry.
2. How is the company you are researching about performing versus competition.
3. What are the market reports on the total addressable market of the industry.
4. who is the market leaders? HOW far apart are they versus competition.
Now once you have done this, then you should REPEAT and read the 10 years annual reports and quarterly reports of the COMPETITION stocks to see how they are performing versus the stock you are thinking of buying.
Once you have done all of this and you still think the company, you can start investing. But never put everything into the stock immediately. Buy a substantial amount that you can afford to lose, then build your position every quarter after the results are out and only if the performance is still within your expectations.
This is a much better way long term of participating in the growth of a well performing company.
Avoid IPOs, avoid airline stocks, avoid highly leveraged companies, avoid companies that you don't understand, avoid complex sounding companies with no earnings or revenues. Avoid startups.
Good luck.
And most important, avoid internet sifu trying to sell you subscription classes, books, stock tips and recommendations. Even myself. The price and time that I bought the stocks I have now is definitely different from the time that you will buy them so obviously any drop in share price I will still be able to sleep well at night because I am still heavily in the green, while you may be staring at the red.
Try to start a trackable portfolio of your stock purchases and sell so you can be honest in your performance and the opportunity costs you lost while holding your stocks. Learn to improve your stock picking and make the wrong decisions early( unlike me), don't repeat the same mistakes twice,
Good luck.
>>>>>>>>>
vllyk hi i am new and i am very impressed at how much money you are investing in stocks. May i know why do you not invest in banking counters like CIMB or Maybank? or electronics counters since we are moving into the digital era?
How many stocks should one have in his/her portfolio and should we focus on dividend paying stocks all the time?
07/04/2020 10:33 PM
2020-04-07 10:32 | Report Abuse
It is easy to use money to make people happy. Even najib with his br1m and activities can make anyone happy.
Using money is simple.
But making money and saving money is a totally different exercise.
Making money for the country is never going to a popular move, because it means it has to come from the pockets of interested parties.
How we judge the news prime minister is in how he will assist in pulling Malaysia out of the economic doldrum post covid crisis.
That is when we will see if the new government is working well or not.
2020-04-07 05:57 | Report Abuse
Hi sich, for stne we have decided a wait and see approach as stne has not dropped to a level that would warrant dipping into margin to buy more. I'm currently content with the 200k shares that we currently hold, and will use any dividends if raised to reinvest. As our initial price was around the usd20 range, I think we are comfortable as is.
>>>>>>>>
sich Hi Philip, STNE is now 17.82. Given the Covid-19 situation in Brazil your thesis for STNE still remains ? Do you plan to average down ?
04/04/2020 8:11
Blog: My Second Pump & Dump Article - How to pump with a Conscience!
2020-04-12 05:09 | Report Abuse
Sorry, lose what again? I didn't know I was competing anything against you? Who are you by the way? You only joined the forum in February 2020, how did I have any "bet" with you at end 2019?