Choivo Capital

Rotijon | Joined since 2013-03-05

Investing Experience Beginner
Risk Profile Low

https://choivocapital.com/

Followers

10

Following

1

Blog Posts

85

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3,668

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Portfolio

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User Comments
News & Blogs

2017-01-11 21:58 | Report Abuse

I've been reading your blogs, and i honestly, cannot for the life of me see why people are shooting you down other than jealousy or stupidity.

I personally, have read tons of investment books, and yet you're still able to school me in terms of theory and application.

Thank you.

News & Blogs
News & Blogs
News & Blogs
News & Blogs

2016-12-30 17:59 | Report Abuse

Hi, my picks are.

AEONCR 700 Shares
AIRASIA 4400 Shares
FLBHD 6300
GAMUDA-WE 8300
MAGNI 2300
PBBANK 500
PRLEXUS 7400
SKPETRO 6200
TENAGA 700
TMCLIFE 10500

News & Blogs

2016-12-30 17:22 | Report Abuse

EKOWOOD 10%
AeonCR 10%
PBBANK 10%
Airasia 10%
TMCLIFE 10%
TMCLIFE WB 10%
FGV 10%
GAMUDA-WE 10%
SAPURA KENCANA 10%
FLBHD 10%

News & Blogs

2016-12-30 13:52 | Report Abuse

KLCC 10%
AeonCR 10%
PBBANK 10%
Airasia 10%
TMCLIFE 10%
TMCLIFE WB 10%
LITRAK 10%
GAMUDA-WE 10%
SAPURA KENCANA 10%
FLBHD 10%

News & Blogs

2016-12-30 00:50 | Report Abuse

Icon8888,

I dont think the forex loss matters, since its mostly hedged, therefore there should be a financial instruments derivative gains to set off against.

News & Blogs

2016-12-30 00:23 | Report Abuse

KYY, i think your intention is right (most of the time), but you seem to keep going about things in the wrong way and lack self awareness.

Like it or not, you have caused people to lose money, and like it or not, whenever you tell people to buy stocks, you have also profited handsomely from it.

Lastly, people will be losers, if they listen to your advice, they keep thinking stocks is a zero sum game, that someone must lose in order for the others to make money.

You know that's not true, the real money in stocks comes in a business growing over time, increasing earnings and increasing dividends.

Its only a zero sum game in the short term.

Stock

2016-12-16 19:07 | Report Abuse

OP3rs,

If you day trade or trade quarter to quarter, really good luck. Cause if you no luck at all, money sure gone damn fast.

I'll probably top up some tmr.

Stock

2016-12-16 17:58 | Report Abuse

Lets be objective, the last time airasia was at its peak of 3.4 ringgit in 2011 and 2012, the NTA is RM1.46 per share. It is now 2.140 with much lower debt and a much more streamlined operation.

So this company is at least 40% more valuble since its peak valuation in 2012 and is now 26.5% cheaper. Its a no brainer to buy some and keep.

News & Blogs

2016-12-15 01:50 | Report Abuse

Stockmanmy, i lost more than 10% on gamuda-we, every time i look at the minus 10%, i feel like blaming KYY and OTB.

But every time i check, KYY and OTB facts is sound regarding Gamuda-We.

I dont believe this quarter and the next year gamuda wont have an amazing year.

Watchlist

2016-12-14 19:54 | Report Abuse

I think its like this.

If you accept the praise of the masses, you must also accept the criticism of the masses.

The key is to only accept praise from people you respect, and therefore be able to only listen to criticisms from people you respect.

Watchlist

2016-12-14 18:45 | Report Abuse

When calvin tells you to sell, you better sell now. When he ask you to buy, you should wait until bottom out before buying.

Half the time i dont know if you're retarded or brilliant. Your analysis looks sound sometimes, but the manner you discuss it is childish and how a conman or car salesman will do. Sell the sky, give you the ground.

Stock

2016-12-14 18:24 | Report Abuse

The market in the long term 5-10 years must reward you if you did your research.

Want buy, go buy. Dont want buy, dont buy. Just do your own research.

Stock

2016-12-05 20:09 | Report Abuse

The salesmen wont like it, but the car buyer will. Its about getting the best car for the best deal after all =)

News & Blogs

2016-12-02 23:22 | Report Abuse

Simple. A friend of mine is currently doing forensic for melewar, you wont believe the amount of claims the ceo takes, and how each project without fail, sure over budget one.

In terms of bad management, this is a 9/10.

News & Blogs

2016-12-02 19:12 | Report Abuse

This is interesting =)

Stock

2016-12-01 14:27 | Report Abuse

Given
1.92/0.4*0.33=1.584
1.92/0.4*0.34=1.632
1.92/0.4*0.35=1.680
1.92/0.4*0.36=1.728
1.92/0.4*0.37=1.776
1.92/0.4*0.38=1.824.

I think the fv is 0.38

Stock

2016-12-01 13:43 | Report Abuse

i sold everything for ekowood lol.

"TSH shall pay 40 sen for each scheme share, which shall be satisfied entirely via the issuance of new ordinary shares of 50 sen each in TSH at an issue price of RM1.92,"

Ekowood is TSH subsidiary 67% owner. Almost all their directors is the same. Office also same building, ie it will 100% go through, question now is what is your breakeven for TSH share.

1.92/0.4*0.33=1.584
1.92/0.4*0.34=1.632
1.92/0.4*0.35=1.680
1.92/0.4*0.36=1.728

TSH is plantation company, great last 3 quarters, don't see how final year any diff. As its a subsidiary, 100% of the profit or loss is already consolidated into TSH accounts and the acquisition of company is below book value, so its only going to increase the value of TSH.

Stock

2016-12-01 12:54 | Report Abuse

bought 200k at 3.43, couldve sapu the 335 queue but i was being penny wise, pound foolish.

Stock

2016-12-01 10:22 | Report Abuse

This thing will go through, 100%. Ekowood office is within TSH office already. The directors every day say hello, no way it wont go through. Only question here is, what is the break even point.

At 0.33, TSH price must drop below the all time low to 1.59 before you even lose money. I think this is impossible. Its a plantation company, high debts, but 3 positive quarter in a row. Considering how high CPO prices is for sept to dec, im sure the 4th is a positive as well.

Im all in.

Stock

2016-12-01 09:46 | Report Abuse

I dont see how the acquisition wont go through, only question is, do you want TSH shares.

Stock

2016-12-01 09:14 | Report Abuse

"The year 2016 will likely remains challenging as there is remain uncertainty which is the greatest threat to the world economy at the present with the fall in worldwide crude oil price, escalation of costs due to inflation, volatility of global steel price and fluctuation of exchange rates."

With OPEC reducing oil output by 1.5mil barrels a day, oil prices should go up. I guess our downside is now covered =)

Stock

2016-11-30 14:06 | Report Abuse

Charles, do you feel a recession coming, i dont know why, i feel this 2017 year, US going to be a bull and crash in 2018 or 2019 latest.

Stock

2016-11-30 11:50 | Report Abuse

Thank you tkp2 and Icon,

I've been looking at it in depth as well. And it seems like a good buy. Ill buy it slowly and average up if possible.

Kena burn hard by gam-we and aax now, learn my lesson d. Ahaha

Where are you guys based btw? Selangor?

Stock

2016-11-29 19:33 | Report Abuse

Btw icon, one thing i want to learn from you guys is, how much do you guys usually buy each round? 1-2% of portfolio? because each time i buy, i tend to buy too much or too little, that trans fee kena.

Stock

2016-11-29 19:18 | Report Abuse

tkp, isnt the premium for it abit high, the warrant.

Stock

2016-11-29 19:02 | Report Abuse

Just the loss for the quarter is realized, not all. It does not go into detail. If the company thinks the project is a loss, the entire loss should be recognized, but considering how long its fallen, its not.

Second bit, interest cost that was incurred after COD (Confirmed Operating Date) cannot be capitalized, so you'd see a bigger drop in profit basically. But the plant should be operating then, so it might be offset-ted by the revenue or profit (if any).

Good luck.

Watchlist

2016-11-29 18:42 | Report Abuse

Tbh is "To be honest".

Because its very different from your goals. You want strong div but the stuff you have is not very stable.

Stock

2016-11-29 18:24 | Report Abuse

Well unfortunately, i fell victim to the psycho comments here and sold most of my holdings. Oh well, lesson learnt.

Stock

2016-11-29 18:09 | Report Abuse

2.22 but NTA drop

Stock

2016-11-29 15:09 | Report Abuse

TS is not on the authorized short selling stock list.

Stock

2016-11-29 15:06 | Report Abuse

If he think his company is overvalued, do you think a director will buy? Gadang director started selling his shares like no one business once the price reaching all time high.

Stock

2016-11-29 15:05 | Report Abuse

When the director bought at 21 June and 30 August, both times, the share price went up after than, except for the memo incident. I dont see why it will be different this time.

Stock

2016-11-29 15:03 | Report Abuse

I think you're right biorider,

If i was the director, and i know the price will crash soon due to bad quarter. I will buy 2 million shares right after a big crash due to bad pr management, and then slowly sell it at a loss, because as a shark, i want to feed ikan bilis.

Stock

2016-11-29 14:51 | Report Abuse

I think the day you stop thinking of the market solely in terms of operators, is the day you make more money.

Ill be honest, im having my doubts, but i think most of it is due to reading irrelevant comments in i3, id still be relatively comfortable if i didnt visit here so much (maybe not now since the drop from my buy price on monday is 12%).

I might be wrong, but im sticking with my guns.

Stock

2016-11-29 14:38 | Report Abuse

I dont think the insiders are selling, look at topglove before result out. If insider selling, the sell queue will be way higher, the drop will be damn bloody fast. I think its the people who cannot hold and is getting nervous about the quarter selling.

I started buying last monday and am down 12%. Lets see if im right by today or tmr.

Stock
Stock

2016-11-28 18:40 | Report Abuse

Calvin, sometimes i dont know if you're retarded or a genius. I would like to find out, yumcha one day?

Stock

2016-11-28 18:23 | Report Abuse

You are right, but that is in Nov, this quarter is Q3 which is July, August and September.

In July, price is still USD 1.5. In addition, with the opening of new plants, its likely that cost will fall as well due to economy of scale.

Stock

2016-11-28 18:17 | Report Abuse

I dont expect less profits. You dont post 2 unbelievable quarters and then just crash the profit the next quarter, its a slow drop if anything.

I still expect this quarter to be much higher than the previous year and for this quarter to be the biggest quarter for this year.

Stock

2016-11-28 16:59 | Report Abuse

You know, realistically, this is a good company, im still wondering about why drop like siao.

The retrenchment and solar market drop, plus trump etc is like perfect storm sial.

Stock

2016-11-28 16:34 | Report Abuse

paperplane,

Why you dont count the BA's when getting your cash figure?

Stock

2016-11-28 16:25 | Report Abuse

I turn off itrade d. Loss now is 10% and i got in Monday. I can't look as it makes me doubt my own research.

I'm certain its a positive QR, lets see if i'm right.

Stock

2016-11-28 10:48 | Report Abuse

Or buy. I have honestly no idea.