dear friends, i am new to this counter. please help - how does OSK's entry, or purchase of PJDEV, be harmful to an investor of PJDEV? any simple explanation will help. thanks much, and all the best to all of you in trading.
The only harm is OLH. You need to have the power and patience to hold in case of anything happens. I doubt a new investor can have such strong mindset to go through roller coaster. Piece of advice from me. Take it or not, up to you. Overall, this is a fundamental strong and undervalued share.
Minority Shareholders VS PJ Development (OLH) – David VS Goliath story
PJ Development background: October 2014 P/E : 3.17 (Price 1.57 /Basic EPS 49.6) – Price closing as at 31/10/2014 ... P/BV : 0.62 NTA : 2.54 Dividend per Share : 0.05 (0.025 ex at 9 June and 0.025 ex at 2 Dec 2014 - annualized) Dividend yield : 3.18% (Closed 1.57 at 31/10/2014) (payout ratio is 13.48%)
Current Ratio : 2.57 (12 months June 2014) - PASS Quick Ratio : 2.06 (12 months June 2014) – PASS Debts/Equity Ratio : 0.56(12 months June 2014) – PASS
OLH is doing a tri – party private agreement for OSK Holdings, OSK Property and PJD. Offering to buy PJD at 1.60 per share.
PJ Development NTA is 2.54, if we break it down and sell sum of parts we shall get 2.54 for every share we held. But the issue is, OLH is offering to buy at 1.60, which is 38% below NTA. Using our some our recommended financial ratios, we found that PJD is a good company but is a bad stock due to the offer.
OLH & Party Acting in Concern OLH is a veteran stockbroker. Always do what he does best; to create more value for the company/himself. For our case study, Malaysia market average for taking over regardless of MGO or VGO for mid cap property related is around 6x~8x PE. He is buying from the minority at 50% market rate (PE 3.17).
But if you look at his point of view, PJD never traded above 1.60 (until early June 2014). If a party wish to buy his stake at RHB, of coz OLH will increase his grip at OSK Holdings to get more value from the shares swap. Plus, he is no longer playing an active role at the RHB entity. To surface the real value/profits of PJD to get a better swap for OSK Holding shares is an easy decision.
- Better grip on OSKH - 44% to 51% - Higher OSKH shareholdings = higher value in RHBCap (will be more benefitted if CIMB/RHB/MBSB merged) - To concentrate and build OSKH as a 1st tier developer (combination of PJD, OSKP, OSKH)
Just swapping the shares will automatically create a higher valuations/personal asset wealth in RHB Cap and much higher if RHB/CIMB/MBSB deal really kicks in. Difficult decision? Not at all. We drill deeper for 2013 statements:
PJ Development background: October 2013 P/E : 7.23 (Price 0.94 /Basic EPS 13) – Price closing as at 1/7/2013 EPS : 0.13 Dividend per Share : 0.05 (no change compare to 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013) Dividend yield : 5.3% (30 June 2013)
For the past 5 years, regardless PJD is making huge profits or flat, OLH still giving you 5 cents. As 2014, PJD did exceptionally well, STILL GIVING US 5 CENTS. We shall take out this ‘distorted 2014 year financial statement – put it as one off gain’.
If you buy PJD now and to estimate 2015’s PE: 1.60 / 0.156 = PE 10.2, dividend yield 3.12%, if I am OLH, why I would want to pay you so high? I just want to surface PJD’s 2014 earnings just enough for me to swap for higher OSKH shares.
Total income 2013 = RM 61m vs total receivables 2013 = RM294m Total income 2014 = RM 224m vs total receivables 2014 = RM 532m
See where is the numbers come from now?
Minority Shareholders
Our argument is quite solid. A company is offering to buy shares worth 2.54 from me for 1.60, PE at 3.5 and P/BV at 0.62. No need to ask, any pak cik/mak cik/ah kuai down the street out there will scold and turn this offer down.
Reason: PJD offer is a VGO and not MGO, there is no time frame from a VGO to be concluded. Why want to sell when you are being given a bad deal? If, OLH fails to get to get the shares, this merger will be off and potentially PJD price will return to its true value. If OLH able to get the majority shares, a MGO will kicks in, then only we shall evaluate again.
OLH did his best to create value for himself. Sometimes, we might have forgotten, this company belongs to him. Company’s offer is always to take care of the major shareholders. This is what OLH did. Not surprising.
AS A MINORITY, WHAT AM I GOING TO DO?
‘Base on offer received, value it and react!’
1. If I have PJD shares: Offer 1.60 to buy my 2.54 is not fair and not reasonable, REJECT the VGO offer. Even if I bought much earlier from 0.5 to 1.60, why I want to sell cheap? 2. If I do not have PJD shares: Buy. I will accumulate PJD shares at 1.60 +-. VGO is not a major concern. OLH is likely not able to accumulate the majority shares for privatization. 3. If VGO fails, most likely price will recover. If VGO succeeded, you will end up holding OSKH shares which is first tier property stock! How bad can it go?
P/S: A veteran businessman once told me, OLH’s business sense is EXTREMELY SHARP! If you have the chance to meet OLH personally and shakes his hand, be extra careful, you might just get your HAND CUT AND BLEED!
If somebody has strong enough financial muscle, counter offer at 1.80. Perhaps this will make OLH pay 2.00. Check out how Hong Leong Capital game play.
yup..let keep pressure on this take over deal .. ..with support from MSWG...write more in forums & to SC....make sure the deal to be fair......tq for those to wrote to SC & MSWG....
Below is the summary of the meeting. According to MSWG analysis using Black Scholes model calculation, PJDev-WC should value at 1.57 and OSKProp-WC should value at 2.00. The offer by OSKH is even < 50%. Hence it is not a fair takeover, hence all minority shareholders are told to reject the offer. These 2 stocks are good FA stocks, at such a low price of takeover, the minority shareholders will lose confidence on Bursa because any takeover is only favour major shareholders. The minority shareholders want MSWG to bring up this case to SC and Bursa to force OSKH to offer a better price if OSKH is really interested to takeover these 2 company. Thank you.
at this price range, olh hv strong argument that at 1.60 that is what the market perceive price. why one need to pay more when its at market price, right?
Yesterday the Minority Shareholder Watchdog Group ( MSWG) organised the OSK/OSKP/PJD take over forum due to the 60+ ( fortunately??) complaints received. The news appear in Sinchew Newspaper today.
Suggest everyone write to the MSWG (web : www.mswg.org.my ) people in charge to "motivate" them to take the issue further. and keep the momentum...the more BEES,(see quote at the end) the better....Just my huimble thought...
Mr.Chong Chee Fern, General Manager,Corp. Monitoring Div : chongcf@mswg.org.my
Mr.Lee Chee Meng, Manager, Corp. Monitoring Div : chee.meng@mswg.org.my
Mr.Quah Ban Aik, Head,Corp Monitoring Div : banaik.quah@mswg.org.my
RE: OSK/OSKP/PJD TAKE OVER ISSUE-COMPLAIN ON UNFAIR AND UNETHICAL PRACTICE
Thank you to MSWG for your concern and effort to orgainse forum on 5th Nov 2014 to look into our complains. We hope you would take up this matter further and escalate to higher level of authority to investigate and rectify the matter for the benefits of minority shareholders, confidence and reputation of the market at large
We are sure upon successful restoration of fair practice, many retailers would join and support MSWG in many activities to come.
Thank you..
** you may edit your own words..
Also encourage to write to SC as follow:
Investor Affairs & Complaints Department Securities Commission Malaysia No 3 Persiaran Bukit Kiara Bukit Kiara 50490 Kuala Lumpur Tel: 603 6204 8999 Fax: 603 6204 8991 E-mail: aduan@seccom.com.my
This has never been the merger that all of those who bought into PJDev before the announcement were hoping for. These people have come together and wrongly talked themselves into a frenzy.
It is a restructuring, no doubt about that, but the PERSONAL restructuring of OLH's personal assets, with the major aim to control OSK the jewel.
When pressured, it would likely mean OLH will just withdraw the VGO to the minorities and proceed to transfer his 30+% to OSK.... as the major aim is to control OSK the jewel.
After this restructuring, out of the 3 companies, PJDev will be the smallest and which OLH controls the least ie just 30+%..... I foresee OLH will focus on OSK first, OSKProp second and leaving PJDev to be the last.
In this process, PJDev will not see development in many more years to come and its share price will drop..... OLH will then make a VGO again, knowing him it will, of course, be at an even lower price than the 1.60.
Then...... these people have come together and wrongly talked themselves into a frenzy then before the announcement.
Now....... these people are coming together and wrongly talked themselves into a frenzy again now by wanting SC to do something.... when it is just a VGO.. IT IS JUST A VGO!!
I am totally agree with Mr Ooi views that the purpose of OLH is not getting the ticket via the acceptance of his offer but rather he trying to accumulate more stake in open market once he created panic selling.
The value of PJDEV is should not be undermined taken into account of unbill sales and thus will create a higher NTA.Do you think we are that Childish to let him play the game.In US and HK,I had faced many those cases and I have seen even some of them being taken into court debate (i am hardly seen those case in Malaysia) thus we as a minority shareholders should unite.
For me less than RM 2.2 for mother and RM 1.2 (for son) within this 3 months,I will reject the offer (taking into account of those bought earlier at above RM 1) even though my cost is just approx 0.62.The price will be higher when next quarter result is reported.
For those who do not noticed,Mr Koon Yew Yin is now part of us in defending the castle.
For short term,current strong recovery in overall market as well as fast move of PJDEV WC is not healthy (maybe big guys buy up) but we should not hurry to enter.I will only buy when its back to 65-67.5 equilibrium price based on Vol avg,cheers
To me, no other game is fairer thank the share market. It is always there. Got money, buy more. No money, buy less. Share cheap, buy more. Share expensive, sell more. PE low, P/BV low, DY high, then share is cheap, buy more. Otherwise share expensive, sell more.
Don't just keep on complaining OLH cheats. OLH never cheat. He said it right from beginning, he wants to reorganize and restructure what he already has. He never say he want to buy up all PJD shares. It is up to you if you want to sell your share to him, or sell it in the market. Probably you may have bought it cheap, before OLH became major share holder of PJD. If you buy expensive because you bet OLH may "privatize" PJD, that is your call. If you lose money on your bet, don't blame others.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
thinkbig
151 posts
Posted by thinkbig > 2014-11-04 14:12 | Report Abuse
pjdev is always slower than oskp. when did you observed oskp slower than pjdev