Jackson . Wah tak suka lawan la.....wah kat cmsb sudah siok siok tunggu durian jatuh hari hari...bky ada sukahati....lawan byk byk sudah sakit hati buat apa....lalalalalala
Just sense that something is not right. The global share markets might face huge corrections. They are way too high. The bubble will burst due to over evaluation. Dow Jones might collapse 500 points or more. Even laggards Scable also moves today. This is an end sign to the bull run.
Will the crash from RM9.72 to RM9.20 on 14.04.2014 repeat itself tomorrow? Last time it was saved by the approval of bonus/split approval. If really happens this time got no catalyst. Quite worry.
According to the yc invest articles and look into its historical prices, this is the third round of waves from 9.000 to 10.000, after that it will start rocketing... hopefully it's true...Haha...
Hsbc bank withdrawn will not giving any effect to sarawak counter. Hsbc only will lost the customer based. Hsbc will losing the opportunity participate the score project. We have maybank,cimb,ammb,pbb,hlbank and many others banker are loughing that hsbc being KICK OUT......
Split shares and bonus after split will be the holding power for this stock in addition it is the real "growth stock" because it was traded at much a lower price at a dollar plus during its launch a few years ago but now it is already RM 10 share . make no mistake to hold this share for at least 1-3 years to realize its actual worth. After the split n bonus , a share will become 3 shares and its potential of going up to RM 10 will be the focus after the said exercise.
Additional listing of Employees' Share Option Scheme 30/04/2014 of 2,555,300 Issue price per share ($$) : MYR 2.200 and 1,255,900 Issue price per share ($$) : MYR 2.230 Employees are selling for quick profits.
Employees likely not the sellers. They would want to benefit from the split and bonus issue. May be a good time to accumulate as the price should move up again as the EGM nears.
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS 3-year earnings CAGR of 15%. We forecast CMS earnings to grow by 3-year CAGR of 15% from RM175m in 2013 to RM269m in 2016, spearheaded by its SCORE investments. Despite the commencement of the OMS plant in 2H14, we expect meaningful earnings contribution to flow in from 2015 onwards as it takes approximately one year to ramp up to full production. Apart from OMS, the group’s bottomline is also underpinned by other business segments, riding on Sarawak’s infrastructure growth. Steady cash flow from cement division. Being the only cement player in Sarawak, CMS cement division has been churning out steady cash flows of around RM90m p.a. to the group. Currently, CMS’ two grinding plants are running at 97% utilisation rate and it is in the midst of building a third grinding plant, increasing production capacity by 57% to 2.75mtpa. Owing to strong competitive edge, cement division has recently raised prices by 5-9% to offset an increase in production costs. CMS’ strong advantage as a monopoly is also evident in the superior margins fetched compared to Peninsular peers. Healthy balance sheet and solid dividend policy. As of end-2013, CMS is sitting on a huge cash pile of RM513m, giving management a sizeable war chest to participate in value-enhancing investments to shareholders (eg.OMS). We gather that management is studying a few proposals and will only invest if the project meets an internal hurdle rate of 18%. In addition, CMS has committed to a 30% dividend payout policy, providing investors visibility on future dividend in-flows. We reckon there is scope to increase dividend payout as OM Sarawak begins to churn positive cash flows to the group from 2015 onwards. Remarkable track record. Helmed by competent professional managers, CMS has embarked on corporate restructuring since 2008, after hiving off its stakes in noncore businesses such as UBG Group and RHB Bank. The renewed focus has led to delivery of commendable profits, with the group achieving net profit CAGR of 44% over the past four years, effectively shrugging off initial scepticism over its shareholding links to family members of the previous Chief Minister of Sarawak. FIGURE 1: KEY BUSINESS SEGMENTS
INDUSTRY HIGHLIGHTS – SCORE Significant value from SCORE projects. With committed investments of up to RM800m, CMS is most leveraged to the thriving economic corridor, and is expected to derive about RM90m PBT in 2016 from its SCORE projects, or 21% of group’s total (2013: 30%). On top of being the master developer of Samalaju Industrial Park, CMS has also invested in i) a 20% stake in OM Materials Sarawak (OMS), which aspires to be the world’s lowest cost ferro-alloy producer and ii) a 40% JV to develop Southeast Asia’s first integrated phosphate plant. All these projects combined (excluding phosphate project) will contribute approximately 15% to CMS RNAV. Key economic corridor to drive Sarawak’s GDP. Launched in 2008, SCORE is one of the key economic corridors established by the Federal government and the Sarawak state government with land area spanning over 70,000 sq km and population of more than 600,000. It is a multi-year project with planned investments of RM334b, of which 80% will be contributed by the private sector, aimed at accelerating the state’s economic growth.
KEY SCORE AREAS Area Developments Samalaju Heavy and Energy Intensive Industries Tanjung Manis Halal hub Mukah Smart city Baram Hydropower and oil palm Tunoh Oil palm & Eco tourism Source: RECODA, UOB Kay Hian
Samalaju – the backbone of SCORE. There are five major areas identified within SCORE and Samalaju has been earmarked as the backbone (refer to top RHS table), concentrating on heavy and energy-intensive industries. With a deep sea port currently under construction (full completion in 2016), Samalaju stands out due to attractive energy rates offered and its strategic location within close proximity to economic powerhouses such as China and Japan. To-date, Samalaju has managed to attract foreign investments of up to US$9b including the likes of reputable players such as Tokuyama and Press Metal (refer to bottom RHS table). Attractive energy rate from hydropower. Due to its geological formation, SCORE has an abundance of natural resources, including clean and safe renewable resources like hydropower. As a result, SCORE is able to offer attractive energy rates, which we understand to be 40-50% cheaper compared to other places in the region. Currently, most of the energy source comes from the gigantic Bakun dam which has a capacity of 2,400MW. In anticipation of more energy needs at SCORE, state government has begun the planning process to build more water dams. It was recently announced that the State is planning to build the proposed Baram and Balleh dams with installed power capacity of 1,200MW and 1,295 MW respectively.
OM Sarawak (OMS) Major earnings kicker. Upon full production of Phase 1, OMS is expected to contribute PBT of RM63m, or around 21% of the group’s 2013 total. We have conservatively assumed 20% PBT margin with an ASP of US$1,500/tonne, giving the company an IRR of 16% for the investment. Phase 1 to commence in 2H14. In partnership with OM Holdings (OMH AU), phase 1 of the OMS project, costing around US$424m, will have a total production capacity of 308,000 MTpa for ferrosilicon alloys. It is expected to commence operations in 2H14 with full commission of plant anticipated a year later. As for Phase 2, we understand that construction for the Manganese alloy plant should begin in late- 2014, with commencement expected 18 months after. Essential to steelmaking. Ferrosilicon is a raw material used in the de-oxidation process to prevent loss of carbon from molten steel. It is essential to steelmaking and demand for the product is expected to grow in tandem with global steel production, which grew at a CAGR of 6% in 2004-13. Over the past 10 years, steel production growth was mainly driven by Asia which accounts for 60% of world production capacity now, as compared to 40% previously. Competitive power cost a major oomph. As power makes up to approximately 50% of the total operating cost, OMS has a major cost advantage against its global peers due to the competitive 20-year power purchase agreement secured from Syarikat Sesco Berhad. Effectively, OMS will pay an average of about US$5.5c/KWh over the next 20 years, which we understand to be at 40-50% discount to the rates incurred by its competitors. 5-year tax holiday. Granted a pioneer tax status, OMS will enjoy tax holiday for five years upon commencement of production. Furthermore, it will also enjoy zero import and export duties, thus being able to price its products competitively. Close proximity to key Asian markets. Setting up the smelter plant in Samalaju gives OMS a vital location advantage, being in close proximity to key economic powerhouses such as China and Japan, which account for some 60% of the global steel production. On top of convenient access to these key markets, OMS will benefit from lower transportation costs for both raw materials supply as well as delivery of end products to customers. 60% off-taking secured. Leveraging on its partner’s (OM Holdings) strong customer database, OMS has secured 60% binding off-take agreements with customers such as JFE Shoji and Hanwa for its phase 1 production. The remaining 40% will be sold on the open market, allowing them to earn better margins.
MPAS PROJECT Capex RM1.04b Ownership CMS – 40% MPA – 40% Arif Enigma – 20% Financing Equity – 30% Debt – 70% Capacity 500,000 MTpa of phosphate products 450,000 MTpa of Coke Off-take Plans to secure off-take of up to 60% Commission 1H16 with full production expected in 1H18 Source: CMS, UOB Kay Hian
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
pang72
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Posted by pang72 > 2014-04-23 18:46 | Report Abuse
It is not too long time for the split. .approx. one month from now. Wait LA...