hksoon, you are out of date...Sarawak CM is Tan Sri Adenan....I guess after Easter Holiday and 清明节。。after Christian and Chinese community finish their stuff
cmsb needs to spend money rewarding investors with handsome dividens and bonus to stay relevant in stock market rather than keeping money in the banks. That's the only way cmsb to be flying high and seen as one of the most precious bluechip stocks. Sharing your wealth and it will surely make you richer.
how far Tan Sri Taib Mahmud can go and thats show how high cms can fly ! how many seats can YAB CM Tan Sri Adenan Satem win/lose ( 64 or 72seats?) that indicate how low CMS can drop further. TS Taib still stay relevant in stock market.
i also feeling very very sad that today CMS big drop 15 cents. i almost got no bullet to all-in Mr Harold Huong. That day Dun Swk dissolved i buy at too high level which is Rm4.70
Although it just tendered one out of eight packages (if i'm not wrong) of Pan Borneo Highway but will benefit to provide building and construction materials to many projects in Sarawak.
CMS’ recent subscription to MYR110m convertible preference shares (CPS) in OMS suggests that the latter’s business environment may be more challenging than our initial projection. Therefore, we cut our FY16F-17F earnings by 14.8%/7.6% respectively and lower our SOP-based TP to MYR4.80 (from MYR5.86, 7% upside). We downgrade the stock to NEUTRAL (from Buy), but we believe its longer-term outlook remains intact.
Watchful on OMS. It has been a while since we first highlighted a potential risk of Cahya Mata Sarawak’s (CMS) investment in its 25%-owned OM Materials (Sarawak) SB (OMS). Ferrosilicon prices have plummeted in tandem with the broad weakness across the commodity complex, thus dampening its earnings outlook. CMS has recently subscribed MYR110m CPS issued by OMS. This unexpected cash call suggests that the outlook for OMS may be more challenging than we had expected. While a total of 16 furnaces at its ferrosilicon facilities have been completed, only six are currently in operations.
Other businesses remain vibrant. OMS aside, we remain upbeat on CMS’ overall outlook. Earnings from its road maintenance and materials and trading divisions have risen ahead of the impending Sarawak state election. We also believe that both divisions may eventually benefit from the MYR26bn Pan Borneo Highway project that would help to sustain the high earnings base recorded in FY15 moving forward. Meanwhile, we think that the commissioning of its new grinding plant in Mambong, Sarawak could help to improve profitability of its cement unit in FY16. Its Oct 2015 acquisition of a 50% stake in Sacofa SB, the sole telecommunication tower service provider in the state, would also see full-year earnings contribution from 2016 onwards.
Forecast and key risks. CMS’ response to Bursa Malaysia’s query on the reason for its subscription to OMS’ CPS was to help meet the latter’s cash flow demand. We suspect OMS may have suffered deeper losses than we had initially projected. We revise down our FY16F and FY17F earnings by 14.8% and 7.6% respectively but keep our FY18 estimates intact, after cutting our forecast on OMS. OMS remains the single largest risk within the group as the extent of its operating losses remains uncertain and we cannot discount the possibility of a wider loss than our newly-revised numbers.
Downgrade to NEUTRAL with a lower MYR4.80 TP. Nevertheless, we continue to like CMS as the best proxy to the rapid development activities in Sarawak. However, potential losses at OMS may dampen investor sentiment on the stock. That said, we believe its medium to longer-term outlook remains bright and CMS could make a comeback as soon as 2H16. Therefore, we downgrade to stock to only NEUTRAL (from Buy) with our SOP-based TP lowered to MYR4.80 (from MYR5.86). The downside risk to our call is higher-than-expected losses at OMS, while the upside risk is a sharp recovery in ferrosilicon prices, which could potentially cut losses at OMS.
In fact, Maybank Security had revised CMSB to RM4.60 earlier. Time to accumulate slowly when further drop.. but definitely not for contra but for mid term.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Harold Huong
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Posted by Harold Huong > 2016-03-26 14:15 | Report Abuse
hksoon, you are out of date...Sarawak CM is Tan Sri Adenan....I guess after Easter Holiday and 清明节。。after Christian and Chinese community finish their stuff