BMW (ticker: BMW.Germany) isn't known for EVs. It's a luxury auto maker that makes sleek, stylish -- and pricey -- sedans such as the 8 Series Gran Coupe, the M3 sports car, and the X5 Sports Activity Vehicle. But the German company has also become a stealth EV play. It delivered 93,931 all-battery electric vehicles, or BEVs, during the third quarter of 2023, more than General Motors $(GM)$, Ford Motor $(F)$, and Rivian Automotive $(RIVN)$ combined.
Some traditional auto makers have larger EV businesses, but few can match BMW's sales mix. The larger Volkswagen (VOW.Germany), for instance, sold 210,000 BEVs during the third quarter, but that amounted to 9% of total sales. BEVs made up 15% of BMW's total third-quarter sales, up from less than 9% the year before, a number that doesn't include its hybrid sales. That puts the company in an enviable position. "BMW has both kept powertrain options open and been methodical about developing EVs," says Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois.
Producing a great EV or two by itself doesn't make an auto stock worth owning. But it does mean that a traditional car maker has a viable business model down the road, even if the global market for gas-powered cars is half its current size in 2030, as Wall Street, and the car companies, expect. Without the existential risk of a declining gasoline-car business, investors can evaluate BMW stock based on its fundamentals.
Not everything is perfect. Pricing, for instance, will act as a headwind. New-car prices in the U.S. are still up more than 20% from prepandemic levels, which has been helpful for operating profit margins that are expected to hit 11% at BMW in 2023, up from a historical average of 9%. Wall Street projects that margins will fall back to 9% in coming years, pressuring earnings, which could hit $17.50 a share in 2024 after peaking at almost $29 in 2022.
I am with EV God. These are nokias and Motorolas. in denial stage.
companies like VW, Toyota, Honda, they make half their money in China.
if higher interest rates in America affects Tesla, u think it does not affect the legacy cars meh?
in recent years, the car companies keep selling bigger and bigger cars and SUV , the average price of a car is $ US 50,000, this will drop by half. In the mean while, the EV will be better and cheaper. All legacy cars ta pau soon.
Tesla’s pains in China have been partially a result of widespread subsidies, and partially self-inflicted missteps, as it failed to keep up with the fast evolving market of the developing nation.
In Walter Isaacson's much-discussed biography of Musk, he tells a story in which the billionaire pursues driverless robotaxis as Tesla's future, putting off plans to create a mass market car that would sell for around $25,000. His logic was that an autonomous car would make the cheaper Tesla irrelevant. The development of a fully driverless car is still far out in the future — but a $25,000 Tesla would be useful right about now.
China's market needs and demands cheaper EV options, as it's a country where the average urban worker earns less than $10,000 annually. Tesla's market share in China has accordingly shrunk from 15% to 10% between 2020 and 2022.
tesla is still be hot favorite in EU and USA.........................tesla is like apple. very difficult, almost impossible, for Chinese EV to dominate in EU and USA.
the luckiest people are the Chinese........so many choices and options in China.
BYD is the leader but there is also the Huawei car Aito, Geely Zeekr, Volvo, polestar, SIC MG, GAC AION, Nio, X peng, Li, Neeta, Cherry, Huawei Cherry, wuling, many many more. from USD 10,000 to USD 200,000.
over the next few years, all foreign brands especially Japanese cars will disappear from China...and the German become niche players with small market share.
When new technology comes along u have to understand the new technology. Understand the s curve otherwise u become the new Nokia.
Every year about 10 million cars are sold in EU. EU itself intends to go fully electric by 2030 or 2035. And the data suggest the s curve is on And VW and legacy car companies EV cannot compete with Tesla . That is what the data shows. Q4 will be a very strong quarter for Tesla in Europe. With new model3 and prices that cleans the floor of what VW BMW and others have on offer.
Europeans are still losing money on every EV they sell. Die or not? Their cost their technology is just competitive to giga press used by Tesla.
VW suggestion is to import VW made in China to be sold in Europe. Die or not? While the idea is good can they overcome the politics ?
When new technology comes along u have to understand the new technology. Understand the s curve otherwise u become the new Nokia.
Every year about 10 million cars are sold in EU. EU itself intends to go fully electric by 2030 or 2035. And the data suggest the s curve is on And VW and legacy car companies EV cannot compete with Tesla . That is what the data shows. Q4 will be a very strong quarter for Tesla in Europe. With new model3 and prices that cleans the floor of what VW BMW and others have on offer.
Europeans are still losing money on every EV they sell. Die or not? Their cost their technology is just uncompetitive to giga press used by Tesla....some more the best the cheapest batteries come from byd and catl and Europeans using Korean batteries.. Eho
VW suggestion is to import VW made in China to be sold in Europe. Die or not? While the idea is good can they overcome the politics ?
while China celebrates EV and everyone buying EV, America is going in the other direction. .....the S curve is still real and the limiting factor for tesla is production ,not sales.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
AnakUlarSawa
700 posts
Posted by AnakUlarSawa > 2023-10-20 15:27 |
Post removed.Why?