Jaks is on right path to concentrate on power generation concession business model now, ensure steady long term profit over 25 year (coal power), 21 year (solar power) and potential next hydropwer (25-30 year)
Recent private placement at 47.5sen already raise up RM 130m, together with recent director share option exercise price for 53.8sen raise fund RM 38m, total fresh fund raise now RM 168m.
1. Coal power (1200MW) - completed and fully COD in Jan 2021. The profit generated will accumulated for Jaks to subscribed additional 10% equity from 30% stake to 40%. Therefore, no further is needed
2. Solar power (50MW) need RM 50m equity capital + concession back debt - RM 50m already fully equip now and awaiting former PPA signing with Tenaga by Aug 2021.
3. Hydropower and additional solar power in Sabah - Balance fresh capital RM 118m is ready to fund equity portion for any new Power plant later.
Thus, Jaks now is in much better position to bid more power plant.
Jaks Vietnam IPP need at least 2 year to retain its portion of profit in order exercise it option to subscribe additional 10%, rising ifrom 30 to 40%. Therefore, jaks only able to distribute dividend from Vietnam IPP after 3 year operation.
Meantime, jaks will continue report steady profit from IPP with step up increment 2 year later arising from increase stake from 30 to 40%.
Even without dividend for next 2 year, jaks stable profit from IPP still worth at least RM 130m, translating to EPS 11sen, PE valuation <5x still is investment grade stock, albeit offset partially by loss in local operation
Local Construction / Property Delay in Selangor MCO area will impact Jaks next 2 quarters results Suke Highway 750m should be finished end 2020 will Delay to 2022. I think Dec 2021 is a better time to enter Jaks, atleast Covid can be contained and politics has clearer view
Just for information: Reply from JAKS IR Dear Mr Lee
With reference to the above matter, I would like to inform you that all of your questions under Group A and Group B were addressed during the AGM held last week.
However, due to the time constraint during the AGM, we were unable take up all the live questions posted to us. Nevertheless, please be advised that all relevant questions will be compiled and answered accordingly, which will then be uploaded in our website in due course.
Thank you.
Regards JAKS IR
My reply: Dear Sandra Tan,
Thank you for the information that all of my questions under Group A and Group B were addressed during the AGM held last week and due to the time constraint during the AGM, the Board and Management were unable to take up all the live questions posted.
Nevertheless, all relevant questions will be compiled and answered accordingly, which will then be uploaded in JRB’s website in due course.
I am looking forward to reading the Q&A when it is posted at JRB’s website.
If jaks able to rectify broiler unit 1, improved load operation efficiency from 80% to 95%, jaks should be able to record profit from 36m/ quarter to RM 45m/ quarter.
Since jaks Vietnam profit is tax exampted with USD denomination, jaks should report even higher RM profit with exchange rate higher at 4.19
Jaks incentive plan include 2 plan 1. Share grant 15% - free share, alrdy fully granted to director last year
2. Share option 15% - director need to pay to exercise option in accord to ioemmarket price with some discount. These plan have just recently start paetially exercise by director by paying 53sen per share. The remaining balance share option have extended now.
Recent 15% private placement mainly for low margin project of solar power and some goes to paying ALP and staff salaries. Discounting this 15% dilutive PP, jaks still worth much more than its current price of 46.5 sen due to its power plant in Vietnam.
Solar power still command high single digit profit margin. Although lower than coal fire power in Vietnam 12% profit margin, but still better than loss making local construction/ mall business.
Solar power is viable and earning accretive long term business with secure by 21 year concession
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Steady Punpipi
7,570 posts
Posted by Steady Punpipi > 2021-07-07 08:27 | Report Abuse
SELL JAKS MOVE ON TO SDK !!!