Doing nothing is obviously not a good strategy when you see something is falling from the sky. Standing still and doing nothing had led to many having huge paper losses. Members must think rationally and don’t let your mind controlled by some KAKI KONG a& KAKI SONG in the forum. Your money you decide for yourself.
So JAKS now selling for 28.5 sen. Can you beleive it? Why not when it is a fact now. And it is also a fact that Aseng beleive JAKS should worth RM 1.50 and I beleive Insas should at least worth RM 1.50.
=> Vietnam will only buy minimum power due to coal and high water availability => Too many abandoned solar plants in Malaysia due to 40% jump in construction costs. => The Shopping Center is dead, Long Live the Shopping Center
Share price keeps dropping coz most people expect another series of at least 4 to 6 RIs needed to get more capital for next few years. Result ~ 30% capital losses Done at ever decreasing share prices unless executed with share consolidation which takes us to the next issue at hand.
High possibility of share consolidation which translates to ~ 20% capital losses for existing holders.
the only winners will be Management and Staff.
Kindergarden maths tells you => Consolidation and RI will easily result in ~ 50% capital losses.
so cannot blame existing holders to dump desperately resulting in continous non-stop drop drop drop drop and more drop to existing share price which is expected to drop drop drop and more drop later.
sslee had also raised the issue of continous RI in Jaks future ... done at ever decreasing share prices unless consolidation then more RI at ever decreasing share prices unless consolidation then more RI at ever decreasing share prices unless consolidation then more RI at ever decreasing share prices unless consolidation then more RI at ever decreasing share prices unless consolidation
projects in the pipeline amounts to another USD3 Billion to USD6 Billion its known and unknown future
plus hey man!! if you want a Gas powered PP. GE will gladly sell you one. but have you looked at the gas prices now and future prices ? and also bankruptcies of gas PP... ... man
looking into known unknowns unknown unknowns known knowns unknown knowns
most wise men elected to dump their shares and Mister Nobody bought them. thats why drop drop drop and drop some more.
Continue to drag down by local, otherwise, just solely from Vietnam IPP, valuation will be higher. Next catayst is commission 50MW solar power next year and potential new renewal power project.
In additional, favourable legal outcome against star will be leap up for jaks
Source - Affin Hwang Improvement in associate profit as maintenance work is completed The associate profit has recovered by 19% qoq, as the share of associate profit from the power plant has increased to RM33.9m in 1Q22 from RM28.6m in 4Q21, mainly driven by lower maintenance costs incurred as most of the work was completed in 4Q21. We believe that there is still potential upside to earnings, given that it is still below the RM37.5m-RM43.4m/Q achieved in 2021. The improvement yoy was mainly due to the second unit of the boiler, which only started contributing in January 2021. Given the improved stability of the power plant, management remains confident that they would start receiving dividends from its associate soon, and would also likely announce its maiden dividend to Jaks’ shareholders in 2022. Continue working to turn around domestic operations We believe that the narrowed PBT for its property investment operation to RM10.2m from RM20.8m was mainly due to better cost management as the overall revenue for the segment has only increased by less than RM0.5m for the quarter. We are expecting stronger revenue (lower losses) in the coming quarter, due to the improved footfall for the Evolve Concept City Mall (a huge portion of its rental is based on percentage of sales), and the improved occupancy rate at its Pacific Star Business Hub. As of end of the quarter, occupancy rates for the properties are at 67% and 31% respectively. Maintain BUY with an unchanged TP of RM0.62 We have kept our earnings forecasts unchanged, given that the performance was within our expectations. We also retain our BUY call and keep our TP unchanged at RM0.62, based on a 20% discount to RNAV. We reiterate our BUY rating as we remain optimistic as the potential maiden dividend in 2022 could be the re-rating catalyst. Downside risk: higher-than-expected losses from its property investment segment.
Jaks FY22Q1 result was not too bad with a PATAMI of RM21.1mil (EPS 1.03 sen). Again, it has been saved by the profit sharing from its Vietnam power plant.
Operating profit in this quarter stays negative at a loss of RM17.5mil, while profit sharing from Vietnam is RM33.9mil.
The quarterly profits contribution from Vietnam are RM33.9mil (FY22Q1), RM28.6mil (FY21Q4), RM43.4mil (FY21Q3), RM37.5mil (FY21Q2) and RM29.8mil (FY21Q1).
For the last full FY2021 ended in Dec21, overall operating loss was at RM108.8mil and the Vietnam profit sharing stood at RM139.3mil.
Operating cash flow remains poor as it registers persistent losses from its construction and property investment divisions, which looks never-ending.
Revenue is in the downtrend as no new construction contract is secured. Its LSS4 project is expected to be completed in one year's time (Q1 of 2023) but its profit contribution is likely to be relatively small.
To me, the only hope now for Jaks is to get the dividend payment from JHDP which is its Vietnam power plant investment.
It's already been more than one year since the plant started operation but it seems like no dividend is distributed yet. Perhaps it will be in mid 2022?
Anyway, cash continues to be burnt daily and it has a total cash of RM102mil at the end of Mac22, after just raising RM129.5mil through private placement in mid 2021.
If operating cashflow is still poor in the next 2 quarters, I can't rule out a further cash call by Jaks.
As a well-managed company, MFCB's share price does not move much even though it gets RM450mil cash inflow yearly from its hydropower plant.
Looking at this, I have some doubts over how much valuation the market will give to Jaks later. We know that Jaks is not a very well-managed company after all.
It is trading at current level simple because of shitty local operations. The PP operations is contributing consistent income now . At current level , why not.
Current market capitalization is RM613m only. Its net profit is projected to increase from RM51.9m in 2021 to RM113m in 2022. Unfortunately the share price has been dropping with no support at all, similar to many other listed companies in this bearish Bursa market.......
Jaks management must quickly take actions to dispose of its property investment arms even at a loss to stop its bleedings, and use the proceeds to exercise its call options to buy the additional 10% stake in JHDP which can boost its annual net profit contribution to close to RM200m per annum.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
YeahLoo
46 posts
Posted by YeahLoo > 2022-05-25 12:03 | Report Abuse
@Jyen, use desktop or notebook to access; Phone & iPad are not allow.