Is Glomac a value trap? The earnings of property developers have been declining over the past few years. This was due to several measures by the government to reduce property speculation. Covid-19 aggravated the situation. The performance of Glomac was similarly affected.
But Glomac has a profitable track record and is financially sound. I expect the business performance of Glomac in the coming years to improve. Together with the expected improvement in the market sentiments, the market price of Glomac would be much higher than what it is today.
The market price of Glomac is currently below its intrinsic value. This is from the perspective of the Asset Value, Earnings Power Value, and Acquirer's Multiple. Refer to the infographics https://i.postimg.cc/NMLj0Tg8/Glomac.png
For a company to be a value trap, its low price must be due to poor fundamentals. In the case of Glomac, the analysis does not indicate poor fundamentals. The intrinsic values are significantly higher than the market price. I would not consider Glomac a value trap.
Glomac possesses a solid portfolio of prime and strategic development landbank with a potential estimated GDV of close to RM8 billion. Within Johor, Sri Saujana and Saujana Jaya combined have available 238 acres with a potential GDV of around RM800 million. This will benefit from government plans to boost economic activities in Johor - such as establishing a special financial zone in Forest City as well as the potential revival of the High Speed Rail (“HSR”) from Kuala Lumpur to Singapore. GLOMAC BERHAD 27 September 2023
The Bursa property companies had a tough few years. Covid-19 affected my companies in Malaysia and the property companies were no exception. But the problems for the property companies started long before Covid-19 with a soft market that began with the govt efforts to curb speculation in the 2016/17. But I think there is light at the end of the tunnel and as such many property companies could be under priced from a fundamental perspective. One example is Glomac that is currently trading at a discount to its intrinsic value. It is not a value trap. You can read about it from page 19 of the newsletter. https://notice.shareinvestor.com/email/newsletter/invest/pdf/Vol193_Invest-02Feb.pdf
Bought more Glomac @ 40c, averaging down on the original 2k shrs bought in 2016 & added to in '17, '19, '21, '22 & '23 which earned $895.25 in dividends.
Steady! Although revenue dropped slightly, net debt has shrunk 60% from over $189 mil to less than $77 mil, operating cashflow has increased 36% to $138 mil. Net-net has improved from -33 mil to -18 mil, with the overall profitability higher than pre-Covid levels!
Glomac has good future potential , I am confident that it will reach 60 cts soon. Buy and hold, you will get big fortune in near future. Today, the counter is moving a bit.
After averaging down yearly since 2016 just b4 the ex-dividend date to just under 45c, I fortuitously SOLD just over half my stake @ between 45.5c-47c lately...the first ever, though small, capital gain on this stock !
Will wait @ 40c to rebuild my position closer to the ex-dividend date!🤗
FD Idzham, Business Development & Corporate Strategy at Glomac Berhad, who is the son of Datuk Fateh Iskandar, who is also the group managing director and chief executive officer, owns another 19.17% stake in Glomac recently married to Sultan Pahang's daughter, August 2024.
Glomac Bhd says it should benefit from potential heightened activities in Johor with the proposed introduction of a special financial zone in Forest City, and a possible revival of the Kuala Lumpur-Singapore high speed rail project.
The company is bullish given its existing presence in Johor through the Sri Saujana and Saujana Jaya township developments, which have a combined landbank totaling 238 acres and a total potential estimated gross development value (GDV) of RM800 million.
In Johor, Glomac has about 165 acres of land in Kulai as well as in Ulu Tiram.
“We bought this land (in Ulu Tiram) a long time ago, in 1996 [about 500 acres then]. We have [yet to develop] the last 10% of the 500 acres, which works out to maybe another 50 to 60 acres,” says FD Iskandar.
He is optimistic about the prospects of the Johor property market, given the increase in foreign direct investments into the state in recent years, particularly in the data centre space.
“This will hopefully provide good-paying jobs, high-paying jobs. And the people will need houses, shops, commercial areas and whatnot, right? Not everybody can do data centres, so we’ll provide the housing and the commercial centres.”
He adds that the biggest market for property in Johor is still Malaysians working in Singapore, rather than from the new jobs that will be created by the influx of data centre investments.
The land in Kulai is strategically located as it is near the Second Link and Johor-Singapore Causeway, which is still the main route for Johoreans to get to Singapore every day for work, says FD Iskandar.
“Now, we are about to launch another 120 residential units. But once we do this, we are looking at the commercial side. Because we are only, like, 5km away from the Second Link and we are nearer to the [Johor Bahru] city centre.”
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Nkk1370
277 posts
Posted by Nkk1370 > 2022-06-13 08:23 | Report Abuse
70pc are owned by Saphadu, 3 original major sshareholders. So not much free float anymore