i sold all avg. at 2.18 now will accumulate back the same amount. wait for the egm. if after egm OLH DELIBERATELY delays the exdate announcement again.. or DELIBERATELY prolong the exdate entitlement date to sept or oct.. then i will fking sell all again without hesitance... for sure.
Just gone through the Independent Advice Letter by Kenanga, this is definitely a one sided deal that beneficial to OSK at the expense of OSKProp and PJDev (sorry to the shareholders).
Consolidated NA post proposal - minimum RM2.64 (before dilution due to exercise of warrant) Consolidated EPS post proposal - mimimum 33c (before dilution due to exercise of warrant)
Bear in mind Kenanga use FYE2014 figure in this evaluation. We all know how well PJD n OSKProp had performed so far in FYE2015 and expected to continue do well.
Not to forget there is 15c special dividend (7% yield at current price) will be first in the pocket.
Because the offer is too good and nobody can believe it. Everyone think mr ong will lose big time. Mr. Ong wants to control Osk because of the near 10% holding of Rhb. He is thinking ahead of everyone,he knows Rhb will be merged with another bank in the future. Good of him to give shareholders something now as most have been waiting since Osk investment
Commented in this forum on 12th and 18th October,2014 about mr ong intentions and how much he stands to gain on this. It is about 250mil. back in October last year. Less now as Rhb share price has come down but maybe more in the future because of potential merger. Mr. Ong has all the information otherwise he wouldn't have taken the risk and handed to you Osk prop and Pjd at a discount.
Osk holding share price will trade higher than 2.05-2.10 reasons being eps increase from 21.29 to minimum of 33 cents,better future prospects from being a bigger company and better dividend from Rhb Bank
Yea if market is reasonable OSK should worth a lot more than 2.10. If valued at PE of 8 TP is 2.60 at least (EPS will be slightly higher than 33c by now as both OSKProp and PJD reported even better profit, and also provided RHB did not underperform). Interesting indeed.
Osk holding share price will move north AFTER mr ong has gained 55% control of Osk holding. If all Osk property and Pjd minority shareholders were to convert into Osk holding,mr ong will control just under 50% of Osk holding. He doesn't want this to happen that is why the 2 companies are offered at a discount. Mr. Ong will again increased his holding in Osk when he exercises his warrants in the future. He told you he is putting his coffin money into this company. Guarantee like this I want. Don't forget he is paying himself the 15 cents sp.divi. too.
Hng33,I think you are correct. He will offer for the rest of the minority shareholders later after he has control of Osk holding and when the share price of Osk has increased significantly.
Hng33, most investors have the misconception that ong will lose out on this. I shall definitely keep the free warrant and wait for Rhb to be sold or merged with another bank.
Correct hng33, as Osk share price will go up sooner and faster than both the other 2 companies. Otherwise minority of the 2 companies have to wait till next year for their share prices to go up. End result will be the same but have to wait. So why wait?
The jewel in the crown for mr ong is the extra 13% from Osk near 10% of Rhb and he gets to control Osk. He will not lose out on Osk prop but he will lose out on Pjd but this is compensated by the gain from the extra 13%, resulting in a net gain of around 200 to 250 millions. Of the 3 companies,Mr. Ong has the least holding in Pjd compared with Osk prop and Osk holding therefore the lose is the least.
I thank Mr. hng33, Mr. Gheekong and Mr. kai8994 for all the analysis of the future performance of OSKH once everything is put in place and also (and this is interesting) the mindset and thinking of an experienced investment banker. For all what it is worth, I would have thought that what that investment banker did, is doing or will be doing, all that he plans are for the good of his interests only. I may praise Tan Sri Ong for how he grew OSKH to be a force within the ASEAN region, BUT he never rewarded OSKH shareholders well. Look back and reflect. Even when he sold off OSKIB to RHBC what did the shareholders get. AND WE EXPECT OSKH TO RISE. NO WAY. Look at the share price of OSKH right now; if it wants to go up, it would had gone up. But what do we see? UP and then DOWN.
Conclusion, as what hng33 commented, seize the opportunity now and ride on OSK first (no reason for minority shareholder to vote against the deal on Monday), then bet on PJD (no way other shareholders will agree to sell it so cheap) when near September.
Only reason Osk share price has been kept down is because ong doesn't want minority shareholders of the 2 companies to convert. If they all convert he will control just less than 50%. That is why I said only AFTER ong has gained 55% of Osk, only then ong will push the price up as he can then use the higher Osk share price to exchange for the rest of Osk prop and Pjd. Hanting999, had it not for 1MDB the merger would have gone through,that is why Cimb Nazir is so pissed off. The share price of Osk would be trading around 2.80 now had the merger been successful.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
bluebiznet
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Posted by bluebiznet > 2015-06-19 15:25 | Report Abuse
i sold all avg. at 2.18 now will accumulate back the same amount. wait for the egm. if after egm OLH DELIBERATELY delays the exdate announcement again.. or DELIBERATELY prolong the exdate entitlement date to sept or oct.. then i will fking sell all again without hesitance... for sure.