Protasco currently at RM1.95 undervalued and has very good potential to double in two to three years. Some of my observations (2013 profit to shareholders RM48m and market cap it about RM650m):
1. The ROCI (net of cash) for past 4 years is actually 15.3% which is very good (ROE is about 11%)
2. Only 20% of the property results is taken into 2013 accounts (RM4m), so the remaining RM20m is yet to be accounted for.
3. Oil and gas contribution will be significant, up to RM20m.
4. If you notice, 2013 vs 2012, PAT before MI is both the same, i.e. RM71m. But after MI, 2013 improved to RM43m vs RM37m. Hence, for coming quarters, higher PAT after MI is expected.
5. Current PE is about 13x, Forward PE for 2014 and 2015 is 8x and 6x respectively. Protasco should worth at least a PE 15x for 2014. Hence, the market cap should worth RM1.2billion, which is double from now. Of course, the company is awaiting the approval the free warrants;
6. Last but not least, the second largest shareholders just announced he may be transacting in the closed period.
CONCLUSION
Opportunity is still there before it is too late. Dividend is expected about 5-6%p.a. Upside 100%. De Centrum property (RM10bil) potential is GREAT with MRT line 2 coming up.
aiyo dragon, when wave come, too late to go surfing lor
So far so good. Very stable earnings, anything else extra will cause a spark up. Waiting collect dividend and free warrants.
Posted by dragonslayer > May 22, 2014 09:49 AM | Report Abuse Aiyo FB.....not enter protasco yet....no wave coming ....and wait for PP price setting first lah......it is critical......ha ha ha
This counter remind me of SILK. Silk went up from 30sen to 60 sen, then up and down a few times between 68 and 60 sen, before the announcement of private placement, the share went up to 88sen, and the private placement was priced at a discount at 72.5sen. Today it is trading at 22% above the placement price of 88sen.
If you notice, similarly before the private placement for Protasco, the price went up to RM2.04, then consolidate around RM1.86 to RM1.98 for a couple of weeks. The pp price if I am not mistaken is about RM1.90.
The only different is Protasco prospects definitely looks better than SILK. Should accumulate when it is not moving (like SILK, around 60 sen for many weeks) before it surge to 88sen in less than one week.
Of course, I also notice a lot of share price went up prior to the private placement, besides SILK or Protasco, similarly, Coastal also went up, and the pp price is RM4.30, after which it went up to RM5.00 plus, but now came down to about RM4.75.
Similarity aside, the fundamental and growth prospects for Protasco is far better than some of the other stocks and the forward PE is in single digit.
Particulars of substantial Securities Holder Name DATO' SRI LEE HOCK SENG Address MLO 5278, Kelapa Sawit Kulai 81030 Johor. NRIC/Passport No/Company No. 501002-71-5129 Nationality/Country of incorporation Malaysian Descriptions (Class & nominal value) Ordinary shares of RM0.50 each Name & address of registered holder LEE HOCK SENG MLO 5278, Kelapa Sawit Kulai 81030 Johor. Details of changesCurrency: Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) Type of transaction Date of change No of securities Price Transacted (RM) Acquired 21/05/2014 40,000 1.681
Circumstances by reason of which change has occurred Acquisition of shares via open market Nature of interest Direct Direct (units) 8,393,141 Direct (%) 10.49 Indirect/deemed interest (units) 21,500,000 Indirect/deemed interest (%) 26.87 Total no of securities after change 29,893,141 Date of notice 22/05/2014
Aiyo...like this..Tay PY.....will be the next person to take charge of the company liao......good lor ..but he is young with full of energy......better then the existing one keep unloading the company shares.......ha ha ha
Just read The Star on Sat, the MRT line will have a station at UNITEN, that's exactly where Protasco's land is. [not sure it is a confirmed line or just a proposal]. Although I found it crazy, some new launches priced their condo near MRT for RM1200 psf. Potential for its DeCentrum is very good. Will augurs well for its property sale and pricing.
Property near LRT and MRT has appreciated significantly. According to an experience property guy I know, he said normally when the line is confirm, the price will goes up, when people see the physical development (advance state), the price will goes up again, and when it is finally completed, it will goes up again. That is his observation. So, opportunities is still there, at RM1.95, it is traded only at 50% of its fair value.
LAST CALL. Free (good fish), not need to pay tuition fee or learn how to fish.
Thx sosfinance for the free fish. I am holding and will be adding more. Besides DeCentrum potential future, there are other potentials in the company as well. The fundamentals of the company is also very good.
MRT line i already mentioned last month...it is confirm upm has 1 station which around 3km away from decentrum....latest map from source there is a uniten station also...dont care whether got uniten station or not....de cetrum will definitely sell like hot cake...
The new major shareholder, Tey, bought it 1.27m shares from off market on 21 May 2014. Nothing substantial but a positive note. His ACE counter and Protasco is also going into property development biz in Iskandar with a GDV of about RM400m. Quarter results due soon, should be better.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
tomjohor
164 posts
Posted by tomjohor > 2014-05-17 15:04 | Report Abuse
Sebab free warrent entitlement date not yet announce mah!