Result out already tonite. Revenue slightly lower but profit increase in line with all the other steel product company. EPS of 2.36 is better than last quarter. TP should be bw $75c to 90c. Hopefully, the market would upgrade this counter on Monday.
Hi Guys Just share some simple analysis A)Share price Price=0.55 EPS 12.2 (trailing 12months) P/E = 4.5 P/BV=0.45 EV/Ebit=4.7 Earning Yield =23% above data show the counter is cheap
B)Q3 16 performance CFFO/Net Income =617% FCF/Revenue=27% CROIc=9.6% improve tremendously in Q3 16
C)Revenue/Net Profit The increase in Revenue is due to Consolidation of Steel Tube Subsidiary since Q1 16, which did not exist in preceding years corresponding Q
D)Steel shortage Global steel shortages arising from shutdown n production cut in China. As a results, steel prices up 50% beginning of April 2016 fr twelve month low.
Based on above, the Mycron can be seen as a "Dark Horse", in coming next quarter also.
Disclaimer This is not a buy or sell call, the author own some Mycron shares at the time of writing
Note : Most of steel companies such as SSTeel, Masteel, Lsteel, Lionind, Kinsteel EPS (trailing 12 months) is negative or loss
In term of Book Value n P/BV<1.5 (price for each Co) BooK value P/Book (Rank fr cheapest ) 1)CSC Mycron, 0.46 2)Mycron Emetall 0,66 3)Emetall CSC 0.67 4)Arank Arank 0.97
Rank cheapest In term of EV/EBit<8 Remarks Ev/Ebit 1)CSC 3.1 zero debt company 2)Mycron 4.4 3)Emetall 7.7 4)Arank 12
ROA and ROE about the same except ROE of Arank and CSC is 14% n 7% respectively.
mycron, form symmetrical triangle, start fr 6/5, 13/5-hi, 27/5-1st lower hi, 9/6-2nd lower hi 6/5- lo, 25/5- 1st higher lo, 2/6- 2nd higher lo expect continue up and down til around 2 weeks, to make decision major up or down
5087 MYCRON Last year Melewar Steel Tube (MST) 100% acquisition plus recent external events have enabled Mycron to deliver a turnaround set of financial performance. Potential catalysts for a higher rating may not necessarily include the following; 1. QR3 YTD EPS already 5.25c, may equate to FY16 EPS 7c or PE6.6 only. Simple conservative target of 70c at PE10 carrying NTA $1.14 2. MST acquisition which was completed on 2/4/15, have since been contributing improved revenue and profits to the group; due to synergistic benefits and cost rationalisations. The acquisition was partly funded via 104.5 million shares issuance at 44c each 3. Earlier authorities announced levies on anti dumping on imported cold rolled coils (CRC) from CN, KR & VN; which is deemed as positive to MST 4. Steel prices rallied in Apr'16 due to shortages from shutdowns and production cuts in CN & rest world due to prolong industry declines. 5. Demand deemed stable from local ETP projects. Would there be any potential follow on demand from KVMRT2 projects? Good luck 888
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
YS3535
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Posted by YS3535 > 2016-05-27 18:47 | Report Abuse
Regret too early chaoz... Haiz