At least Parkson is doing better than Shell which I had bought recently. For now. Which brings me to what we can learn from both so as to be better investors/traders/speculators. These are what I have learnt:
1) Don't buy anything that's on a downtrend and with the support line not proven yet. While it's true that we don't know the future, technical analysis does help with our decisions. With Parkson, the support level isn't known yet. Could be at this level, could be some way to go.
2) Should we decide to buy something for whatever reasons which we think are valid, must still have a cut-loss in place. No matter how good and confident we feel about a counter. This cut-loss should be based on the support as shown in the technical charts. Or an arbitrary number (like 8%, 10% below buying price).
With Parkson, if one had bought at 2.00, he should have set a cut-loss at a point just below the previous support line during that time. Would have saved from suffering the pain of seeing it slowly slide. That's the danger when counters slide SLOWLY like this - the investor tends to wait. Minus one sen every two weeks doesn't look bad. But it adds up over time. Might be `better' had there been a sudden drop - the investor might be stimulated into doing something immediately.
The discipline is critical - something which I must improve on. If not, I shouldn't be risking most of my capital on anything. Had bought Shell at 3.64. Had decided on the cut-loss (below 3.40, which was the support at that time). Normally I would have done that. But with Shell, I didn't. The result: Padan muka... It's fortunate that I didn't risk serious money with that one else I'd be in trouble right now.
3) Don't average down but average up. "If 2.00 had looked like a good price, then 95 sen is even better"...? Not so if it gets even lower. Nobody likes to be wrong. But we must put ego aside and be practical when it comes to protecting our capital, and trying to make a profit in the market. One big lesson from experience which I'm sure you all will agree: "Cheap" can always become cheaper. So, don't throw good money after bad. At the very least, wait for a counter to show signs that it has reached a bottom, AND is moving the other way. We may have to pay a higher price, but the probability of making a profit is higher this way.
4) When a counter is on an uptrend, it's on an uptrend. Doesn't matter if it's a stupid company with donkey management. Or even if it's making a loss. If "capital appreciation" is one's main goal, of course, and not dividends. Parkson will find a bottom eventually. And then retrace some of the fall. But the time isn't now. Could be "soon", could be "some time".
Very useful advice. Must put a stop loss in whatever shares we buy. As someone said, "Take care of the downside and the upside will take care of itself."
As proven many times ks55 is a liar(many other times he deleted his postings). SSEC does not drop 7% and suspend whole day. http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=000001.SS
Posted by ks55 > Feb 11, 2016 10:55 PM | Report Abuse
Regardless you like it or not, SSEC will drop 7% at the first 30 minutes on Monday, then suspend trading for the whole day. Tuesday's performance will depend on Monday's Wall Street closing........
Good to keep more cash at least until next Wednesday.
If compare other retailers eg Aeon, Suiwah, The Store, etc Parkson is still the cheapest. Parkson NTA RM 2.73 meaning we are buying a house RM 273K for only RM 94K worth or not judge yourself.
Those asking purpose of shares buy back is Parkson think it is undervalue hence need to support buying it everyday. It also means Parkson is putting its cash(everyday buy back need hundred RM K each day) to good use. Each time share dividend top Parkson shareholders increase their shareholdings.
@ckkhen If we can get it right every time, life would be perfect. But based on previous experiences, nobody can do that. Except liars. No matter how much research we do on the fundamentals, plus with technical analyst to help with the buying, the market continues to confound and disappoint us time and again. Therefore it makes a lot of sense to have a Plan B.
Just imagine what would have happened with that example - Shell - had one put up a significant part of his capital betting on a rebound, and without a stop-loss in place. And using margin trading some more. We have to take risks to be in the position to make a profit. But capital management and strategy are critical. If we lose, then we lose. But we must ensure we live to fight another day.
Setting (and then executing) a cut-loss point is just one of the strategies, of course. I know of people who generally don't cut loss. My father is one of them (until he retired from Bursa around the end of 2013. Good time to cash out as things turned out). They would just let that purchase get stuck and wait. Often for years! The amazing thing is that, provided these counters didn't get delisted, most would EVENTUALLY turn the way. But most of us don't have this kind of stamina and patience. That means cutting loss early is often the better thing to do. Lick our wounds, regroup and then try again with the capital that was rescued.
i cant believe this counter still can drop , but please refer to cimb if really at the bottom then will fly back very fast , so i advise just hold this counter, small fish like us no point to sell at this price , i bought above 1 and i decided to wait until it break 1.2
Recent drop not due to Tan Sri William Cheng selling. He still own 60.87% stake. Those who want to deal in Parkson make sure you have cash o/w you will be victim of force selling.
Changes in Director's Interest (S135) PARKSON HOLDINGS BERHAD
Information Compiled By KLSE
Particulars of Director Name TAN SRI CHENG HENG JEM Address A-16-1, Blok A, Satu Residensi No. 1 Jalan Nagasari (Off Jalan Raja Chulan) Kuala Lumpur 50200 Wilayah Persekutuan Malaysia. Descriptions(Class & nominal value) Ordinary shares of RM1.00 each
Details of changes Currency: Malaysian Ringgit (MYR)
Type of transaction Date of change No of securities Price Transacted (RM) Disposed 16/02/2016 520,000 0.950 Acquired 16/02/2016 520,000 0.950
Circumstances by reason of which change has occurred (1) Disposal of shares by Tan Sri Cheng Heng Jem (2) Acquisition of shares by Trillionvest Sdn Bhd, a company in which Tan Sri Cheng Heng Jem has a substantial interest
Notice of Shares Buy Back - Immediate Announcement PARKSON HOLDINGS BERHAD
Date of buy back 18 Feb 2016 Description of shares purchased Ordinary shares of RM1.00 each Currency Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) Total number of shares purchased (units) 120,000 Minimum price paid for each share purchased ($$) 0.930 Maximum price paid for each share purchased ($$) 0.930 Total consideration paid ($$) 112,102.38 Number of shares purchased retained in treasury (units) 120,000 Number of shares purchased which are proposed to be cancelled (units) 0 Cumulative net outstanding treasury shares as at to-date (units) 18,513,480 Adjusted issued capital after cancellation (no. of shares) (units) Total number of shares purchased and/or held as treasury shares against total number of issued shares of the listed issuer (%) 1.69000 http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5003101
Market price 93 cents is lower ,any one can make profit ? How to make profit if Parkson continuing move down ward...... do you believe someone continuing make profit again and again.... do you know share price moving down also can make money....
Thirty Largest Registered Shareholders as at 30 September 2015 Registered Shareholders No. of Shares % of Shares* 1. AMSEC Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 136,083,553 12.46 AmTrustee Berhad for Cheng Heng Jem 2. Lembaga Tabung Haji 95,218,780 8.71 3. UOB Kay Hian Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 83,906,661 7.68 Exempt AN for UOB Kay Hian Pte Ltd (A/C Clients) 4. Kenanga Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 63,716,378 5.83 Pledged Securities Account for Cheng Heng Jem 5. Affin Hwang Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 56,750,284 5.19 Pledged Securities Account for Cheng Heng Jem (M09) 6. HSBC Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 54,450,708 4.98 Pledged Securities Account for Cheng Heng Jem (105-710073) 7. AMSEC Nominees (Asing) Sdn Bhd 50,235,202 4.60 AmTrustee Berhad for Excel Step Investments Limited 8. RHB Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 38,955,000 3.57 OSK Capital Sdn Bhd for Amsteel Mills Sdn Bhd 9. RHB Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 28,220,337 2.58 OSK Capital Sdn Bhd for Lion Industries Corporation Berhad 10. Citigroup Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 27,616,747 2.53 Employees Provident Fund Board 11. RHB Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 19,482,987 1.78 Bank of China (Malaysia) Berhad Pledged Securities Account for Amsteel Mills Sdn Bhd - 1 12. RHB Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 19,151,179 1.75 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (Malaysia) Berhad Pledged Securities Account for Cheng Heng Jem 13. RHB Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 19,057,821 1.74 Bank of China (Malaysia) Berhad Pledged Securities Account for Amsteel Mills Sdn Bhd - 2 14. HSBC Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 14,251,117 1.30 HSBC (M) Trustee Bhd for RHB Kidsave Trust 15. Alliancegroup Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 13,728,721 1.26 Pledged Securities Account for Cheng Heng Jem (8119566) 16. MIDF Amanah Investment Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 12,807,861 1.17 Pledged Securities Account for Tan Sri Cheng Heng Jem (MGN-WCH0004M) 17. Amanahraya Trustees Berhad 12,339,714 1.13 Public Islamic Dividend Fund 18. Alliancegroup Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 10,580,157 0.97 Pledged Securities Account for Lion Industries Corporation Berhad (8106442) 19. DB (Malaysia) Nominee (Tempatan) Sendirian Berhad 10,230,760 0.94 icapital. biz Berhad 20. Cheng Yong Kim 9,835,345 0.90 21. Maybank Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 9,379,251 0.86 Asian Finance Bank Berhad for Trillionvest Sdn Bhd (SF) 22. Cartaban Nominees (Asing) Sdn Bhd 8,100,949 0.74 GIC Private Limited for Government of Singapore (C) 23. Citigroup Nominees (Asing) Sdn Bhd 8,003,627 0.73 CBNY for State Teachers Retirement System of OHIO 24. RHB Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 7,478,000 0.68 Pledged Securities Account for Lion Industries Corporation Berhad 25. Lee Shin Cheng @ Lee Leong 7,201,300 0.66 26. Lion Realty Private Limited 6,672,882 0.61 27. HSBC Nominees (Asing) Sdn Bhd 6,504,587 0.60 BBH and Co Boston for Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund 28. Citigroup Nominees (Asing) Sdn Bhd 6,253,298 0.57 Exempt AN for Citibank New York (Norges Bank 1) 29. RHB Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 6,219,800 0.57 Bank of China (Malaysia) Berhad Pledged Securities Account for Lion Industries Corporation Bhd - 2 30. RHB Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd 6,116,850 0.56 Bank of China (Malaysia) Berhad Pledged Securities Account for Amsteel Mills Sdn Bhd - 3
Base on 2015 AR, beside WC, Parkson top 30 shareholders are Tabung Haji, ICap(own by Tan Teng Boo), EPF, GIC(S'pore investment fund), Public Mutual, IOI Lee Shin Cheng and others.
I find out IOI Lee Shin Cheng is the new top 30 shareholders whereas KWAP out compared to 2014. So KWAP selling is the main reason behind Parkson meltdown?
KWAP is selling Parkson at a loss so don't pay pension to ks55 is right move. He never advised them to take profit when above RM 3 but asking them to sell below RM 1.50 or RM 1 how to make money?
Small boy dun play big boy game...this multi millionaire can average down and still earn millions. I hope u r one of them Mr parkson. If ur average is high, makesure u have 10 times the amount to average at the lowest point then u got a chance to gain back if the share turn up trend
with margin call on willian shares, the worst is not over
i will come in at 40cts, hehe
Posted by Mohd Iqbal > Feb 19, 2016 12:27 PM | Report Abuse
when is it going to 50 sen.. i have been waiting since december.. hehe.. bearish ks55 vs bullish parkson.. who will be the winner???
Posted by ks55 > Feb 19, 2016 11:21 AM | Report Abuse
Fair valuation is 75 sen after taking into consideration PRGL and PRA share price at this moment.
Taking 30% safety margin (mostly as discount to a holding company's valuation), plus a bit of contingency on Qtr Rpt ending Dec 2015, plus the risk of forced selling on pledged securities by Mr William Cheng, safer bet is 50 sen.........
Let's DISCOVER our new concept of Gourmet Supermarket, Foodpark by Parkson where you can find fresh fruits, veges, and foods in one beautiful place! Only at #ParksonMajuJunctionShoppingMall #FoodparkbyParkson #GourmetSupermarket #NewConcept #FreshFoods https://www.facebook.com/parkson/
Parkson was a supermrket operator bfr. No surprise they come back. They actually sold the supermarket chain N years ago. Foodpark maju is going for upper income class customer, but so far not able to tackle customers from sogo area, even quiell mall fail too.
Yes, kan kan buy, kan kan buy 101 lots, hahaha earn the whole world money, kan Kansas huat like rocket head, Penang lim, heng ong huat. I buy 1 lot rm 93.00 ok. Not done lah.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Mat Cendana
2,340 posts
Posted by Mat Cendana > 2016-02-15 11:34 | Report Abuse
At least Parkson is doing better than Shell which I had bought recently. For now. Which brings me to what we can learn from both so as to be better investors/traders/speculators. These are what I have learnt:
1) Don't buy anything that's on a downtrend and with the support line not proven yet. While it's true that we don't know the future, technical analysis does help with our decisions. With Parkson, the support level isn't known yet. Could be at this level, could be some way to go.
2) Should we decide to buy something for whatever reasons which we think are valid, must still have a cut-loss in place. No matter how good and confident we feel about a counter. This cut-loss should be based on the support as shown in the technical charts. Or an arbitrary number (like 8%, 10% below buying price).
With Parkson, if one had bought at 2.00, he should have set a cut-loss at a point just below the previous support line during that time. Would have saved from suffering the pain of seeing it slowly slide. That's the danger when counters slide SLOWLY like this - the investor tends to wait. Minus one sen every two weeks doesn't look bad. But it adds up over time. Might be `better' had there been a sudden drop - the investor might be stimulated into doing something immediately.
The discipline is critical - something which I must improve on. If not, I shouldn't be risking most of my capital on anything. Had bought Shell at 3.64. Had decided on the cut-loss (below 3.40, which was the support at that time). Normally I would have done that. But with Shell, I didn't. The result: Padan muka... It's fortunate that I didn't risk serious money with that one else I'd be in trouble right now.
3) Don't average down but average up. "If 2.00 had looked like a good price, then 95 sen is even better"...? Not so if it gets even lower. Nobody likes to be wrong. But we must put ego aside and be practical when it comes to protecting our capital, and trying to make a profit in the market. One big lesson from experience which I'm sure you all will agree: "Cheap" can always become cheaper. So, don't throw good money after bad. At the very least, wait for a counter to show signs that it has reached a bottom, AND is moving the other way. We may have to pay a higher price, but the probability of making a profit is higher this way.
4) When a counter is on an uptrend, it's on an uptrend. Doesn't matter if it's a stupid company with donkey management. Or even if it's making a loss. If "capital appreciation" is one's main goal, of course, and not dividends. Parkson will find a bottom eventually. And then retrace some of the fall. But the time isn't now. Could be "soon", could be "some time".