Beware, only this ssteel is dropping like no tomorrow while other steel counters annjoo, masteel or lionind have stop falling. If really like steel counter, annjoo is always a better choice.
you are right,possibly warn3r. this kind of situation is okay for me to pick up at cheaper price.. the more you drop, the more i could pick up, see how much more you could let it fall.
like i said, 1.17- 1.20 good entry level.today managed to get some.if tmw drop further i will cover it.. anything below this level i will collect as much as possible.
Annjoo got director Datuk Lim to support, no easy task to dump low. Ssteel is much easier to dump lower as it's price is lower which needing less capital to dump.
Actually if there is not extension of the steel protection, with our weak RM exchange rate over China Reminbi + currently china steel price is high,the imported steel doesn't prove it is very cost efficiency.
Bon bon. There's no better stock. Everyone's risk/reward preference and appetite is different. You can say annjoo is safer (4 quarters in the green with PE 7+). Ssteel is 2 quarters in the green and still -ve PE now. Price climbs very fast when a counter is recognized as out of the red for real. If FY EPS can hit 30 cents, ssteel has quite a big upside opportunity.
Maybe the operator thinks ssteel is easiest to press/pull hence became the target?
This is likely. Annjoo can't rise too fast as this will create good sentiment which operator may have difficulty to suppress ssteel price. Today they manage to contain Annjoo price rise within small scale but manage to push SSteel further downward. No much time left them to do dump work
from pass experience, usually SSteel will declare dividend on 3rd quarter. Continue profit + Div + local infra must use local steel. This three Positive news is enough to push SSteel to new High on MAY.
@warn3r, 3Q eps 10 and 4Q eps 8. wow.. your projection are too high. 3Q is low season and expects falling in QoQ. Don't set too high expectations and u will feel more painful when QR out. This is wat i learn from cscsteel counter from last 2Q.
Thanks Yipman for your view. I agree that with everything constant Q3 (CNY and Feb having just 28 days) should see a reduction. The counter argument is the much higher Steel price in Q1'17. I guess a really conservative EPS would be 6 cents each for next 2 quarters? Then we can expect FY EPS of 25 cents. PE 6 would give RM 1.50.
This should be quite conservative. From RM 1.17 there's at least 25% headroom.
Hehe. Ok. But what's a reasonable PE? 6? 8? 10? Depends on stability of the profit and whether import duty is remained. PE 6 should be conservative enough so we have margin?
When it was at RM 1.50+ level, everyone was so hyped that it would go RM 1.80 next. Actually the potential is still there, this import duty scare is just to instill fear in us Ikan bilis. Just give it 3 more months and it would be clear.
Government may provide local steel maker sometime to strengthen steel industry through consolidation. Removing the import duty before consolidation complete or local steel industry is ready to fight/compete with cheap import may sound premature decision
China is doing overcapacity cutting. Steel price will be stable for the foreseeable future as this is also China government end target. Our government should be helping local steel industry at this upon of time and for years to come when consolidation of local steel is in progress to showing their actual support for consolidation.
Thanks Albukhary. It's not the 2 year safeguard I was hoping for but this is good news nonetheless. Hope it goes back up to RM 1.35 by next Monday for it to shoot back up to start at RM 1.50-1.55 on Tuesday.
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Posted by bonbon > 2017-03-30 16:54 | Report Abuse
Beware, only this ssteel is dropping like no tomorrow while other steel counters annjoo, masteel or lionind have stop falling. If really like steel counter, annjoo is always a better choice.