-The next toll hike for Litrak’s LDP concessions is scheduled in 2016 (entitled to a 48% toll increase from January 2016 under the concession agreement).
-SPRINT starts generating profit this year. As a result of the improvement in traffic volume on SPRINT Highway plus the increase in toll rates on 1 January 2015, for Damansara and Kerinchi Links, as allowed for under the Concession Agreement, SPRINT finally managed to be in a profitable position for the current year ended 31 March 2015.
Why Litrak upgrade to buy?
Due to: -steady dividend payout, dividends will be at least 20sen in FY16. -growth certainty from rate hikes bound by the concession agreement (if the toll rates are not revised, it will get compensation from the goverment as stipulated in the CA). -its stable earnings trajectory (defensive nature), -traffic volume continues to grow. -strong free cash flow.
Beta of 0.18 as compared to tenaga 1.13 This counTer serve as good defensive stock But maybe not for price at right now , which lack of margin of safety
KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 23 — Eight highways are entitled to increase toll rates next year, a minister said today after tolls in major highways in the Klang Valley were raised last month.
Works Minister Datuk Fadillah Yusof also said the government has already allocated RM593.32 million to compensate the highway concessionaires, in the event they are not allowed to hike their rates.
“I’m not deciding on whether there will be an increase or not. Those entitled to receive hikes for 2016 are eight highways,” Fadillah told Parliament here.
The highways with their respective entitled compensations are the North-South Expressway (RM214 million), Second Link Expressway (RM8.24 million), ELITE Highway (RM79.44 million), Butterworth-Kulim Expressway (RM3.11 million), Seremban-Port Dickson Highway (RM1.95 million), KESAS Highway (RM92.8 million), LDP (RM185.89 million) and the North Klang Straits Bypass Expressway (RM7.85 million).
Tolls at highways operated by 11 concessionaires were raised in October by between 20 sen and RM3.
These included Kuala Lumpur-Karak Highway (KLK), Maju Expressway (MEX), Kajang Dispersal Link Expressway (SILK), Duta-Ulu Kelang Expressway (DUKE), SMART Tunnel, KL-Kuala Selangor Expressway (LATAR), Sungai Besi Expressway (Besraya), New Pantai Expressway (NPE), Kajang-Seremban Expressway (LEKAS), Damansara-Puchong Expressway (LDP), and Western KL Traffic Dispersal System (SPRINT).
An attractive dividend yield stock to funds managers given its earnings growth potential for the next 3 quarters. Currently, Litrak offers a DY of 4.3% at dividend payout of 75% in net profit . If the company maintains 75% dividend payout ratio, DY will be likely increasing to 6% which is quite appealing to income funds .
Another one of my favourites. TP for Litrak stands at RM 6.10 immediate TP. with DY of 4.1% and annualise PE of 10x for latest EPS following the increase in toll rate hike.
One thing I know is that when last Q result out, many research house also give target below 6, but EPF accum agressively. My assumption is this, when some fund want to buy, they will releaase some unfavourable report, when they want to sell, they will release sui sui report.
Can anyone explain why Litrak got high debt? It is expiring in 5 years time. Doesn't seem like management want to pay it and it is impossible to pay in such short period?
Aucy86, (As per last Q3 2017) Borrowings Non current 1,117,631 Current 110,000 Cash and cash equivalents at 31 December 426,005 Free cash flow per annum ~300M :).
With such strong FCF and growing, still the safest bet for dividend stock compare to others like DIGI, MAXIS, BJTOTO, YTL. Current price 5.85 @ P/E 13.9 is fair with DY of 4.3%. MAINTAIN BUY @ fair value 6.20.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
emma
281 posts
Posted by emma > 2013-12-20 09:37 | Report Abuse
Can buy this counter?