The only thing that is keeping this ship afloat is the high dividend yield. For a low growth (may I say declining?) business like Padini, it is worth 10x PE at most. My TP for Padini is RM 1.4X or a minimum 15% downside. Believe it or not, once Padini's dividend is cut in the next financial year, the stock will tank below my TP of RM 1.4X. I wont explain why Padini's dividend will be cut. As a responsible investor, you should do your own diligent.
To the buffett wannabes here, I must say, be careful of what you wish for. I know this post is going to get a lot of sticks. But I am seeing many new investors making newbie mistakes on this stock and I am here to give them some light. I will be back once Padini hits RM 1.4X.
Thats not true...warren buffet buys good companies which are fairly priced or even better undervalued, never overvalued. Valuation is individualistic, some may value it higher, some may value it lower. there is no right or wrong. Cheers :)
6% dividends have already been accounted for inside the share price. if u consider dividends as business value, you can invest. However, in my opinion, dividends are not real business value and it can be withdrawn anytime when the company is not performing well. risky.
Any investor has to observe, think, compare, judge and decide. The notion of an absolute valuation or the "absolute intrinsic worth" is just a mirage as the intrinsic value is comprised of tangible plus intangible factors that determines its market value at any one time.
market very moody now, anything can happen. i can patiently wait ~ no hurry, got buy or no buy is ok to me hahaha but my preference to buy is if drop below 1.60
hmmm....oh well, earnings is good, perhaps they give high dividends to attract investors to increase share price. i just say price too high lo, because they give high dividends thats why ppl can push up share price. Usually if 3-4% dividends the stock price wont so high. on paper padini not worth so much. just my thinking only. it doesnt matter anyway. happy trading :D
sure got difference...logic sense...same orange same quality, one stall sell 20 cents another stall sell 50 cents...which u buy leh...even aunty also know this logic wahahhaa
Investor dumping share like no 2moro for Padini......Total worth of share less than RM10 million within few days can drag so much on price, imagine how big fishes can bully small investor. Big fishes can dump share and let public panic and trigger sell signal, price drop n drop, big fishes can accumulate back much more at cheaper price.......Welcome to this game.
Yup, but without them, we cant accumulate at cheaper price also, lol......I am buying a bit at RM1.67 also...guess price may go down further, so buy slowly is better.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
mcwong
402 posts
Posted by mcwong > 2014-10-10 09:50 | Report Abuse
Or pray Investor buy in ,support and Gain..