@pjseow Kossan capacity will.be increased to 42 billions from.current 32 billion per annum by end of 2022 . Supermx capacity will be increased to 36 billions per annum by end of this year and 48 billions by end of 2022 from the current 26 billions per annum. That means supermx will surpass Kossan in terms of capacity by end of 2022 besides having another source of income from the supermx distribution business. ------------------------------------------------ https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2021/07/29/capacity-... 30/07/2021 11:40 AM
Good you reminded us pjseow. Supermax end of 2021 will overtake Kossan alrdy and then overtake another time by end 2022. End 2021, capacity will increase by 38% from 26b to 36b. If ASP can maintain thru to 2022 then revenue should increase by 38%.
Now lets do another simple maths: US population = 332mil , latest fully vaccinated = 49.3 % or 163 mil ppl. So unvaccinated = 169mil ppl If in next 6 months 20%(conservative est) of unvaccinated ppl got infected = 33,800,000 ppl divide that by 180 days(6 months daily average) = 187,770 mean average new cases per day. As of now the latest daily cases in US has touched 92,000, still far from the estimated mean average over 6 months. Which means at peak of this wave, we may witness 300,000+ peak daily cases in US in 3-4 months time. Looks like US may need to impose more lockdowns eventually when cases surge very high to control the situation. They are also seeing >50% of hospital cases needing ICU treatment now. How much glove do u think US will need for this wave?, and subsequently may need to order huge amount of stock pile to counter future variants.
That's why I believe, bcos of the Delta effect, the ASP will not go further down , and may even go back up or maintain at elevated level for the next 6-12 months or even longer. Imagine this would be repeated in many other countries with low vaccination rate. We are alrdy witnessing now the building up of daily cases in many countries. The global demand for gloves will be unprecedented in the history of mankind from 4Q 2021 going into and thru 2022. Therefore China glove have no impact bcos they may struggle to meet demand too. Moreover, US and UK may buy from China only as a last resort , only if others cannot meet their demand.
Therefore, likely the 38% increase in capacity by Supermax end 2021 will lead to 38% increase in revenue by 3QFY22. If base on last QR revenue of ard 2b then = 2.7b revenue.
@Citadel9999 answer my question leh toonefa , u sold or add more?? 30/07/2021 1:33 PM
Haha Citadel-seikau, I m nobody la, my investment is chicken feed , not worth to mention here at all. I m just giving free opinion to lend moral support to Supermax supporters as a hobby only. Just like u giving your alternative Devil's advocate's view FOC as a hobby too.
Toneefa, you are right . Kossan capacity will be increased by another 2 billions at the end of this year from 32 b to 34 b per year whereas supermx capacity will be increased to 36 billions by the end of this year from 26 billions currently. Based on last qtrly briefing , supermx capacity was.fully booked until end of this year with contractual agreements and "" locked in "" ASPs with.final.customers.
------------------------------------------------------------ Good you reminded us pjseow. Supermax end of 2021 will overtake Kossan alrdy and then overtake another time by end 2022. End 2021, capacity will increase by 38% from 26b to 36b. If ASP can maintain thru to 2022 then revenue should increase by 38%.
MM, haha you chicken with no balls dare to talk about smashing face. I remember someone here invited you to meet up face to face in Klang and you totally chickened you. I believe the invitation still stand. Can't imagine a chicken want to talk about a slaughterfest. wakakaka.
CDC document warns Delta variant appears to spread as easily as chickenpox and cause more severe infection
The Delta coronavirus variant surging across the United States appears to cause more severe illness and spread as easily as chickenpox, according to an internal document from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The document -- a slide presentation -- outlines unpublished data that shows fully vaccinated people might spread the Delta variant at the same rate as unvaccinated people. "It's one of the most transmissible viruses we know about. Measles, chickenpox, this -- they're all up there."
The CDC presentation says the Delta variant is about as transmissible as chickenpox, with each infected person, on average, infecting eight or nine others. The original lineage was about as transmissible as the common cold, with each infected person passing the virus to about two other people on average.That infectivity is known as R0."When you think about diseases that have an R0 of eight or nine -- there aren't that many," Walensky told CNN.
That guy would have suddenly realised he lost his way to a downtrend stock now he maybe with those uptrend stocks now such as MPI and Genetic and is buying aggressively now. Ha ha
@Benhobenhobenho Problems now with the vaccines. Are they really safe? 30/07/2021 2:51 PM
Actually, as of now, it appears that vaccines are relatively safe to be administered. Only a small number of ppl may die or suffer serious side effects. But the long term effect is still unknown. But the more important question is how effective are they to protect the ppl? Currently experts are saying that the protection of most vaccines are waning fast over time and when faced with newer more powerful variants like Delta. So Pfizer is saying need to take booster jabs after 6 months to enhance protection. But the main problem is Covid is still running wild and spreading fast around many countries in the world. So unless Covid can be put under control from spreading, even booster jabs will not help bcos as the virus contunue to spread, it will continue to mutate to evade even the latest booster jabs. As of now, it looks inevitable that the global daily cases will cross the 1 mil mark soon, mainly due to Delta spreading very fast. It may take a couple more years to get things under control but lots of lives will be lost in the process.
Citadel-seikau, I would actually encourage you to invest all your money into Genetec, as it is generating huge investment return now. Looks like a very good counter, anything that can give 20% in one day is damn good. Congrats
Actually Supermax also not bad, by end of the year capacity to increase by 38%. Ok la. If global daily cases keep increasing till winter time, then the increased capacity just in time to save more lives and frontliners. Glove is all about saving lives. Save the frontliners = save the nation.
ToneeFa Citadel-seikau, I would actually encourage you to invest all your money into Genetec, as it is generating huge investment return now. Looks like a very good counter, anything that can give 20% in one day is damn good. Congrats 30/07/2021 4:26 PM
Unfortunately he would have missed the boat by wasting his time in this 'downtrend' stock here. Ha ha.
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bulldog
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Posted by bulldog > 2021-07-30 13:27 | Report Abuse
Accumulation in progress
Huat chaiii