When a stock climbs few ringgit consecutive days nonstop , it means that the insiders know that the fair value is still a long way off. Case examples Sam and Genetec. Don't miss this train.
1st is d demand for rubber gloves in healthcare. 2nd is d demand for silicon chips for automobile.
Impacts of the shortage is now more visible on auto industry! The auto industry has taken a big hit during the pandemic due to a shortage in silicon chips.
Silicone: Under the background of dual energy consumption control, 90% of the production capacity of the high-energy-consuming industrial silicon industry is limited, and the price has risen rapidly from 16,000 yuan/ton to more than 30,000 yuan/ton. About 40% of the downstream part of industrial silicon is used in organic silicon, which also leads to a shortage of organic silicon raw materials. At present, Tangshan Sanyou, Hubei Xingfa, Shandong Jinling, Luxi Chemical, Zhejiang Zhongtian, Inner Mongolia Hengye Cheng, He Sheng Silicon Industry and a number of companies closed the offer without quotation. Manufacturers have tight supply, limited orders, and pre-orders are the main priority. The bulk cargo price has been quoted to 43,000 yuan/ton. Some companies said that in the past, they have risen by a thousand or eight hundred, but recently they have risen by several thousand and several thousand, which is not crazy.
Next week will fly. Today the silicon metal price closed at usd61,125 per tonne! For comparison sake, it was usd41,196 on 19 September and usd14,308 on 13 July! Accumulate before it's out in the radar! Reference from www. sunsirs.com
Silicon is not only used in the construction industry, but high tech equipment like computer chips, solar panels, and transistors are all made up of silicon. The fact that silicon can act as a semiconductor , by allowing control of electrical current, makes it ideal for virtually all electronic equipment.
Silicon supplements are also used as medicine. Some people take silicon by mouth for weak bones ( osteoporosis ), heart disease and stroke ( cardiovascular disease ), Alzheimer's disease, hair loss, and improving hair and nail quality. It is also used for skin healing and for treating sprains and strains, as well as digestive system disorders.
PMBT is banking on Silicon as an essential material for our future economy.
Silicon is the basic material for solar industry. Tesla intends to replace cobalt with silicon for its batteries. China alters global silicon supply demand balance as it pivots on environmental friendly policies. These factors drove silicon price to a fresh 3-year high.
Majority own and manage by the Koon family, PMBT and PM are of the same playbook. More importantly when PM started off with less resources and market recognition in the past, today’s PMBT – leverage on experience acquired and the market respect from PM – earning will ramp up swifter.
Silicon metal is an important element added to various grades of aluminum alloys used in performance applications such as automotive components and aerospace products.
Silicon metal also is a critical raw material in the production of silicone compounds used in numerous products including sealants, adhesives, rubber gaskets, caulking compounds, lubricants, food additives, coatings, polishes, and cosmetics, among others.
In addition, silicon metal is the base material in the production of polysilicon, a purified form of silicon used in solar cells and semi-conductors.
In summary, Silicon demand will be driven by solar and electronics in many years to come, whilst supported by its widely adopted application in various industries currently.
Growth factors
Management and efficient Hydro power supply The competitive advantage of the PMBT series of companies lies in its lean production cost. On top of the very capable management strength, the ultra-competitive position is because of its power procurement contract with Sarawak Energy i.e. Bakun Hydropower.
Silicon production requires substantial amount of power. Energy cost as a single cost component weights more than 40% of the total production cost. The availability of an efficient energy sources alone determines the survival rate of the business.
By securing the ultra-competitive Bakun hydropower supply contract – which is one of the lowest in the world, PMBT will emerge as one of the lowest cost producer in the world.
According to the article above, pmbtech newly expanded capacity is for 72,000 tonnes annually. At current silicon prices of 61k remimbi or rm40k per tonne, that's annual forward revenue of rm2.8 billion for fy22. Earnings of 280 million if assuming profit margin of 10 %. Totally back of the envelope calculation. Anyone would like to add/disagree with that? It seems quite viable to me. I checked the numbers and rechecked.
"Who said Oil Palm Plantation is d only Sunshine Industry?"
“Semiconductor industry n players has to keep expanding as technology evolves. It is not the typical manufacturing industry where you build a factory and it could last for 20 years. For semiconductor firms, they have to keep investing in new wafer fabs. It is like a forever sunrise industry, because d manufacturers of automobiles n electronics are forever chasing them.
Posted by investor2021trading > Sep 25, 2021 10:34 AM | Report Abuse
"Who said Oil Palm Plantation is d only Sunshine Industry?"
“Semiconductor industry n players has to keep expanding as technology evolves. It is not the typical manufacturing industry where you build a factory and it could last for 20 years. For semiconductor firms, they have to keep investing in new wafer fabs. It is like a forever sunrise industry, because d manufacturers of automobiles n electronics are forever chasing
This morning Calvin very very happy to hear this quote
"Who said Oil Palm Plantation is d only Sunshine Industry?"
Let Calvin repeat in BOLD LETTERS
"WHO SAID OIL PALM PLANTATION IS D ONLY SUNSHINE INDUSTRY?"
Whoever said the above phrase must be very BULLISH ON PALM OIL
Calvin totally agree!
But of course there are other good industries out there
Only Calvin thinks Palm oil will be "A BRIGHT SHINING STAR AS VERY HIGH PROFIT GROWTH PHASE IS ONGOING"
Tesla will mine its own lithium, make its own lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles (EVs) and use more silicon and nickel in these cheaper batteries, the world’s biggest EV maker said on Tuesday September 22.
Yes ... PMBTECH had double its production from 36,000 mtpa to 72,000 mtpa up to now, up to its 2nd phase project expansion from 4 phase development of 64 hectares ..
ADVANTAGES OF PMBTECH SILICON
Logistic Cost Advantage : Strategically located between the East and the West, Malaysia is located at the straits of Malacca, home to Singapore Port & Port Klang, Malaysia, two of busiest port in the world where shipping rates are favourable.
Locally Sourced Raw Material : Malaysia has readily available raw material which ensures consistency in supply.
Abundant Green Power Supply : Blessed with high rainfall and an abundance of rivers, Sarawak provides affordable, renewable energy through hydropower developments .. 1st hydroelectric plant (HEP) at Batang Ai (108 MW) in 1985, with Bakun HEP in 2011 (2,400 MW), followed by Murum HEP in 2014 (944 MW). Baleh HEP is still under construction & expected to be commissioned by 2025. That will make total capacity 3,452 MW. source : sarawakenergy.com
CHINA SUPPLY OUTLOOK Silicon & Aluminium price on a tear
Both silicon & aluminium price soars to their 3-year high. While global solar energy demand drove the recovery from March lows, it was actually news about China changing their environmental policies that fuels the price trend.
China produces more than 50% / 60% of the world’s aluminium / silicon. As mentioned earlier, it takes a great environmental toll to produce these materials. Now that China pivots its environmental concern policies, coal-fired power plants will be discontinued hence potentially shrinking production rates and altering supply-demand balance outlook.
SILICON AS AN ESSENTIAL MATERIAL FOR SOLAR & EV ECONOMY
Solar – The basic component of a solar cell is pure silicon, which also has been used as an electrical component for decades.
Polysilicon (a purer form of silicon) is in acute shortage because of vigorous solar module demand. Over 90% of the current solar cell market is based on silicon currently.
Electronic Vehicles (EV) – Elon Musk announced that Tesla will use more Silicon to replace Cobalt in producing its batteries for its future generation models.
The strategy poise to make Tesla EV a lot more affordable and is seen to be adopted by other EV battery vendors.
AGGRESSIVE CAPACITY EXPANSION
PMBT is undergoing an aggressive expansion plan to meet the world’s silicon demand is impeccable.
Located in Samalaju Industrial Park in Bintulu, Sarawak, it had double production capacity from 36,000 mtpa (1st phase) to 72,000 mtpa (phase 2), current phase.
The co.’s corporate plan indicates that the plant size is of 64 hectares and is suitable for 4 phases of development.
TRADE WAR
Trade war distorts the global supply chain. PMBTECH stands to capture higher market share as a neutral Malaysian producer.
Meanwhile the company’s markets are mainly in Europe and America where there are trade barriers against the Chinese suppliers.
CATALYST
Solar and EV drives silicon demand
Production capacity expands by 2x in 2021
Tesla battery revolution drives more silicon for anode material
EU silicon prices surge on Chinese output cuts Published date: 20 September 2021
Share: European silicon prices have surged to 15-year highs on sharp output cuts in China and record high regional gas prices, forcing multiple large consumers to approach the market after cancelled deliveries.
It's like silicon price to be like gold price ... since multiple use of silicon especially in high tech equipments like computer chips, solar panels, construction industry, in health & medical supplement, and demand for EV had increase much further the use of silicon ..
Silicon stood as one of the great semiconductor material, looks likely to become a driver of international competition in the coming decades.
gives three reasons why u said PMBTech is chasing Genetech! some says Greatech is among d Big3 of tech in bursa! n some said all d Big3Tech r not fully EV compliant?
RECHARGEABLE BATTERY will be the largest biz in our world.
Prof Dyson is 1st to sell vacuum cleaner using rechargeable battery. Its price is super high, 10 X the regular type n yet the demand is so good. this is unbelievable world we r all into.
Huge endless demand is coming from: EV n ES simultaneously for solar n wind Energies Storage.
Cobalt is best metal but v limited in supply on earth. the biggest supply comes from Congo, an unstable country that could cause trouble to EV.Economy. Lots of researches r on going with combination of metals.
Silicon is top on the list as its raw material is found abundantly everywhere on earth. Downside is Si expands 3 times on recharging. Scientists r using Si nano.tech but still need to perfect the processes for fast charging, long lasting n safety.
Stocks doing EV.METAL biz will all become giant co in a shortest time frame!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Mr.Sm Invest123
2,267 posts
Posted by Mr.Sm Invest123 > 2021-09-23 18:26 | Report Abuse
tomorrow mari 15