Investment is always not easy, you have to manage your risk even it is a good company. Once the fundamental had change, you should make a choice either stay or leave. I look at the chart and volume, if you know about TA, you might know why decision should make.
REPEAT OF 2011 SOLAR BUST. Last time the slump lasted 2 years. Tihis time how long? - Supply glut comes five years after industry’s last downturn - Prices are slumping, and suppliers expect margins to slip as well. It’s a pattern we’ve seen before, after a global oversupply five years ago drove dozens of companies out of business. - “Oversupply appears to be business as usual in the solar industry,” - The solar industry went through a similar boom-bust cycle after capacity grew faster than demand, triggering a two-year slump starting in late 2011. pls refer to the link by YLR33 earlier. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-23/solar-industry-braces-as-looming-glut-threatens-to-erode-prices
Wah ... been a long time since i run like no tomolo. Likely today came out with some kuaci money. Now sit sideline and watch R+ rated horror movie tomolo
Fire staff means anticipate very bad news on the revenue side of things ? Taiwan or Bolehland make no diff to me.
Even the solar selling price reduce..the line 4-6 got minimum order one..if not the client need to compensate Beside pls go check n compare the usd/rm apr16 to jun16 n jul16 to sep16
A lot ppl buy tekseng for the solar expansion story. Now no expansion, so more got production reduction and lower profit margin (lucky if no loss) and this solar slump may last for quite some (the 2011 solar slump lasted 2 years! ), then any good reason to stay on? For the PVC? oh no ..... pvc is not why ppl buying tekseng.
From latest news and previous news, the +200 workers laid off were employed in June 2016 and trained to stand by for the newly installed lines in July 2016. However due to market reason, the newly installed lines did not run and the workers have to go. However, Tekseng is getting compensation from customer for the new lines installed due to contract singed to guarantee minimum order by customer.
I believe the old production lines are still running full capacity, therefore we can anticipate that although the 2016 2nd-half production expansion does not happen, the performance would not be too far off from 2016 1st-half. Today market sell-off could be excessive due to panic sell.
Kevin, please wake up lahh.. I repeat again, it is not the matter of retrenchment and compensation. You need to understand what is the real reason behind the retrenchment. Do u know how big the impact is for 37.5% retrenchment for a company? Especially for a growth company. Somemore directors already goreng the price to the SKY already. I won't be surprise if it drop below 0.80. Sell lah!! Save your another 20% loss.
VilyVi, your opinion that performance would not be too far off from 2016 1st-half as production qty remain the same does not hold as u miss out the all important price factor. 大華繼顯發表的分析報告也指出「德成集團太陽能晶片的平均售價從8月的每兆瓦32美分,下跌至9月的每兆瓦27美分。」 That is 15% drop in price in 1 month from Aug to Sep. How about the price% drop from 2Q (apr, may, Jun)? Should be more than 15% I deduced (as price gradually reduced by time). This hugh reduction in price will definitely going to give a big dent to the profit margin (lucky if no loss). That is why 大華分析員認為,德成集團2016財政年將取得明顯的成長,但由于太陽能晶片價格趨軟,因此今年下半年盈利料不及上半年。 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Posted by VilyVi > Sep 27, 2016 11:07 PM | Report Abuse I believe the old production lines are still running full capacity, therefore we can anticipate that although the 2016 2nd-half production expansion does not happen, the performance would not be too far off from 2016 1st-half.
proven a lot of nuts duno that piece of news don't impact tekseng at all, minimum off take from NSP guarantee profit already, even line 4-6 all workers sack, tekseng still get paid!
Becareful ... stay in the sun too long may get sunburn. Tomorrow weatherman say going to be very2 hot just like this afternoon some may kena sunstroke even solar panel can melted oso .... hahahaha
The crucial issue now is how much compensation tekseng will get if minimum order not achieved for line 4 to 7? My deduction is that it is not going to be a small sum, however it will not be huge enough to make a big profit impact. Otherwise why UOB still project 因此今年下半年盈利料不及上半年. Furthermore, if the compensation is going to be huge to make a big profit impact, there is no reason for UOB or Mr. Loh to be silent on the exact compensation amount, in order to calm the market (in Mr. Loh case).
Some old news about NSP (Neo Solar Power) and its earlier capacity shifting plan with Tekseng as attached below for your perusal...looks like Neo now has capacity cut with Tekseng (though it needs to pay compensation) and creates the panic sell of Tekseng shares.
Share: Neo Solar Power to shift 350-500MWp solar cell capacity abroad
Crystalline silicon solar cell maker Neo solar Power is planning to move annual production capacity of 350-500MWp from Taiwan to an overseas location in an attempt to avoid US anti-dumping tariffs, according to industry sources.
Malaysia-based solar cell maker TS Solartech may be a target for Neo Solar's capacity shift, the sources said. Taiwan-based solar cell maker Solartech Energy has invested in TS Solartech for a 42% stake and helped the latter expand annual production capacity to 280MWp, the sources indicated. As TS Solartech plans to further expand annual capacity by 750MWp, Neo Solar stands a chance of contributing through moving capacity from Taiwan in exchange for a stake, the sources said.
Neo Solar indicated that it is in the process of setting up overseas solar cell production lines and expects production to begin in early 2016.
Nuying Huang, Taipei; Adam Hwang, DIGITIMES [Wednesday 17 February 2016] In the fourth quarter of 2015, Neo Solar cooperated with Malaysia-based solar cell maker TS Solartech on a plan to to relocate annual monocrystalline solar cell capacity of 350-500MWp from Taiwan to the latter’s factory, with 70MWp having already been moved, the sources indicated.
Hope not to panic, Solar cells demand is cyclic, it will not be the end of Tekseng just because of recent market down. Hopefully demand will be back by end of 2016. Cheers !
Being a public listed company retrenchment needs prior planning and approval so the intended exercise is known m earlier hence all incorporated in before Q3 release . Therefore would say oversold coz should the co have potential huge growth previously promoted, the company would have appreciated in the region of exponential growth between RM 1.50 to RM 1.80 as claimed by all the expert. We have to analyse not con to let the insider gain buying low. My 2 cents view. The co has other core biz to contribute and green still needed .
Agree whole hearted-ly with Sharesa Management can tell shareholders one thing but do another thing As of now TS has yet to issue a statement clarifying the matter Poster ex-CFO above made a good point “It’s not what happens to you but how you react to it that matters”. Mr Loh Kok Beng & team could learn a thing or two from Mr Loi Tuan Ee
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
bigbigboss
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Posted by bigbigboss > 2016-09-27 21:23 | Report Abuse
before say about will expend the new production line but now cut current production line ?