stteck, Daiboci and Tomypak are No.1 & No2. biggest flexible packaging in the country. PPHB is producing mainly corrugated carton and other paper packaging. I do not study PPHB and do not know how big is their market share.
TOMYPAK’S first quarter 2017 revenue was up 4.9% year-on-year, while net profit growth rose by a surprising 80% year-on-year to RM6.3mil.
Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (ebitda) margin was a strong 18.9% compared with 16.9% in the first quarter of 2016 because of lower cost of production.
“The higher first quarter 2017 ebitda margin was a positive surprise to us as its peer Daibochi Plastic indicated that average raw material prices rose by around 10% year-on-year in the first quarter,” said CIMB Research.
Given the completion of the new factory in Senai, Johor, the research house said Tomypak expected the group’s annual production capacity to rise by 80% to 35,000 tonnes annually.
“We believe it should not be easy for Tomypak to fill additional capacity, given weak domestic consumer sentiment, which would indirectly negatively affect domestic demand.
“In our view, Tomypak must focus on raising export revenue to fill the new factory’s production capacity of new factory and may have to sacrifice margin to this end.”
CIMB Research said Tomypak’s net debt was RM8.7mil or 0.05-times net gearing at end-March 2017.
“Most of the proposed RM80mil capital expenditure (capex) for the company’s first phase expansion was funded by the rights issue in 2016 that which raised around RM54mil proceeds.
“The rest of the capex was funded by internal borrowings.
Even after the capacity expansion exercise, Tomypak’s net gearing was healthy at 0.05 times at end-March 2017
This CIMB's analysis seems quite unprofessional and quite prejudice against Tomypak. The Q1 Report page-11 clearly explained on how is the performance of this Q, both on Q-o-Q and Y-o-Y basis. The analyst simply turned a blind eye on these Company provided information, and ignore thefact that the new factory has already started production last month which will beef up their bottom lines in the next Q results.
He is also sceptical about the new factory's doubling their total capacity, without considering the fact that it only have 5000 tons capacity as of now, which should not be so difficult to fill up with new orders. The 35000 tons planned capacity will be installed gradually as the new demand pick up... The Company management are highly experienced in this Consumer-related industry, they know what they are doing.
I believe they might wanna create panic sell. Who knows they collect secretly? Time and financial result will prove the fact. This so called analysis research report just a joke for me. It seems like professional and it looks like professional but it is NO. Don't forget latest financial result shown increase in demand on both local and oversea market. Provided lower tax rate 16%. It will definitely given better net profit margin.
This CIMB Nigel Foo's analyst research report can be ignored, he is either dont understand the strong fundamental company of Tomypak or he might one of the syndicate want to push down the price to collect. Fund manager is started collecting Tomypak. Ignore Him.
TOMYPAK’S first quarter 2017 revenue was up 4.9% year-on-year, while net profit growth rose by a surprising 80% year-on-year to RM6.3mil. 1. So is a good comment?
Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (ebitda) margin was a strong 18.9% compared with 16.9% in the first quarter of 2016 because of lower cost of production. 2. So is a good comment?
“The higher first quarter 2017 ebitda margin was a positive surprise to us as its peer Daibochi Plastic indicated that average raw material prices rose by around 10% year-on-year in the first quarter,” said CIMB Research. 3. So is a good comment?
Given the completion of the new factory in Senai, Johor, the research house said Tomypak expected the group’s annual production capacity to rise by 80% to 35,000 tonnes annually. 4. So is a good comment?
“We believe it should not be easy for Tomypak to fill additional capacity, given weak domestic consumer sentiment, which would indirectly negatively affect domestic demand. 5. More than half of their revenue (slight), approx. 53% are attributed to export sales. The management had clearly indicated their moving forward focus is in, particularly the Asia Pacific region, where 'it is predicted to be the fastest growing region for consumption of packaging materials', and the new plant was to gear the company adequately to tap this regional growth....and not in anticipation of domestic demand as 'particularly misunderstood' by CIMB?
“In our view, Tomypak must focus on raising export revenue to fill the new factory’s production capacity of new factory and may have to sacrifice margin to this end.” 6. Per 5 above...and so long the production capacities are efficiently utilised and the management delivered reasonable pay-backs and returns to shareholders, what's the issue? cut price to gain a larger market pie any problem?
CIMB Research said Tomypak’s net debt was RM8.7mil or 0.05-times net gearing at end-March 2017.
“Most of the proposed RM80mil capital expenditure (capex) for the company’s first phase expansion was funded by the rights issue in 2016 that which raised around RM54mil proceeds.
“The rest of the capex was funded by internal borrowings. 7. Why pay interest to the banks when the collective owners can fund the capex and entitle themselves to a stream of subsequent dividends?
Even after the capacity expansion exercise, Tomypak’s net gearing was healthy at 0.05 times at end-March 2017 8. Healthy gearing. You said it, whoever it is from CIMB.
Conclusion: Don't know what you are driving at, CIMB Research. Oops.
Littlefield This CIMB Nigel Foo's analyst research report can be ignored, he is either dont understand the strong fundamental company of Tomypak or he might one of the syndicate want to push down the price to collect. Fund manager is started collecting Tomypak. Ignore Him.
24/05/2017 10:30
R40s This CIMB's analysis seems quite unprofessional and quite prejudice against Tomypak. The Q1 Report page-11 clearly explained on how is the performance of this Q, both on Q-o-Q and Y-o-Y basis. The analyst simply turned a blind eye on these Company provided information, and ignore thefact that the new factory has already started production last month which will beef up their bottom lines in the next Q results.
He is also sceptical about the new factory's doubling their total capacity, without considering the fact that it only have 5000 tons capacity as of now, which should not be so difficult to fill up with new orders. The 35000 tons planned capacity will be installed gradually as the new demand pick up... The Company management are highly experienced in this Consumer-related industry, they know what they are doing.
24/05/2017 00:32
pc_FA I believe they might wanna create panic sell. Who knows they collect secretly? Time and financial result will prove the fact. This so called analysis research report just a joke for me. It seems like professional and it looks like professional but it is NO. Don't forget latest financial result shown increase in demand on both local and oversea market. Provided lower tax rate 16%. It will definitely given better net profit margin.
Stock With Momentum: Tomypak Holdings Asia Analytica / TheEdge Financial Daily May 22, 2017 10:30 am
Tomypak Holdings Bhd
SHARES in Tomypak Holdings Bhd (fundamental: 2.4/3, valuation: 1.1/3) settled 18 sen or 7.53% higher at RM2.57 last Friday, after 1.28 million shares were transacted. In comparison, the average volume seen in the past 200 days was 323,022 shares.
Tomypak’s net profit for the first quarter ended March 31, 2017 (1QFY17) jumped 78% year-on-year (y-o-y) to RM6.26 million from RM3.51 million, on higher demand from local and overseas customers, improved production cost and lower foreign exchange losses.
Revenue grew 5% y-o-y to RM53.92 million from RM51.36 million. The Johor-based flexible food packaging firm declared a dividend of two sen per share, payable on June 16.
Tomypak said its performance is set to improve, with more advanced and efficient printing and lamination machines being fully operational in the 2QFY17, after its new plant in Senai Industrial Estate was completed at end-March.
Effect of Share Split and Bonus Issue for Tomypak (For illustrative purposes only): Assumed no. of Shares held is 1,000 unit and 5-day VWAMP is RM 2.50, Total Value RM 2.50; After the Proposed Share Split, no. of Shares held is 2,000 unit, market price per share is RM 1.25, Total value RM 2.50; After the Bonus Issue, no. of Shares held is 2,500 unit, market price per share is RM 1, Total value RM 2.50;
In short, Number of unit from 1,000 unit to 2,500 unit and share price from RM 2.50 to RM 1.00.
Effect of Share Split and Bonus Issue for Tomypak warrant (For illustrative purposes only): Assumed no. of Shares held is 1,000 unit and 5-day VWAMP is RM 1.00, Total Value RM 1.00; After the Proposed Share Split, no. of Shares held is 2,000 unit, market price per share is RM 0.50, Total value RM 1.00; After the Bonus Issue, no. of Shares held is 2,500 unit, market price per share is RM 0.40, Total value RM 1.00;
In short, Number of unit from 1,000 unit to 2,500 unit and share price from RM 1.00 to RM 0.40.
@rocky77, don't angry. Take it easy. You should thanks Nigel Foo instead. I'm happy to accumulate more Tomypak at lower price :) Time and financial result will prove it. Tomypak need full of patience and trust to enjoy the fruit :P
@Kim Yi Chia, I hold mother only. As I prefer to enjoy the dividend and expose to lesser risk. Warrant is trade at 26% premium now. I used to hold Latitude in 2015 and Gadang in 2016. This year main focus is Tomypak. I have screen through few stocks. But I can't really forecast their future eps etc. I need more time to study and understand it to forecast their future eps. Value investing is the strategy I prefer when invest a company. More understand a company will give you confident to invest at huge amount of money. It tells you what price is safe to buy in and good to take profit :)
I have the full report of "Launching of Mids Scheme" that prepared by CIMB. Not too sure how to upload here :( Anyway Tomypak is one of the stock under "The 100 Bursa MidS companies selected under Phase 1" :)
@Ndrew, You're most welcome. I don't have Dropbox :( Perhaps I email you and you post it here? Basically it just stated what I mentioned above that Tomypak is one of the stock under "The 100 Bursa MidS companies selected under Phase 1".
Basically, flexible packaging is so pervasive in our daily lives. As an example, the laundry detergent had from, a once upon a time in tub containers, embraced flexible packaging in the form of refillable packs and in the same time responding to the social calling for environmental conservation. I believe it might be the potential customers for Tomypak :)
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ampabella
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Posted by ampabella > 2017-05-22 23:17 | Report Abuse
sleeping beauty wake up leow, my tp after X is rm1.20, hor sei leow