AQRS secured RM36.7m ECRL job award Duration of contract is 22 months Neutral on the job win within replenishment assumption No change to our earnings forecasts Reaffirm BUY on Gabungan AQRS at TP of RM1.42 AQRS secured RM36.7m ECRL job award. Gabungan AQRS announced on Bursa yesterday that the Group has received and accepted Letter of Acceptance (LOA) from China Communications Construction (ECRL) Sdn Bhd. The LOA to undertake drainage works for the East Coast Rail Link (ECRL) project in Pahang. Under the LOA, the award involves construction and completion of subgrade, drainage and culvert works at the base camp of the project.
Duration of contract. The contract period for the ECRL is 22 months, commencing end of June 2020.
Neutral on the job win. The new job contract has lifted its construction outstanding order book to an estimated of RM1.84b from RM1.80b as of early of March. Nonetheless, we are neutral on the award as it is well within our FY20 total job replenishment target – which is RM0.5b. Nonetheless we are upbeat on further inflow of new contracts and expect more job awards in the coming months.
No change to our earnings forecasts. Premise on above, we make no changes to our earnings forecasts.
Our views. This ECRL contract is expected to contribute positively to the future earnings of AQRS. Downside risks include (1) disruption in the building material supply chain, and (2) additional construction site restrictions. On a separate note, going ahead, we anticipated a better contribution to AQRS’s earnings from LRT 3 works on the back of better work progress. Other than that, we anticipate good news on Pan Borneo Highway Sabah (PBH) project given that AQRS has already submitted tender for PBH packages with Suria Capital.
Recommendation. We maintain our BUY stance with an unchanged TP of RM1.42. Our TP is derived based on a PE multiple of 10x to FY21EPS.
- Jointly owns concrete pre cast manufacturer with Sabah Economic Development Corporation (SEDCO). This division is well positioned to capitalise on Pan Borneo Highway and other Mega projects in 2H20 onwards.
- Solid management has successfully decreased operating expenses by 14%; Debts are supported by 139m cash, Gearing ratio of 0.23x; NTA of 515 million- greater than market cap
- order book at end 2019 of RM 1.8 BILLION. NOT including recent ECRL award.
- Earnings visibility up to 2023. Shows involvement in high value projects despite slowing down in infrastructure spending
Change in the Interest of Substantial Shareholder (202006113800072) Company Name GABUNGAN AQRS BERHAD Stock Code / Short Name 5226 / GBGAQRS Date & Time Announce 11/06/2020 05:10:14 PM Subject Notice of Interest Sub. S-hldr (Section 137 of CA 2016)
Content Substantial Shareholder's Particulars Name : KUMPULAN WANG PERSARAAN (DIPERBADANKAN) Address : Level 36, Integra Tower The Intermark 348 Jalan Tun Razak 50400 Kuala Lumpur Wilayah Persekutuan Malaysia NRIC/Passport No/Company No. : KWAPACT6622007 Nationality/Country of Incorporation : Malaysia Descriptions(Class & nominal value) : Ordinary Shares
Name & address of registered holder Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Diperbadankan)Level 36, Integra Tower The Intermark 348 Jalan Tun Razak 50400 Kuala Lumpur
Details Date of Change No of shares Price Transacted(RM) Transaction type 10/06/2020 327,900 0.000 Acquired
Description of other type of transaction : Circumstances by reason of which change has occured
Nature of interest : Indirect Interest Direct (units) : 0 Direct (%) : 0.000%
Total no of shares after change : 0 Date of notice : 11/06/2020
Remarks You are advised to read the entire contents of the announcement or attachment. To read the entire contents of the announcement or attachment, please access the Bursa website at http://www.bursamalaysia.com
KEY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS AQRS secured RM36.7m ECRL job award Duration of contract is 22 months Neutral on the job win within replenishment assumption No change to our earnings forecasts Reaffirm BUY on Gabungan AQRS at TP of RM1.42 AQRS secured RM36.7m ECRL job award. Gabungan AQRS announced on Bursa yesterday that the Group has received and accepted Letter of Acceptance (LOA) from China Communications Construction (ECRL) Sdn Bhd. The LOA to undertake drainage works for the East Coast Rail Link (ECRL) project in Pahang. Under the LOA, the award involves construction and completion of subgrade, drainage and culvert works at the base camp of the project.
Duration of contract. The contract period for the ECRL is 22 months, commencing end of June 2020.
Neutral on the job win. The new job contract has lifted its construction outstanding order book to an estimated of RM1.84b from RM1.80b as of early of March. Nonetheless, we are neutral on the award as it is well within our FY20 total job replenishment target – which is RM0.5b. Nonetheless we are upbeat on further inflow of new contracts and expect more job awards in the coming months.
No change to our earnings forecasts. Premise on above, we make no changes to our earnings forecasts.
Our views. This ECRL contract is expected to contribute positively to the future earnings of AQRS. Downside risks include (1) disruption in the building material supply chain, and (2) additional construction site restrictions. On a separate note, going ahead, we anticipated a better contribution to AQRS’s earnings from LRT 3 works on the back of better work progress. Other than that, we anticipate good news on Pan Borneo Highway Sabah (PBH) project given that AQRS has already submitted tender for PBH packages with Suria Capital.
Recommendation. We maintain our BUY stance with an unchanged TP of RM1.42. Our TP is derived based on a PE multiple of 10x to FY21EPS.
Change in the Interest of Substantial Shareholder (202006233600105) Company Name GABUNGAN AQRS BERHAD Stock Code / Short Name 5226 / GBGAQRS Date & Time Announce 23/06/2020 05:09:44 PM Subject Changes in Sub. S-hldr's Int (Section 138 of CA 2016)
Content Substantial Shareholder's Particulars Name : OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED Address : 63 Chulia Street #10-00 OCBC Centre East 049514 Singapore NRIC/Passport No/Company No. : 193200032W Nationality/Country of Incorporation : Singapore Descriptions(Class & nominal value) : Ordinary Shares
Name & address of registered holder You are advised to read the entire contents of the announcement or attachment.To read the entire contents of the announcement or attachment,please access the Bursa website at http://www.bursamalaysia.com
Details Date of Change No of shares Price Transacted(RM) Transaction type 19/06/2020 72,400 0.000 Acquired 19/06/2020 8,000 0.000 Acquired 19/06/2020 165,000 0.000 Acquired 19/06/2020 17,800 0.000 Acquired 19/06/2020 60,500 0.000 Acquired
Description of other type of transaction : Circumstances by reason of which change has occured
Nature of interest : Deemed Interest Direct (units) : 0 Direct (%) : 0.000%
Total no of shares after change : 29,703,242 Date of notice : 23/06/2020
Remarks You are advised to read the entire contents of the announcement or attachment. To read the entire contents of the announcement or attachment, please access the Bursa website at http://www.bursamalaysia.com
Our reported PAT stood 0.79 sen per share in 1Q20 compared to 2.31 sen in 1Q19. The decline is mainly due to the above mentioned reversal of overprovision of LAD for The Peak that was adjusted in the preceding year quarter.
Middle to long term I see this counter quite secure... Would like to buy in phases by phases
Slowly slowly up...better buy more now. I have accumulated 98,000 shares at an average price of 0.88. When time comes it would up a sudden spike with 1 or 2 long upward candles. By that time you will not be in time to catch the uptrend.
@HowAh, when looking at the candles from late June till today, the head-and-shoulder is formed. So hope both the shoulders at late June and today are well supported at 0.85.
Apart from the above, if you know how to trade Maxis and Digi, there’s range of 4-10 cents on daily basis and I have been making very good profits from Maxis 2-3 trades per week since early June till now with each trade 20,000 shares using the ultra low commission of MPlus online.
@HowAh, when looking at the candles from late June till today, the head-and-shoulder is formed. So hope both the shoulders at late June and today are well supported at 0.85.
Apart from the above, if you know how to trade Maxis and Digi, there’s range of 4-10 cents on daily basis and I have been making very good profits from Maxis 2-3 trades per week since early June till now with each trade 20,000 shares using the ultra low commission of MPlus online.
HowAh - you may check it at klscscreener, it is head and shoulder but it doesn’t mean that 0.85 will be violated at all upon the completion of head and shoulder provided there’s a big push by string buying volume and that the MACD is turning positive from the current situation. Hope the EMA and Divergence would be crossed over soon.
At times of writing, not sure if those buffalos purposely push it down to 0.815 to create a strong hammer prior to market closes at the end of the day. If so, it would be a good reversal pattern.
@HowAh - Volume is building up, hope no reverse gear. A friend of mine texted me saying that The Edge was painting a rosy picture on GBG on Sat. What’s your target price to unload?
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Candlesticks
107 posts
Posted by Candlesticks > 2020-06-04 13:30 | Report Abuse
today's gain already reversed the downward trend. tomorrow might continue to up further.