How do you know the top 27 list ? Doesn't matter what the top 27 control, any 20 pct can kill this deal. Any. Deal only approved if share price is above 50 and remains there. I woudl expect it need to be 55 or so to be comfortable. Promoters have a block worth Myr 200 mil at that price, ie shares and warrants. Up to them to use this block to ensure a successful QA.
Did you hear deal dead? I was told by broker a few major shareholders close to 15 % already agreed to vote no, and get back 48.5 cts in August. Buy 47 and get 48.5 in Aug, make 3 pct risk free. Ha ha ha.
If the QA fails, redemption is about a month after expiry of the 3 yr date which is August. If QA succeeds, dissenting shareholders get money back in 5 days after EGM. This is latest news. Pls have a look at the prospectus, I agree that let us decide at EGM but in reality since any 20 pct decline, the deal fails, then if indeed 15 pct already agree to vote no, likely the fixed income funds who not allowed to hold oil and gas equity, then this deal is dead already. Once it becomes clear deal is dead, investors will sell sona eve before the EGM, to the same level of other spac.
Let's see how the market reacts tmw. News from brokers already have conflicts of interest written all over their face already. Regardless those with Sona shares at least can get a refund..in August lol.
Another note of interest. If credit suisse n Pacific just wants yield n vote against qa why are they abandoning cliq? They can just stay there n get their cash but they have to sell most of their cliq positions n buy Sona. Is Sona yield higher? Credit went from 5% to 7 n back down now to about 5. Why are they buying Sona until >10%? .
exactly, if credit suise & Pacific are after yield, then they shud not be selling cliq and buy sona since there is a possible higher return once trust fund is refunded by Cliq
that means both credit suise and pacific are expecting higher return by investing in Sona once QA is approved and oil price turnaround from the bottom
as a investor, after buying asset with 20% cash, i do not want the management to have access to 80% of the fund just like that. Asset is already cash flow generating, you need need more cash.
my estimate, a minority group will opt for refund probably less than 5%, then balance 95% cash, half will go to Stag and the balance will go to buy another new field in the near future once the current QA is approved
That money 400m has to be used to do expansion on the stag field. it is stated in SC's conditions for approval. Plus it has to be put into a trust account...not simply used by the management. SC is quite strict
Type of Meeting Extraordinary General Meeting Indicator Notice of Meeting Description Notice of Extraordinary General Meeting Date of Meeting 30 Mar 2016 Time 10:00 AM Venue Sabah Room, B2 Level, Shangri-la Hotel Kuala Lumpur, 11 Jalan Sultan Ismail, 50250 Kuala Lumpur Date of General Meeting Record of Depositors 23 Mar 2016 http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5024041
No price support no deal. Has to be between 55-60 to ensure a successful QA. Else everyone will sell and deal will be dead. I understand quite a few major shareholders already agree vote No by proxy. Nearly 15 %. I was told promoters still sleeping. Ha ha. Easy money come, easy money go. So far, not a single major shareholder has come out publicly and said they support this deal. Ha ha. Mati lah.
Two categories of buyers to support the QA, for ikan bilis or speculators depends on stock price before EGM but for big sharks or investors depends on the potential of the investments
oil rout over, OPEC aims for US$50 anchor, says PIRA's Ross
(March 7): Major OPEC producers are privately starting to talk about a new oil price equilibrium of US$50 a barrel, adding to signs that the market's long, deep rout is officially over, says one of the industry's leading prognosticators.
Gary Ross, the founder, executive chairman and chief oil soothsayer at New York-based consultancy PIRA, told clients 2-1/2 weeks ago that he reckoned the "lows are in" for crude, which was then about US$30 a barrel. U.S. futures have rallied since then to close at nearly US$36 on Friday, with a handful of analysts also cautiously calling a bottom.
In an interview with Reuters, Ross said oil should recover to US$50 a barrel by the end of the year, potentially aided by eventual supply cuts from leading producers among the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).
"They want US$50 oil, this is going to become the new anchor for global oil prices," said Ross, one of the industry's most respected forecasters for his bold price predictions and decades-long history of consulting with OPEC members.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ktsk88
5,284 posts
Posted by ktsk88 > 2016-03-03 15:26 | Report Abuse
yes jack2 got the points there, any informations will be available on the EGM notice circulars.
Just voted the deals and you will gain in longer terms with the oil recovery.