for eg SKP - business with upstream & downstream - debts more than RM10B - u calculate how much interest cost per year plus some loans in usd!!
Sona, with no debts and net cash after acquisition with positive cash flow - will be the attraction - the new dara...
when oil price recover to usd50, upstream buziness will benefit first and very little trickle down to downstream section
all the downstream with OSV vessels, Jack Up Rigs business, will not benefit much as oil company is not likely to go big on exploration and find new wells at usd50 - most just maintain existing oil fields
the vendors are multinational companies in oil n gas. the stag field is just a marginal business for them
if you google, u can check that the vendors had tried to sell their companies but received very low offer. Now the offer received is much better than before and why dont they sell
the vendors too need hard cash fast to pay debts and for cashflows...
1. reduce purchase price to around usd35M & below... now is nego process, result...
2. bring down production cost below usd20 pb ...work-in-progress - good time to reduce operating cost and squeeze the suppliers, result is lower production cost & higher profit margin....
3. recovery of oil price to usd40++... now oil price is recovering usd35++.. still have good upside at least to usd40 in short term...
4. share price at least 50cts and above before EGM - to allow the kiasi to sell before EGM. likely in a month time probably in early april...
believe me this will be the darling stock once oil price recover in 2nd half and next year.
only those nutties will think oil price will remain low forever.. oil price around usd34 pb - Sona is making gross profit of 30%
if oil price usd40 pb which is already good for Sona - gross margin is 53% (you can expect the share price to double)
any oil price above usd50 pb is a bonus (then the price will triple)
if 3/4 of the my wish list above is achieved, EGM hurdle is not a problem
my crystall ball said all is fine and Hadi is a new B... within 3 yrs... all shareholders are happy to ride on his success...
my advise is to sell other oil n gas counters eg SPK, UMWog.... even oil price at usd50 pb, sona is laughing all the way to the banks, other supporting oil companies are still suffering frm poor business, they need oil price at least usd70++ to flourish
in addition - sona has no debts - debts free free, zero debts, other oil n gas counters are loaded with debts debts in billions eg SKP rm10B, umwog rm3 B....u calculate their interest cost in poor business environment in support services, kaput kaput...
time to switch counter from other oil n gas support services to sona....
Price must be above 48.5 sen or many shareholders will just say no.
i think this is a very very misleading statement with bad intentions. I am a shareholder n i say Yes pls buy the Qa so i can sell sona at a much higher price than a miserable 48cents.
many shareholders will say no. Are these the minor or major ones? Major shareholders will definitely vote yes. This is logical as they want to make more money. Only stupid ppl would want less money. Only idiots would want 3 to 4 cents of profit.
Btw i believeeven tho the stupid ppl want to vote no.....the yes votes will be more due to a lot of major shareholders listed in their annual report. With so many buying now i believe its only a matter of time ...
i own sona shares and no i do not want 3 or 4 cents profit. Buy at your own risk thx
On behalf of Sona Petroleum, CIMB Investment Bank Berhad is pleased to announce that Sona E&P (Perth) Pty Ltd (as buyer) and Sona Petroleum (as buyer guarantor) entered into a deed of variation with the Sellers on 29 February 2016 (“Deed of Variation”) to inter alia, reduce the Base Purchase Price from US$50.0 million (or equivalent to RM206.5 million) to US$25.0 million (or equivalent to RM103.2 million).
In line with the reduction in Base Purchase Price, GCA has issued an updated fairness opinion dated 29 February 2016, which considers the Base Purchase Price of US$25 million (or equivalent to RM103.2 million) to be fair.
The Deed of Variation will be available for inspection during normal business hours at B-13-15, Level 13, Menara Prima Tower B, Jalan PJU 1/39, Dataran Prima, 47301 Petaling Jaya, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia from Mondays to Fridays (except public holidays) for a period of 3 months from the date of this announcement.
Unless otherwise stated, the exchange rate of US$1.00:RM4.1295 being Bank Negara Malaysia’s middle rate as at 5.00 p.m. on 15 February 2016, is used throughout this announcement for purposes of translation of US$ into RM. Abbreviations used in this announcement shall have the same meanings as defined in the announcement dated 2 November 2015, unless denoted otherwise.
We refer to the announcement dated 12 February 2016 in relation to the Proposed Acquisition whereby Sona Petroleum, among others announced that Sona Petroleum had obtained the SC’s approval for the Proposed Acquisition and that Sona Petroleum was in negotiations with the Sellers to reduce the purchase consideration for the Proposed Acquisition.
On behalf of Sona Petroleum, CIMB Investment Bank Berhad is pleased to announce that Sona E&P (Perth) Pty Ltd (as buyer) and Sona Petroleum (as buyer guarantor) entered into a deed of variation with the Sellers on 29 February 2016 (“Deed of Variation”) to inter alia, reduce the Base Purchase Price from US$50.0 million (or equivalent to RM206.5 million) to US$25.0 million (or equivalent to RM103.2 million).
In line with the reduction in Base Purchase Price, GCA has issued an updated fairness opinion dated 29 February 2016, which considers the Base Purchase Price of US$25 million (or equivalent to RM103.2 million) to be fair.
The Deed of Variation will be available for inspection during normal business hours at B-13-15, Level 13, Menara Prima Tower B, Jalan PJU 1/39, Dataran Prima, 47301 Petaling Jaya, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia from Mondays to Fridays (except public holidays) for a period of 3 months from the date of this announcement.
the warrant is underpriced because the QA is not confirmed at that point of time. This time it will commanded a premium because the QA is approved by Bursa and the purchase prime is reduced hence no reason for the shareholders to voted against the purchase in the coming EGM.
Jack22, QA is already approved by Bursa just the price need to be re-nogotiate which the company did. So now for the shareholders EGM to approve the QA unless someone or some funds deliberately voted against it.
Yes, this funds either vote for or against it, so we do not know their real intentions behind huge buying of the stocks...........but but judging from their buyings from 0.425 to 0.45 sen, i guess they knows something of the deals in advance that prompted them buying more in.
Hope they voted for the QA to go thru which will benefits them too.
Yes the company is cash rich with incoming positive cashflow straight from the wells............and hopefully they can use part of the funds to invest down stream activities.
SONA has managed to reduce its purchase price from USD50m to USD25m which is deemed to fair & believe its trading price may see momentum & quantum leap. We will just cross our finger to see its performance soon
Just sit back and relax as we ride to the top..........oil producers and first SPAC to successfully acquired a QA...........even Cliq or Hibiscus will all the news n hype failed doing so.
Congrats to the Sona teams and all the patience shareholders for the faith in the company.
Purchase price has been reduced from USD 50 M to USD 25 M, yes, the price is fair, but 80% utilization of the trust account reduced from 40% t0 20%, the rest of 60%? again for 2nd stage QA? still got time? expiring on this July 2016.
As per own calculation, the fully diluted value of this company, with some assumptions on oil production and also oil price, is about 80 cts per share. I am looking forward to the circular and particularly the revised consultants report to see why they changed to fair value. Obviously some of their assumptions are critical and sensitive. As for funds buying, they will need to write up their paper internally and also submit to the management committees for approval, this takes time. If indeed EGM is end March, there is not sufficient time. Also since any 20 pct can decline and the deal is dead, the promoters must be quite thoughtful how they will manage expectations. At stake for the promoters is Myr 200 million, ie their mkt value of shares and warrants at say 55 cts. Myr 200 million is a lot of firepower to do many things.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
jack2
1,359 posts
Posted by jack2 > 2016-02-26 16:52 | Report Abuse
the son performance just wow
still has much legs once QA approved