Owg is indeed in correction mood. Bankers still in nibbling oppor at 2.29. Technically it might test the low support level 2.22. Personally, i invested owg i believe it has strong potential growth of a cash cow on catalysts komtar opening n later end of the yr genting new facelift themepark opening. We r holding on our investmt on medium outlooks. I bought around price 2.33 2.35 recently 2 wks. Wen prices coming dwn low, i feel tat it is oppor to accumulate more if one has the bullet. In my personal experience, i strongly believe (ngan kong-canton) accurately to select a stock u wnt to invest. I make money in tis strategy. So we r investors in owg. If u r holding bigger volume , checking resistant n target, we can do it part to trade n part to hold on longer term so our capital is living is not stuck holding on one stock.
Indicators dropping low owg might b rebound anytime. If one is to trade, it is oppor. We follow bankers nibbling oppor at low price but we dnt knw wen big boys will strike. Smiling !!!!!!!!
Earnings preview: Growth delayed to FY17 ■ We expect FY16 to disappoint as Komtar’s opening has been delayed to Jul 16. ■ FY17-18 EPS raised by 7-10% on higher blended ticket rates at Komtar. ■ Komtar will be opened in stages from Jul 16 to Nov 16. ■ Maintain Add rating with slightly higher target price, based on 22.2x CY17 EPS (F&B sector average). The stock remains one of our top small-cap picks in 2016. ■ Komtar’s opening in Jul 16 is a potential re-rating catalyst. Growth delayed to FY17 We expect 2H16 EPS to disappoint and FY16 EPS to come in below estimates as the opening of Komtar has been delayed from Apr 16 to Jul 16. Our downgrade of FY16 EPS by 21% is due to 1) the removal of Komtar observation deck revenues (-4%), 2) removal of Komtar rental and F&B revenues (-10%), and 3) lower revenues from Genting following the delay in the opening of Sky Plaza/Avenue (-7%). Komtar opening pushed back from April to Jul 16 The delay of Komtar’s opening was caused by various factors: 1) space expansion from 130,000 sq ft to 300,000 sq ft since the IPO, 2) water leaks on levels 3 and 4, which will be rectified by the Penang state government, and 3) certificate of completion and compliance (CCC) requirements for level 5 and the interactive lift. Komtar to be opened in stages beginning Jul 16 Komtar will be opened in stages in Jul 16, starting with the interactive lift, some key themed attractions and the F&B/retail outlets on level 5. The last attraction to be opened in Nov 16 is the themed aquarium. The key earnings driver for Komtar is the interactive lift, of which a delayed opening will pose downside risk to our FY17F EPS. FY17F EPS to jump by 142% We raise FY17-18F EPS by 7-10% on higher blended ticket rates on level 64 from RM15 to RM30, mitigated by 1) greater depreciation cost due to the doubling in space expansion, and 2) slight dilution from an expanded share base as we expect the balance of the private placement of 10m shares to be completed by mid-16. Upside to earnings forecasts As it is unclear how many themed attractions will be opened in Jul 16, we have not yet included earnings contribution from this element. There are six chargeable attractions – 1) 7D Dome, 2) Dinosaur Park, 3) Zodiac Park, 4) 5D Sea Explorer, 5) Playoke Dance & Kids, and 6) the aquarium. However, assuming 500,000 visitors per themed attraction at a blended ticket rate of RM20 and net margin of 20%, this could add another RM12m to FY17-18 net profit (24-29% increase). OWG remains one of our top small-cap picks Our target price is based on 22.2x CY17 P/E, the F&B sector average. We maintain Add on OWG, with Komtar’s opening in Jul 16 as a potential re-rating catalyst. OWG remains one of our top small-cap picks for 2016.
The delay in Komtar’s opening from Apr to Jul 16 was caused by: 1) Space expansion from 130,000 sq ft at the point of IPO to 300,000 sq ft currently; 2) Levels 3 and 4, which will house “I love Penang Gallery” and the Doraemon exhibition, experienced water leaks. As this fell under the purview of the Penang Development Corporation (PDC), it was transferred back to PDC for rectification. PDC is expected to transfer the said floors back to OWG in early-May 2016. OWG will require six weeks to complete installation for the launch of the said attractions; 3) Additional spacing for the Dinosaur Park, 7D Dome and Sea Explorer 5D on the back portion of level 5 has required further incorporation of the renovation work into a single master plan to obtain the CCC. If OWG had decided to launch the earlier completed phases by zones, additional fire safety requirements would have been uneconomical and interfered with the aesthetic designs on level 5. Therefore, management has decided to launch level 5 in a single phase in Jul 16.
@johnnycash, everyone knows abt d delay and d mkt has already priced in this delay due to its protracted subdue share price for the past 2 mths or so. It's just tht CIMB has only now released d report.
@johnny cash thank q very very much for ur info updates on us. Because i hv bought quite big volumes, sendiri pandai pandai instinct knw how to act right in such volatile decisions. Thank q.
After all. Will say owg is handling the project well. space expansion from 130,000 sq ft to 300,000 sq ft but still delay few months.. If someone handling it, the budget must be at least few fold and delay at least few years..
@paperplane2016, I hv read and followed how nasty u got w another investor/trader in another forum recently. From the tone of it, I know well both of u r fund managers trying to out-do one another. Watever it is, do not try to 'pour cold water' here hoping to buy-in and collect more OWG shares cheaply. I believe it is not ethical to adopt scare tactics on other weaker mkt participants in order to make money. Eventually, I hope other readers/investors r able to differentiate between those who r genuinely out to help others and those who r out to purposely deceive/intimidate others.
In my view, OWG is a quality f & b stock w exciting growth prospects in d near future. The company is well managed and yr investment in it w grow exponentially over time as I always emphasized on value investing and, NOT speculative trading. You w know wat I mean if u stay invested in OWG until end-2017. FYI, since OWG's IPO listing on 18 Dec 2014 until 31 Mar 2016, its share value has grown by 227% within a period of less than 1.5 yrs!!! Wat other investments cud possibly beat tht. Decision is yours and I'm truly happy if u cud make money for yrself. All d best.
Who want to go to OWG restaurant? Is their business really good?
Posted by paperplane2016 > Apr 23, 2016 11:59 AM | Report Abuse U been to genting? Go have a visit of their restaurant. I pui. I rather eat inside casino or outside go eat ah yay abalon.
@Paperplane2016, if OWG restaurants' food quality is of according to yr pui standard, do u think Genting Resort is so stupid to allow OWG to continue operating there for OWG to generate 80% of its revenue from the resort year in, year out? If u want to b a credible food critic or of anything else, u need to substantiate it with solid evidence. Otherwise, u r just like another mad dog barking away crazily only to b ignored by d masses.
U pui, doesn't mean other pui... u eat shiit doesn't mean others will follow u. The company do good or bad not your problem. Why u pui here pui there. Be nice
Agreed people wont bother the taste of the food. As long is good to consume people don't mind. And moreover people go genting for two main purpose relax and huat huat huat. No matter how he think about this company, people make money he wont have chance to share. People lose money he wont help them to pay. So don't pui pui pui.... really shame on him
Different people have different taste,when comes to tourists,they just want to enjoy their food with their loved ones and continue their battle in the casinos or have fun with their children.They normally don't bother about the price and taste.As far as the taste is not too bad,and they have to queue for a long time,I think they don't mind.Many foreign tourists may even give a thumb up for owg food outlets 'cos they hardly try local cuisines n only savour the food for the first time.
I find @ robert 168 optimistic n confidence who has a vision guy whom always hahaha in his post tats instilling upbeat feelings on other investors! Smilling ! !
Cut loss? Cut loss is it meant if u r on trading or technical buy short term, wen things goes wrong we cut loss to minimise losses . OWG has fundamental values. We invest in values. Mkt bad affected price coming down. It more on technical. Fundamental still intact. Y cut loss? We b monitor if owg wil break crucial support 2.22.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
robert168
558 posts
Posted by robert168 > 2016-04-15 22:51 | Report Abuse
Hahaha.. Just wait for it to fly !!!