Investing in stock mkt, stock selection is important. Right investmt wil bring u excel in return appreciation. 2nd, must check chart to find timing to accumulate stock. Never buy huge volume stocks even u hv the money at one price.
Small fire which will hardly cause a problem. At most, a little delay in opening but the impending catalysts are promising. So any correction, I'll add more
■ Fire broke out at level five of Komtar building on 15 Oct in the morning. ■ Resulting damage was immaterial and does not affect Komtar’s opening timeline, according to management. ■ Maintain Add. TP RM4.36 OWG remains one of our top small-cap picks.
Fire on level five of Komtar building ● The Star newspaper reported that a fire broke out on level five of the Komtar building on 15 Oct, at about 9.30am. The Penang Fire and Rescue department spokesman said that the fire was put out by 10am. Nobody was injured in the incident.
Damage was immaterial ● We spoke to management to obtain clarity on the matter. According to management, welding works on the steel structures at the outdoor rear area of level five ignited some aluminium foil that started a small fire. This resulted in heavy smoke but the fire damage was immaterial, according to OWG.
No change to Komtar’s opening timeline ● Management clarified that the incident does not affect its official opening date of 18 Dec. It maintains its planned Nov deadline for opening the interactive lift and outdoor themed attractions. Where is the upside?
● We currently assume a late-Nov opening of the interactive lift and outdoor themed attractions. We have not imputed any revenue and profit contributions from the themed attractions at Komtar. We have also not imputed additional profit contribution from the additional space that OWG will be securing, as it is still finalising the amount of additional space in Sky Plaza at Genting Highlands. We estimate that OWG’s total space in Genting could amount to 50% more than its current space.
Re-rating starts now ● With improved clarity on Komtar’s opening timeline, we believe that the stock is poised for significant re-rating. OWG is trading at a CY17F P/E of only 11.4x, which is more than a 50% discount to the F&B sector average. This is unjustified, in our view, as the Komtar delay is merely a timing issue.
Still one of our top small-cap picks ● We maintain our Add rating. OWG is still one of our top small-cap picks for 2016-17F. We maintain our EPS forecasts and target price, still pegged to 21.2x CY17F P/E, at a 10% small-cap and liquidity discount to the F&B sector average. Potential re-rating catalysts include the opening of Komtar’s lift in Nov and higher-than expected visitation numbers. A key risk is further delay in Komtar’s opening.
Yesterday, Bernama quoted Global Built Sdn Bhd managing director Lim Chip Keong as saying that the construction progress of the theme park was still on track and scheduled to be completed by end-November. “The blaze only affected a small portion of the roof on that floor.The roof is 24ft high, so the fire was an isolated one. That was why you saw a lot of smoke at the roof level. The fire was minimal,” he said in the report.
“No damage was reported at any of the premises. The fire was put out within half an hour, and no injuries were reported. The cost of damage has not yet been determined,” the report added.
OWG clinched the RM180 million Komtar revitalisation project from Penang Development Corp in December 2012.
Sigh! after holding for 6 months, only now start to see tiny paper profit. It is not easy to earn money from OWG. Hopefully the trend is now toward north way with the opening of Komtar and the upcoming GenM.
Be careful. Current price is still above/beyond the Bollington band. Yesterday's run up (2.44) were almost completely washed away as it went down to 2.37 before closing at 2.39.
Depending on ur strategy to trade or to invest , for those who trade who hv bought lower price shd hv huat aridy. Smilling! Our wealth fund EPF ini gigi tajam buaya garang trader.
CIMB report today- Beneficiary of 2017 Budget The introduction of eVisa in 2017 for South Asian tourists should benefit OWG as South Asians, as a proportion of total tourist traffic (excluding Singapore) to Malaysia, is the second largest after China and similar to European tourist arrivals. According to our regional transport analyst Raymond Yap, eVisa facilities for Chinese tourists introduced in Malaysia in 1 Mar 2016 resulted in a 30% yoy increase in 1H16. Malaysia is also hosting the 2017 SEA and Para ASEAN games. Malaysia a beneficiary of Thai slowdown Following the death of King Bhumibol, the government has declared a one-year mourning period. We believe that Malaysia could be a big beneficiary of any fallout in tourism to Thailand. China, Malaysia and Japan are the three largest sources of tourists to Thailand. For Penang, Indonesia, Singapore, China and Japan are the largest tourist sources. A diversion of tourist traffic from Thailand to Penang is a huge positive for OWG. On track for official launch in Dec Komtar remains on track for its official launch on 18 Dec. Various regulatory approvals and certificate of fitness are in the midst of being obtained. We see little risk of delay given that Komtar is a priority state-driven initiative. This should alleviate investors’ concerns about further delays for Komtar’s opening. We view this as a major re-rating catalyst for the stock. Completion of private placement OWG’s second tranche of private placement was completed at RM2.13 per share and the 8.9m new shares were listed on 13 Oct 2016. This removes the earlier concerns of share overhang. Sensitivity analysis Our base case estimate is for 560k visitors to Komtar in FY17 and 1m visitors p.a. in FY18-19. Our sensitivity analysis suggests that every 100,000 increase in visitors to Komtar will raise FY18F EPS by 5.2%. This is a conservative estimate as we have not imputed any revenue and profit contributions from the themed attractions at Komtar; only revenues from the interactive lifts have been included in our estimates. Raise target price on rollover We maintain our EPS forecasts but raise our target price for OWG by 28% to RM5.60 as we rollover to end-2017. Our target price is pegged to 20.8x CY18F P/E, at a 10% smallcap and liquidity discount to the F&B sector average. Potential re-rating catalysts are the opening of Komtar and higher-than-expected visitation numbers. A key risk is further delay in Komtar’s opening.
Very obvious, CIMB Research is trying very hard push this stock up with such high target price - RM5.60. That means the potential return is about 140% with the current price of RM2.45!!!
OWG already doing well in Genting Highlands and will continue to expand with the new developments up there, Sky Plaza, Premium Outlets and the new theme park.
Komtar is definitely another excellent business for OWG which is going to be launched by December.
A small concern for Komtar - parking problem may affect the business!
Msia rising cost of living..a bowl of noodles rm6 aso no fullfilling..how do we cope ? We learn skills , to me stock mkt is a tool to cari makan lo..nah see 2.45 we can hv plenty bowls of food on the table!
Hi Grow 1, 2.50 2.54 wo! Not only many bowls of food on the table, im making money to charity sharing food with unfortunate live beings. Stock mkt is 90% on skills, 10% on luck. I believe in doing good deeds to bring me good luck in tis risk mkt so i can continuosly to charity.
Huat1: I believe in its excellent business potential.
OWG already doing well in Genting Highlands and will continue to expand with the new developments up there, Sky Plaza, Premium Outlets and the new theme park.
Komtar is definitely another excellent business for OWG which is going to be launched by 18 December. =======================================================================
After reading Huat1 posting, I have joined back OWG.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Huat1
2,509 posts
Posted by Huat1 > 2016-10-15 15:42 | Report Abuse
Seems like good news...
EPF reported to BURSA that they have acquired 12,100,000 shares on 11 Oct 2016.
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5231857