maanagement is in talk with 2 ~ 3 companies ( Electronic & Electrical ) for acquisition. Just stay on and wait. At this price, the cash on hand and existing business will support the price , and with coming dividend announcement and acquisition, this will push up the price further. This is like a sure win game except we need some time to make it happen
Completed my short review of the potential acquisition.
Here's the input. If there are demands and requests from interested investors, then I will put in a more thorough review.
JusEV Charging Network Sdn Bhd - Provides all in one solution from consultation, installation to after sales services for personal use, while also integrating payment solutions into their chargers products for commercial bands. - Products are AC based chargers, ABB / C series chargers, suitable for home / commercial EV charging solutions. - Products are well catered for digitalization with controls enabled over web-based solutions, allowing monitoring as well as control of the charge while being notified upon transaction. - Currently customers installed in condominiums as well as commercial lots.
Input: > Would have a mass market to penetrate in Malaysia as government commits more into EV and more EV products being introduced to the market. > Well spear headed with funds available from DANCO / UTC primary for expansion if needed. > Potential risk would be costs passed on from supplier based on market demands. > The next direction / portion of acquisition could see DANCO integrate MTL as well as UTC's expertise moving into producing in-house AC charger instead to have a greater control of the product's supplies and pricing. > DANCO's cash rich status allows company to utilize cash for either expansion of MTL/UTC, for fuel for more acquisition down the road.
51K EV business will not impact or make a difference in the Group revenue. But why the owner agree to sell the shareholding to Danco, unless he also see something that we wont know. My wild guess is another acquisition is also EV related where JusEV is just a tool helping to grow the another acquistion to works more better. Else, why Danco group bother to acquire such a small company
only thing I can think of is the small company has IP and needs funding so DANCO buy over and retain the original owner in charge running it so they can progress their business.
Perhaps you may also consider from this perspective, while building on your 'theory'.
- If the company has IP, or even rather, an agreement for supplier priced products, with DANCO's cash injection directly or via UTC, they will have a larger leverage to not only expand business, but also to lower costs. - This acquisition means that DANCO is now positioning itself in establishing charging networks which is not prominent here in Malaysia. Meaning that this is a Downstream position. - If (watch announcements) DANCO acquires a mid/upstream player (small cap / mid cap), they can better position themselves in the leagues of one stop producer to supplier to retailer. - The big question is, what is DANCO's primary objective? Distribute across various segments? Or to invest more in UTC + MTL's direction?
The big reveal here is that UTC's director / shareholder happens to also be JusEV's director / shareholders. Although it does not have significant impact on the company's portfolio due to small investment, you can see from the direction / expertise of UTC. UTC is bound to be one of DANCO's significant revenue stream, where UTC leans toward, it gives us a little glimpse of forecast for future profits.
Heard on BFM today there's a push to get 10,000 EV charging stations in the nation this year. Currently there is around 1,000 EV charging stations. This could be a prudent plan by DANCO to get involved in achieving this target and with budget 2023 coming up there could be money allocated to this. Let's wait and see :-D
New growth, new acquisition incoming, new transition ahead! Well done DANCO, hopefully apart from MTL directors, UTC's directors can also take up a stake in DANCO, so that the existing directors can continue to organically grow the business with MTL and new acquisitions; while UTC directors explore new areas of growth in EV realm.
- Costs of sale decreased marginally despite higher revenue; This is attributable to trading division recording higher revenue. - Metal stamping revenue dropped marginally, but profit margin increased leading to a higher gross profit. - Pump manufacturing also recorded marginally lower revenue as well as profit. - E&E engineering recorded a higher QoQ revenue and profit, with increased profit margin as well.
Financials: - Inventories increased by Rm4.2m - Receivables increased by Rm4.3m - Payables increased by Rm6.2m - Cash & cash equivalents increased by Rm11.2m > DANCO's c&ce now stands at RM100.7m, equivalent to roughly 55% of current market cap. - Borrowings increased ~RM7m to a total of RM18.7m; from previous ~RM11m, this is due to the recent acquisition of property for factory expansion of MTL. - Net cash generated from operating activities increased from RM10.6m to RM16.1m, once again demonstrating healthy cash flow.
Overall review + review of segments: - DANCO demonstrated organic growth of trading, E&E segments; but a marginal decline for manufacturing and metal stamping division. - Metal stamping division is likely to encounter bottleneck from the capacity / manpower related shortages, which the new factory 3 for MTL would help to alleviate and support expansion. - Geographical diversity in terms of revenue source has decreased as seen on decline towards Indonesian sale; While others (presumably SG) decreased significantly after the completion of Jurong MHS project. - Potential acquisition to further fuel DANCO's expansion ahead as talks are ongoing. - Overall organic growth remains well within expectations; with profit margins exceeding initial expectations.
Growth momentum to continue in FY23F ■ FY22 core net profit of RM21.6m (+28.9% yoy) was above expectations, at 126% of both our and Bloomberg consensus’ estimates. ■ We expect Dancomech’s net profit to rise 6.3% yoy in FY23F, driven by strong contribution from its metal stamping and E&E engineering divisions. ■ Reiterate Add, with a higher TP of RM0.58 (based on 10x CY24F P/E).
FY22 core net profit rose 28.9% yoy, above our expectations Core net profit in 4Q22 came in at RM10.1m (+80.4% yoy), after accounting for one-off losses of RM3.6m (mainly provisions for credit loss worth RM2.1m and impairment of contract assets worth RM1.5m). This brought FY22 core net profit to RM21.6m (+28.9% yoy), above expectations at 126% of both our and Bloomberg consensus’ FY22 forecasts. Dancomech declared an interim dividend of 1.25 sen/share for 4Q22, bringing FY22 dividend to 2 sen/share (a 41% dividend payout).
4Q22: stronger qoq thanks to better segmental performance Revenue in 4Q22 rose 8.1% qoq to RM61.0m, thanks to higher contributions from the E&E engineering, trading and metal stamping divisions. 4Q22 EBITDA margin rose 8.2% pts qoq to 22.7%, thanks to higher contribution from high-margin segments (trading and E&E engineering) and greater economies of scale. Accordingly, 4Q22 core net profit rose 112.2% qoq to RM10.1m. On a cumulative basis, FY22 revenue and core net profit rose 3.2% and 28.9%, respectively. The stronger FY22 gross profit (GP) was thanks to higher contribution from the trading, E&E engineering and metal stamping divisions, which offset lower GP from pump manufacturing (-44.8% yoy) and MHS solutions (-69.1% yoy).
FY23F growth to be driven by acquired subsidiaries In FY23F, we expect Danco’s net profit to rise 6.3% yoy, mainly driven by its metal stamping (+10% yoy) and E&E engineering divisions (+40% yoy). We believe the metal stamping division will be driven by: i) strong demand from existing clients and new client acquisitions; and ii) its capacity addition of 15-20% as of end-FY22. Meanwhile, the E&E engineering segment’s growth could be driven by a robust orderbook (RM7m at end- CY23F), in our view. We also gather that Danco is not discounting further M&As, given its robust net cash position of RM82.0m (as at end-FY22, 45.2% of its market cap).
Reiterate Add, with a higher TP of RM0.58 (10x CY24F P/E) With the 4Q22 earnings beat, we raise our FY23-24F EPS by 16.3-18.0% to account for higher contributions from its trading, metal stamping and E&E divisions, as well as greater economies of scale. In tandem with our EPS hikes, our TP rises to RM0.58 (based on 10x CY24F P/E, 5-year historical mean). We also introduce our FY25F estimates. We like Danco for: i) its undemanding valuation (7.1x CY24F P/E); ii) attractive dividend yields of 5.7-7.1% for FY23-25F, and iii) the defensive nature of its businesses (diversified business segments, especially trading in valves, which are used in all industries). Downside risks: input cost spike, lower sales volume and price competition.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
billionn
733 posts
Posted by billionn > 2023-02-13 09:24 | Report Abuse
0. 4 in the making may enter 0.38 end of the wk