In 23Q4, net profit was 20mil if excluding 8mil forex loss, price big gap down on next day. Now the net profit was 17mil if excluding 10mil forex gain, so price should gap up or gap down?
u know what was the best part? They said they were optimistic but the price still big gap down on next day. Now they are pessimistic when every signs suggest that the worse of semicon industry is over and recovery is on the way.
how to interpret the 1Q24 results, or more importantly, what Mi mgmt really want to say? results are fantastic, strong rebound .. but yet mgmt say they are "cautiously conservative" and that "the long awaited recovery in semiconductor industry in 2H2024 may just be a wishful thinking". strong words there. so, investors shld react to results or to the prospects? interesting to watch the price movement on Monday. download a copy of the results and read it yourself.
They said this in their recent released annual report 2023:
With the mix of capabilities and the products and solutions offered, Mi Group as a comprehensive solution provider is ready to seize any opportunities for business diversification and localisation. We remain aggressively optimistic about the Group’s prospects for the FYE 2024 and beyond. We are confident that the gradual recovery seen in the worldwide semiconductor manufacturing sector will lay the groundwork and build the momentum for continual growth.
We shall continue to pursue our path in diversification for the SEBU where the newer state-of-the-art machines series are expected to bring heightened contributions to overall revenue. The SMBU, equipped with cutting-edge manufacturing technologies to produce micro-solder balls from our patented alloy, will continue to expand its market presence. In SSBU, our initiative aligns with our strategy will enable the Group to seize opportunities within the Automotive & Renewable Energy segment.
So here they said they are "aggressively optimistic". How ah?
The net profit in Q1 FY24 was indeed boosted by the forex gain. But, we should also see MI's revenue in this quarter. It achieved the historical highest revenue in Q1, which is the seasonally weaker quarter. It is also the 4th highest revenue quarter since listing. Thus, MI's performance in this quarter is good.
Pertaining to the "conservative" prospect given in this quarterly report, i am kind of surprised and puzzled. This is because, according to the FY23 annual report, published recently, the management gave a very positive guidance for 2024 :" remains aggressively optimistic about the Group's prospect for the FY24 and beyond". The prospect can't change from "aggressively optimistic" to "cautiously conservative" within a month. There is clearly a misalignment, and why MI management wanted to give the misaligned prospect in 2 differ reports published within a month? We can probably clarify this doubt wit MI management during the coming AGM.
In most of the tech stocks' quarterly reports published so far, the guidance given for 2024 have been positive, can refer to Dufu, Vitrox, & etc. Thus, I still believe 2024 is the recovery year and the onset of semiconductor upcycle :)
They just try to manage expectations la. But overall without forex gain. They still have eps of 2 cents. Now pe below 20. Scared what. If u buy at this price nothing to worry. Don't overthink what management said. They scared people goreng their shar3 price only.
Don’t understand why hv such silly ppl still chasing Dufu and Myeg! There are many shares out there ready to grab and would high likely flipping your fortune!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Mitchell79
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Posted by Mitchell79 > 2024-03-25 10:06 | Report Abuse
Mobile phone market bounces back
https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2403/S00039/download-weekly-mobile-phone-market-bounces-back.htm