Seeking listing on the Main Market, HPMT Holdings Bhd (“HPMT”) is a cutting tool specialist with strong international presence and proven track record. Recommend BUY with a target price of RM0.63 based on 13x PER FY20 as per closest related peers.
With almost 40 years of experience in the cutting tools industry, HPMT is primarily involved in the manufacturing and distribution of cutting tools, trading of 3rd party cutting tools, supporting equipment and accessories of metalworking as well as provision of physical vapor deposition coating services. HPMT’s extensive portfolio of products range and capability in customisation enable them to cater for customers’ need with short manufacturing and delivery lead time in various industry application. Backed by a distribution network of more than 30 countries, the group has a well-diversified geographical revenue contribution with Europe and Asia being the top sales contributors at 50.7% and 28.9% respectively in FY18.
Bulk of the IPO proceeds (80.3%) will be earmarked to purchase new machineries and equipment. The group aim to boost production capacity by 43.5% by FY21 from current 148,200 pieces per month to 212,600 pieces per month, implying a 3-year compounded annual growth rate of 13%. Meanwhile, 6.9% from the proceeds will be utilised for working capital purposes. The allocation is important for the group to increase its inventory level to ensure stock availability and shorter time delivery. The expansion is set to enhance HPMT’s competency to cope with the growing demand and eliminate limited capacity constraints as the group is currently running at an utilisation rate of over 80%.
HPMT has a dividend policy of 30%, translating to an expected dividend yield of 2.2% and 2.6% in FY19 and FY20 respectively. Post listing, net gearing is set to improve from 0.36x to 0.19x. Net profit is expected to grow at 11.4% and 17.6% respectively in FY19 and FY20 on the back of higher sales volume from HPMT’s production capacity expansion as well as rising products demand due to higher application of automation within the global manufacturers.
A similar listed company in Japan at PE 16.2x, another in Thailand at PE 10.6x ... HPMT share price at PE 8 is 0.44 ... PE 10 is 0.55 ... PE 12 is 0.66 ... PE 14 is 0.77 ... PE 16 is 0.88 ... HPMT's capacity expansion to lead growth in the next 3 yrs will drive the share price higher ... A dividend policy with a payout of 30% would be fantastic for early investors now ...
Capacity expansion do not guarantee sales growth,looking at their revenue growth for the past three years, it was 9%, 13% and 0.17% in 2018.And the profit after tax was a decrease of 8% from 2017. If the earning do not grow, 30% dividend policy payout means nothing.
Find out the reason behind those numbers is more important ... Generally 2018 was not a good year for most industries especially manufacturing ... It didn't affect badly on HPMT ...
there were alot of manufacuter outside there didnt have sales at all between these two years,but hpmt still able to make it groeth in fevenue,is very good ady
Investing in equities is not about put a judgement based on past numbers ... It's about evaluation of it's past numbers n find out the cause of it ... Investing is always about futures growth ...
HPMT is selling industrial tools n services that hv a lifespan of 3 to 6 mths ... It's a recurring revenue n profit as long as their customers operating biz as usual ... Just like some ppl repeatedly buying Gardenia bread every 2 to 3 days, 3 times in a week, 12 times in a mth ... Gardenia would enjoy recurring revenue n profit as long as ppl eat their bread ...
Absolutely correct, analysing past information and apply the current economic condition to predict the future prospects is investment, else it is gambling. Particularly at this tough economy, using capacity expansion as business strategies is a risk-approach which will highly lead to over-trading especially with a targeted monthly production capacity increase of almost 43.5% from only a historical annual growth of 5.3%.
Didn't u realize that current price is very attractive ? ... Other thing is not so important ... No point questioning any motif behind it to avoid offending anyone ... Cheers ...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Jiahui Foo
3,335 posts
Posted by Jiahui Foo > 2019-06-20 15:40 | Report Abuse
Greatech breaking 1.05, approaching 1.30 very soon, as HP ends at 0.30........