Be the first to like this.
0 comment(s).
No result.
1
2
4
BFM Podcast
6
BFM Podcast
8
BFM Podcast
#
Stock
Score
Stock Name
Last
Change
Volume
Stock Name
Last
Change
Volume
Stock Name
Last
Change
Volume
Stock
Time
Signal
Duration
Stock
Time
Signal
Duration
CS Tan
4.9 / 5.0
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Posted by xianRen > 2020-01-20 21:51 | Report Abuse
浅淡JOHOTIN Johotin有两个核心业务,锡罐和炼奶生意。锡罐的生意是夕阳产业,盈利贡献基本上是持平,Johotin的增长引擎来自炼奶生意,两大工厂分布在Mexico和本地柔佛。 1) 本地柔佛(Teluk Panglima Garang)的炼奶年产能为从去年的10万公吨增加至3Q2019的16万公吨,Revenue和profit的增加可以从下图看到。估计经过几个月的trail run,本地工厂能够fully utilized多余6万公吨的炼奶。以3Q2019的profit做参考,来临的季度F&B部门很大可能可以贡献差不多RM20million的盈利。 2) 如果把tin manufacturing部门的profit维持在大概RM3million的水平,那么来季的盈利大概是RM23million. 3) 以终票数310,473,000,EPS大概是RM0.0645。 4) Annualised的EPS是RM0.18。 5) 6) Mexico的产能是16万公吨,与本地产能持平,预计1Q2020开始生产。Johotin在Mexico的工厂所占的股份是43%。以本地柔佛工厂的profit做参考,如果明年Mexico工厂的utilization rate是80%,那么盈利贡献保守估计是43% x 80% x(RM11m+RM9m+RM15m+RM20m)=RM19m 7) 如果2019全年的净利差不多是RM64.5m,那么RM19m的增加意味着23%的盈利成长。 8) 当然,外汇走势,原料波动之类的因素会影响最终盈利,不过以Johotin的单位数低PE,配合强劲的balance sheet,加上potential的23%CARG,我觉得现在的股价RM1.83有一定的margin of safety。