Posted by Tobby > 2022-07-28 23:39 | Report Abuse

The on going court trial of Zahid and Najib indeed a big worry if let's say BN Umno wins with super majority this coming GE15, and Agong appoints Zahid as the new PM!
However, looking at latest survey, it seems BN is total goner and Umno is just a solo party with no strong alliance like it used to!
Sabah Sarawak will become kingmaker for GE15! Sabah Sarawak are not BN component party like they used to! They are independent local parties!
As for peninsula, it seems Umno is quite weak! The recent by elections is not an indicator that BN Umno will make a coming in peninsula! On the contra, it's just a revenge vote by rakyat to give some lesson to Harapan leaders!
On parlimentary side, things will be totally different! With Rafizi as the new wingman, PKR may see some rejuvenation just like what Umno experience before!
Umno is predicted to win not more that 60 parlimentary seats! That's the best case scenario! However, without BN, Umno cannot form government!
So we may see Umno and PKR been force to form alliance! Perhaps Umno, PKR, GRS and GPS will be enough to form a new goverment!
Will it be unstable! Of course! But what can we do! This is the new normal in Malaysia politics!

Posted by Tobby > 2022-07-28 23:40 | Report Abuse

As for DAP, i think the Lims will be the hindrance towards becoming part of the new administration!

Posted by Tobby > 2022-07-28 23:42 | Report Abuse

As for Zahid or Najib! They are liability to Umno going forward! As long as the court cluster remains, the support for Umno will disappear! Umno is already on it's last leg! Furthermore, the potential future leaders in Umno continue to be push into backburner! Umno old vote bank are dwindling! The younger malays no longer have emotional attachment towards Umno!

Posted by Tobby > 2022-07-28 23:43 | Report Abuse

Chances for Zahid or Najib to make a comeback is quite bleak at the moment given Umno chances of winning seats are not good at all!