We maintain HOLD on Bank Islam (BI) with an unchanged fa value (FV) of RM2.20/share. Our FV is based on FY24F ROE o 7.6%, leading to a P/BV of 0.7x. No change to our neutral 3-sta ESG rating.
Our earnings estimate for FY24F/25F have been tweaked b +1.9%/-3.6% after adjustments to our net income margin an cost to income (CI) ratio assumptions.
12M23 earnings of RM553mill was slightly above our forecas 7% ahead of our estimate. Meanwhile, it was within consensu project at 5% above street numbers. The variance to ou estimate was due to a lower-than-expected operatin expenses (OPEX) and provisions.
Net profit in 12M23 rose by 12.5% YoY, attributed to net incom growth of 7.2%, partially offset by higher provisions an OPEX. The improvement in net income was contributed by a increase in net fund-based income as a result of stronge investment income and fx gains.
On QoQ basis, 4Q23 net profit of RM158mil rose by 12.6% supported by an increase in non-fund-based income from higher fees, commission, fx gains, revaluation gains o financial assets at FVTPL and lower provisions.
12M23 OPEX grew 9.3% YoY to RM1.43bil, largely contribute by increase in personnel cost, promotion, establishment an general expenses.
The group recorded a higher CI ratio of 60.9% in 12M23 v 59.8% in 12M22 with growth in OPEX outpacing net income.
BI’s gross financing moderated to 3% YoY in 4Q23 compare to 8.4% YoY in 3Q23, below the industry’s 5.3% as well a management’s guidance of a 7%-8% growth for FY23.
In the consumer financing segment, house financing growt eased to 4.6% YoY while personal financing grew slower a 2.3% YoY.
CASATIA ratio increased slightly to 39.9% in 4Q23 vs. 38.5% in 3Q23.
The group’s gross impaired financing balances decreased b 25.7% QoQ, contributed by higher recoveries an reclassification from impaired to performing loans.
BI’s gross impaired financing (GIF) ratio slid to 0.92% in 4Q2 from 0.97% in 3Q23.
12M23 credit cost of 26bps (12M22: 21bps) was lower tha management’s guidance of 30bps-40bps for FY23.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....