From the 1st method http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/Math/84866.jsp, we draw our line with link the 1st point (1979) with low and high limit. Maybe some of your will get the ideas how about we draw the line by link between low limit, and get the average.
We repeat it to high limit. The result as below:
I think me need to slow slow wait for good buying point....=.=
*Just sharing as study case and take your own risk to use it in your investment.
If you intesting to see the data,
Upper Limit | Lower Limit | |||||||||
Year |
Actual KLCI Result 1sr Working day Dec |
% |
Foracast 1983 1999 |
Foracast 1989 2007 |
Forecast 1993 2013 |
Upper Avg. |
Forecast 1982 1998 |
Forecast 1985 2002 |
Forecast 1990 2008 |
Lower Avg. |
1979 | 149.51 | 216.63 | 71.86 | 861.17 | 383.22 | 188.85 | 60.24 | 279.30 | 176.13 | |
1980 | 227.02 | 51.8% | 246.42 | 120.91 | 890.75 | 419.36 | 209.76 | 85.72 | 299.90 | 198.46 |
1981 | 268.24 | 18.2% | 276.20 | 169.95 | 920.34 | 455.49 | 230.67 | 111.20 | 320.51 | 220.79 |
1982 | 251.58 | -6.2% | 305.99 | 218.99 | 949.92 | 491.63 | 251.58 | 136.68 | 341.11 | 243.12 |
1983 | 335.77 | 33.5% | 335.77 | 268.03 | 979.50 | 527.77 | 272.49 | 162.17 | 361.71 | 265.45 |
1984 | 265.61 | -20.9% | 365.56 | 317.07 | 1009.08 | 563.90 | 293.40 | 187.65 | 382.31 | 287.79 |
1985 | 213.13 | -19.8% | 395.34 | 366.11 | 1038.66 | 600.04 | 314.31 | 213.13 | 402.91 | 310.12 |
1986 | 239.05 | 12.2% | 425.13 | 415.16 | 1068.25 | 636.18 | 335.22 | 238.61 | 423.51 | 332.45 |
1987 | 261.19 | 9.3% | 454.91 | 464.20 | 1097.83 | 672.31 | 356.13 | 264.09 | 444.12 | 354.78 |
1988 | 357.38 | 36.8% | 484.70 | 513.24 | 1127.41 | 708.45 | 377.04 | 289.58 | 464.72 | 377.11 |
1989 | 562.28 | 57.3% | 514.48 | 562.28 | 1156.99 | 744.58 | 397.95 | 315.06 | 485.32 | 399.44 |
1990 | 505.92 | -10.0% | 544.27 | 611.32 | 1186.57 | 780.72 | 418.86 | 340.54 | 505.92 | 421.77 |
1991 | 556.22 | 9.9% | 574.05 | 660.36 | 1216.16 | 816.86 | 439.76 | 366.02 | 526.52 | 444.10 |
1992 | 643.96 | 15.8% | 603.84 | 709.41 | 1245.74 | 852.99 | 460.67 | 391.50 | 547.12 | 466.43 |
1993 | 1275.32 | 98.0% | 633.62 | 758.45 | 1275.32 | 889.13 | 481.58 | 416.98 | 567.73 | 488.76 |
1994 | 971.21 | -23.8% | 663.41 | 807.49 | 1304.90 | 925.27 | 502.49 | 442.47 | 588.33 | 511.10 |
1995 | 995.17 | 2.5% | 693.19 | 856.53 | 1334.48 | 961.40 | 523.40 | 467.95 | 608.93 | 533.43 |
1996 | 1237.5 | 24.4% | 722.98 | 905.57 | 1364.07 | 997.54 | 544.31 | 493.43 | 629.53 | 555.76 |
1997 | 594.44 | -52.0% | 752.76 | 954.61 | 1393.65 | 1033.67 | 565.22 | 518.91 | 650.13 | 578.09 |
1998 | 586.13 | -1.4% | 782.55 | 1003.66 | 1423.23 | 1069.81 | 586.13 | 544.39 | 670.73 | 600.42 |
1999 | 812.33 | 38.6% | 812.33 | 1052.70 | 1452.81 | 1105.95 | 607.04 | 569.87 | 691.34 | 622.75 |
2000 | 679.64 | -16.3% | 842.12 | 1101.74 | 1482.39 | 1142.08 | 627.95 | 595.36 | 711.94 | 645.08 |
2001 | 696.09 | 2.4% | 871.90 | 1150.78 | 1511.98 | 1178.22 | 648.86 | 620.84 | 732.54 | 667.41 |
2002 | 646.32 | -7.1% | 901.69 | 1199.82 | 1541.56 | 1214.35 | 669.77 | 646.32 | 753.14 | 689.74 |
2003 | 793.94 | 22.8% | 931.47 | 1248.86 | 1571.14 | 1250.49 | 690.68 | 671.80 | 773.74 | 712.07 |
2004 | 907.43 | 14.3% | 961.26 | 1297.91 | 1600.72 | 1286.63 | 711.59 | 697.28 | 794.34 | 734.40 |
2005 | 899.79 | -0.8% | 991.04 | 1346.95 | 1630.30 | 1322.76 | 732.50 | 722.77 | 814.95 | 756.74 |
2006 | 1096.24 | 21.8% | 1020.83 | 1395.99 | 1659.89 | 1358.90 | 753.41 | 748.25 | 835.55 | 779.07 |
2007 | 1445.03 | 31.8% | 1050.61 | 1445.03 | 1689.47 | 1395.04 | 774.31 | 773.73 | 856.15 | 801.40 |
2008 | 876.75 | -39.3% | 1080.40 | 1494.07 | 1719.05 | 1431.17 | 795.22 | 799.21 | 876.75 | 823.73 |
2009 | 1272.78 | 45.2% | 1110.18 | 1543.11 | 1748.63 | 1467.31 | 816.13 | 824.69 | 897.35 | 846.06 |
2010 | 1519.91 | 19.4% | 1139.97 | 1592.16 | 1778.21 | 1503.44 | 837.04 | 850.17 | 917.95 | 868.39 |
2011 | 1530.73 | 0.7% | 1169.75 | 1641.20 | 1807.80 | 1539.58 | 857.95 | 875.66 | 938.56 | 890.72 |
2012 | 1688.95 | 10.3% | 1199.54 | 1690.24 | 1837.38 | 1575.72 | 878.86 | 901.14 | 959.16 | 913.05 |
2013 | 1866.96 | 10.5% | 1229.32 | 1739.28 | 1866.96 | 1611.85 | 899.77 | 926.62 | 979.76 | 935.38 |
2014 | 1761.25 | -5.7% | 1259.11 | 1788.32 | 1896.54 | 1647.99 | 920.68 | 952.10 | 1000.36 | 957.71 |
2015 | 1288.89 | 1837.36 | 1926.12 | 1684.13 | 941.59 | 977.58 | 1020.96 | 980.04 | ||
2016 | 1318.68 | 1886.41 | 1955.71 | 1720.26 | 962.50 | 1003.06 | 1041.56 | 1002.38 |