- Manufacture & sales of plywood and veneer.
- Exports mainly to USA (71%).
- Similar industry competitor – Ta Ann, WTK.
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Compound annual growth rate, CAGR for the past 5 years (2011-2015).
- Revenue : 10.29%
- Net profit : 23.30%
- EBIT : 21.76%
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Average free cash flow, FCF for the past 5 years : RM17.02m.
- Average capital expenditure, CAPEX for the past 5 years : RM2.53m.
- Growth sustained by internal cash flow generation (No debts).
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Growth plans (50-55% utilisation rate).
- In the midst of acquiring new machinery to produce plywood with different sizes and specification.
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Current dividend yield is 3.68% based on the current price of RM1.63 (20/12/16).
- Potential final dividend 4QFY16 to bring yield up to an estimated 6.13%.
- Cash per share : RM0.85 [Other investments (RM61.30m) and cash (RM26.37m) – 3QFY16].
- Value of RM1.43 [EPS (projected): 15.92 cents] based on a PER of 9x, which is a 20% discount from peers’ PER of 11.3x.
- Sum-of-Parts (SOP) methodology yields a fair value of RM2.28.
- Discounted cash flow analysis using the average FCF of 5 years with 3% growth and 10% discount yields RM2.42.
- Margin of safety : RM0.65.
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Valuation metrics using projected earnings for 4QFY2016.
- Cash Yield : 10.7%
- Earning Yield : 26.5%
- EV/EBIT : 3.77
- Return on Capital : 30.9%
Sources:
- Research report by Hong Leong Investment Bank dated 20 December 2016 here.
- Research report by Hong Leong Investment Bank dated 9 September 2015 here.
Notes:
This post was prepared to be used solely for blogging purposes. It is not to provide investment advice or a solicitation of such an offer. As an investor, you should thoroughly research any security before making any investment decisions.
newbie_Investor
@Tan KW
How to add the label: focus lumber?
2016-12-20 22:58