Hektar REIT’s 9M14 net profit came in line at 72%/74% of our/consensus estimates. Earnings growth stayed flattish as it continued to be affected by Central Square’s ongoing refurbishments. Nonetheless, we believe that earnings should come in stronger in FY15. Management has reaffirmed its commitment to a 10.5 sen dividend payout for FY14. Maintain NEUTRAL and DDM-based TP of MYR1.43 (6.6% downside).
Results in line. Hektar REIT’s 3Q14 net profit of MYR10.9m (-2.1% YoY, -5.2% QoQ) brought 9M14 net profit to MYR32.8m (flat YoY), coming in at 72%/74% of our/consensus estimates. 9M14 revenue growth was flattish as it continued to be affected by disruptions from Central Square’s (CS) ongoing asset enhancement initiatives (AEI). 9M14 net property income (NPI) was still stable at 59.7% (9M13: 60.2%), although earnings were slightly affected by the electricity tariff hike. Meanwhile, it has announced a DPU of 2.60 sen for 3Q14, on track to meet our full-year forecast. Its overall portfolio occupancy is still stable at 94.5%, and the average rental reversion is about 7% YTD.
No surprises expected going into 4Q14. Hektar REIT continues to make good progress on the AEI front. The AEI for CS is almost completed, with only the cinema yet to complete its fit-out. The positive impact from the AEI has started to show, as it recently managed to secure a new tenant at double the rental rate of the previous tenant. We reiterate our view that the full impact from this refurbishment should only be seen from 1Q15 onwards. Mahkota Parade’s AEI, which will see the expansion of its cinema to 10 screens (from four currently), is well underway. Management expects the cinema extension works to be completed in January. Overall, although earnings will likely remain flattish going into 4Q14, management reaffirms its commitment to a DPU of at least 10.5 sen for FY14.
Earnings forecasts. We make no changes to our FY14/FY15 earnings forecasts. We have also introduced our FY16 forecasts.
Maintain NEUTRAL. Our DDM-based TP is unchanged at MYR1.43. Given Hektar REIT’s past track record, we are still confident with its DPU
delivery.
Financial Exhibits
Financial Exhibits
SWOT Analysis
Company Profile
Hektar REIT is a mid-cap retail REIT specialising in suburban malls. Its major assets include Subang Parade and Mahkota Parade.
Recommendation Chart
Source: RHB
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Created by kiasutrader | Jun 14, 2016
Created by kiasutrader | May 05, 2016
No surprise is the norm for REITs investment. You can safely predict how much DPU accurately. Having 'surprise' will kill you.
2014-11-10 15:55
ks55
Current price 1.53, your TP 1.43. Do you suggest sell?
2014-11-10 15:51