The local blue-chip benchmark rallied to end at a fresh nine-month high on Monday, fuelled by regional strength on optimism global interest rates have peaked and rate cuts may follow next year. The FBM KLCI surged 14.74 points to close at the day's high of 1,464.67, off an opening low of 1,452.29, as gainers beat losers 665 to 284 on robust trade totalling 3.76bn shares worth RM2.34bn.
Renewed buying interest in key blue-chip telcos, banking and utility heavyweights should see them resuming uptrends on hopes the rising global interest rates trend is ending and should give way to rate cuts next year. On the index, resistance is revised higher to the 1,490/1,500 area, followed by 1,520 as next upside hurdle. Immediate support is also adjusted upwards to 1,450, with 1,430, and then 1,400/1,390 as stronger support platform.
Axiata need convincing breakout above the 100-day ma (RM2.48) to enhance upside potential towards the 200-day ma (RM2.70), with tougher hurdles from the 38.2%FR (RM2.82) and 50%FR (RM3.01), and downside cushioned by the lower Bollinger band (RM2.20). CelcomDigi will need breakout confirmation above the 138.2%FP (RM4.55) to aim for the 150%FP (RM4.68), 161.8%FP (RM4.82) and 176.4%FP (RM4.98) ahead, while the lower Bollinger band (RM4.14) limits downside risk.
Source: TA Research - 7 Nov 2023
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