Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.
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2019-04-21 22:19 | Report Abuse
reinstating GST...it starts as a rumor first...
2019-04-21 14:37 | Report Abuse
on diversification, this is the simplest logic i can find:
say you have quality measurement rating of 1 to 10 for stock as indication of the potential return rate.
and, your threshold for buying is above 6
if, you were given 20 stock to choose, 8 have rating 6 and below, 6 stocks at 7, 3 stocks at 8, 2 stocks at 9 and 1 stock at 10.
how would you invest?
.....................
I think its better to go for the best 12 above than the 6 best stocks at 8 and above ratings.
Reason is at large capital its not 'worth it' to lose a significant sum as much as gaining it....
the importance should be more on preserving capital than gains.
as a rich man, the gains is more for pleasure than any meaningful consumption. For a poor kid its different, its life or death..either you make it or drown in the capitalist world.
2019-04-21 13:12 | Report Abuse
Icon, i still think in reality you made much more than you had stated there...all your stocks like thong guan and johotin were flying...
2019-04-21 13:08 | Report Abuse
when capital is small...it was very easy decision making for me based on feel without detail study...but when capital gets big...i tend to get very worried at night...
ironically i have become super lazy to study in detail compared to when i had small capital...strange piece of brain i have
2019-04-21 13:05 | Report Abuse
nice sharings there Icon, thanks
2019-04-21 12:54 | Report Abuse
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/18/oil-prices-heres-what-energy-analysts-are-most-worried-about.html
Libya unrest
“For me, the current major risk event for the oil market is the unrest in Libya,” Stephen Brennock, oil analyst at PVM Oil Associates, told CNBC via email.
“Oil production in the country has yet to be disrupted however I suspect it is a matter of when not if. General Haftar and his eastern Libyan forces are determined to seize Tripoli and with it comes the inevitable risk of supply outages,” Brennock said
2019-04-21 12:35 | Report Abuse
Air strikes and explosions hit key OPEC oil producer Libya’s capital in worsening escalation of violence
PUBLISHED AN HOUR AGO
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/21/air-strikes-and-explosions-hit-libyas-capital-tripoli.html
2019-04-21 11:55 | Report Abuse
walao lady sifu samo...this is the only thing missing in i3!
can we have lady sifu in i3 who do not fight?
2019-04-21 10:07 | Report Abuse
capacity utilize only 42%? Then 150 M profit Jaks likely become 63M
Considering the costs of coal (1.4 Billion from EVN pocket per year), pollution, and the fact that hydroelectric does not incur these costs at all...
its very likely the above will be the reality.
CPECC may be happy with a return at long term bond rate....since they had probably gained indirectly by the plant supply scope from China.
2019-04-21 00:25 | Report Abuse
Dear sslee, why a shortfall of 11% between Gross Generation and Net energy output? because of the below?
4. Parasitic load, transformer loss, line loss and own power usage.
I dont get it...are they then paid 0.015 $/kWh based on Net energy output?
2019-04-20 23:55 | Report Abuse
ok...for defensive strategy they certainly makes sense...all of them having competitive advantage....brilliant selections....thanks little sifu.
2019-04-20 23:47 | Report Abuse
all sounds logical....but for plantation isn't those already having thin margin (unlike UP) are the ones will be having explosive gains when turnaround? anything i missed?....but for defensive play its certainly good...as other plantation has to die first before UP
2019-04-20 23:34 | Report Abuse
i think i will be buying one of these new stock you had recommended (already have harta and econ a little)...will know after i buy
2019-04-20 23:28 | Report Abuse
Other than Econ, Harta...i did not expect at all the others from you...but looks good though...except QL
2019-04-20 20:06 | Report Abuse
sendai could be a good buy at this price sifu qqq3...it can be explosive if business turns around well
2019-04-20 19:52 | Report Abuse
The equity has grown by just RM45m from RM910m to RM970m, or just a CAGR of 1.2%
Its total short and long-term interest-bearing debts has increased by 132% from RM537m in 2014 to RM1248m in 2018, in just 4 years. Yes, RM1.25 billion, a huge number. The increased in the short-term debt of about 300% is particularly a red flag to watch.
mind boggling
the banks are always the winners
2019-04-20 19:15 | Report Abuse
khatulistiwa...please dont spoil the forum space with your mentally dizzying statements like in lioind...nice comments once in a while is OK
thank you
2019-04-20 19:09 | Report Abuse
tsunami alert warning:
......................
powerful earthquake had just cracked opened deep sea bed...
after effects massive tsunami is yet to be unleashed.....
it will become bigger and bigger before reaching the shore lines.
2019-04-20 18:49 | Report Abuse
these are the breedings of Calvin Tan investment philosophy propagation..he he
2019-04-20 18:31 | Report Abuse
now days even before any investment takes place for generating an expected return...the speculators creates this return for them self much ahead..he he
2019-04-20 18:15 | Report Abuse
ok sarifah...kamu menang...gayanya lepas install turbine...Jaks akan turbo mode...
saja jangan caci maki kita yang beri nasihat setahu dua...walaupun bercanggahan
2019-04-20 17:55 | Report Abuse
sebab tak de catalyst la...susah nak go up...
kecuali sarifah komen setiap hari ..setiap jam..setiap saat...
2019-04-20 17:37 | Report Abuse
wei..km ingat commissioning tekan satu butang sudah start ke..ada yang sampai 18 bulan troubleshooting...
start up loss juga covered ke dalam IPP?
semual coal yang di bakar hangus sia-sia selama start up tau tak....selagi kWh tak sampe ke consumer
2019-04-20 16:05 | Report Abuse
guess the management who can consistently find reinvestment opportunities at higher return than cost of equity...'much better than what the market perceives' judged by the current market cap over equity...is the true winner
in a crude manner (with a fixed debt to equity ratio)...
ROE x EQ = COE x MCAP
MCAP/EQ = ROE/COE
the left side follows the right side of the equation
............................
one way to evaluate management is seeing its historical financial statements...
thanks for the free eBook KC
2019-04-20 15:10 | Report Abuse
check out what was its price before renegotiation by Najib earlier
Posted by hoplanner > Apr 20, 2019 2:59 PM | Report Abuse
Come Monday iwCity boleh naik ke atau turun?
2019-04-20 15:04 | Report Abuse
and it makes full sense on Military equipment which i think - has absolutely no use in the future (fit for museum).
weapons of the future is completely different...its either software or chemical-biological warfare in nature..
2019-04-20 14:57 | Report Abuse
I like such initiatives by the present government. Barter is indeed a very efficient - cautious approach to restore the economy.
2019-04-20 14:34 | Report Abuse
Kembalikan GST, SST sangat membebankan
By Kasthuri Jeevendran - 19 April 2019
https://malaysiagazette.com/blog/2019/04/19/kembalikan-balik-gst-sst-sangat-membebankan/
Presiden Kebangsaan Parti Gerakan Rakyat Malaysia (GERAKAN), Datuk Dr. Dominic Lau Hoe Chai diiringi Timbalan Presiden GERAKAN, Oh Tong Keong (kiri) dan Setiausaha Agung GERAKAN, Mak Kah Keong (kanan) pada sidang media berkenaan isu semasa GST dan SST di Menara PGRM, Cheras, Kuala Lumpur. foto NOOR ASREKUZAIREY SALIM, 19 APRIL 2019
2019-04-20 14:27 | Report Abuse
someone need to create an id - 'Tun & Botak' power
2019-04-20 14:24 | Report Abuse
all happened when Tun & Botak sit and makan2 that day...
2019-04-20 14:06 | Report Abuse
sifu Punter....what are heavy in your portfolios now? other than econ..what can we buy after the recent project announcements
2019-04-20 13:11 | Report Abuse
agree PH will never reinstate GST....
but that is a big bonus if it happens - perhaps it will happen by next election
the current Fundamentals of Myeg are said much better compared to the time when GST was there
i doubt much retailers are in here to say 'everybody is buying'..its more like those in the know are...
2019-04-19 22:11 | Report Abuse
most importantly...to execute all these projects...you need an enormous steady stream of foreign workers for years
2019-04-19 21:47 | Report Abuse
since whatever projects cancelled earlier had been revived...
it is only prudent to reinstate GST to support these enormous spending
think about it
2019-04-19 13:00 | Report Abuse
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2018/05/12/stocks-on-the-radar/
MMC Corp Bhd, Malakoff Bhd & DRB-Hicom Bhd
These three stocks have a common controlling shareholder in the form of Tan Sri Syed Mokhtar Albukhary, who is seen as an associate of Dr Mahathir,
MMC Corp has ownership stakes and operations in the shipping, energy and construction industries.
2019-04-19 12:53 | Report Abuse
70% of ECRL revenue will come from cargo load: Daim
19 APR 2019
KUALA LUMPUR: Cargo load will be the more profitable sector for the East Coast Rail Link (ECRL) compared with passenger ridership as the rail link will provide a land bridge that will boost freight transactions and cut travel time significantly between Port Klang and Kuantan Port.
Council of Eminent Persons (CEP) chairman Tun Daim Zainuddin (pix) said that cargo load would contribute an estimated 70% to revenue versus 30% for passenger traffic due to its shorter travel time and greater reliability as a mode of transport.
“The ECRL provides a land bridge between Port Klang and Kuantan Port, shortening travel time between the two ports by some 30 hours.
“As a result, ECRL provides for a faster alternative transfer of goods between the two ports compared with the much longer sea route,“ he told Bernama in an interview Thursday.
He was responding to questions on the supplementary agreement signed last week between project owner Malaysia Rail Link Sdn Bhd and its joint venture partner China Communications Construction Company Ltd (CCCC) to manage, operate and maintain the ECRL rail network which would be built at a considerably lower cost.
Daim, the special envoy to Prime Minister Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad, who managed to finalise the ECRL deal after nine months of negotiations, said the rail link would also connect Kuantan and Port Klang with the various industrial hubs, seaports, tourism nodes, and East coast state capitals.
In the process, it would stimulate new growth along the ECRL corridor, as a result of which would require reliable transport for the transfer of goods and passengers.
“We are expecting the cargo load to be the main contributor to the ECRL, but as development along the rail line and in the east coast increases, passenger load will also automatically increase,“ he said.
As far as passenger traffic is concerned, “we are talking about people visiting their relatives and about tourists being provided with an alternative mode of transport to the east coast”.
“In that sense, we have to ensure that ticket prices are kept affordable,“ he said.
To boost passenger traffic, he said the Pakatan Harapan government decided to re-route the ECRL so that it passes through Putrajaya Sentral, which is a far-sighted move as it will connect the east coast to the federal government administrative centre and “this is important for businesses.”
“This will also help increase passenger load for the ECRL,“ Daim, said, adding the ECRL would now pass through five states – Selangor-Federal Territory-Putrajaya, Negeri Sembilan, Pahang, Terengganu and Kelantan, under the renegotiated agreement as opposed to the original deal which covered only four states.
That means more people would stand to benefit from the spillover benefits of the ECRL project, he said. — Bernama
2019-04-19 12:51 | Report Abuse
“We are expecting the cargo load to be the main contributor to the ECRL, but as development along the rail line and in the east coast increases, passenger load will also automatically increase,“ he said.
keyword: "MAIN CONTRIBUTOR"
2019-04-19 10:47 | Report Abuse
70% of ECRL revenue will come from cargo load: Daim
19 APR 2019
KUALA LUMPUR: Cargo load will be the more profitable sector for the East Coast Rail Link (ECRL) compared with passenger ridership as the rail link will provide a land bridge that will boost freight transactions and cut travel time significantly between Port Klang and Kuantan Port.
Council of Eminent Persons (CEP) chairman Tun Daim Zainuddin (pix) said that cargo load would contribute an estimated 70% to revenue versus 30% for passenger traffic due to its shorter travel time and greater reliability as a mode of transport.
“The ECRL provides a land bridge between Port Klang and Kuantan Port, shortening travel time between the two ports by some 30 hours.
“As a result, ECRL provides for a faster alternative transfer of goods between the two ports compared with the much longer sea route,“ he told Bernama in an interview Thursday.
He was responding to questions on the supplementary agreement signed last week between project owner Malaysia Rail Link Sdn Bhd and its joint venture partner China Communications Construction Company Ltd (CCCC) to manage, operate and maintain the ECRL rail network which would be built at a considerably lower cost.
Daim, the special envoy to Prime Minister Tun Dr Mahathir Mohamad, who managed to finalise the ECRL deal after nine months of negotiations, said the rail link would also connect Kuantan and Port Klang with the various industrial hubs, seaports, tourism nodes, and East coast state capitals.
In the process, it would stimulate new growth along the ECRL corridor, as a result of which would require reliable transport for the transfer of goods and passengers.
“We are expecting the cargo load to be the main contributor to the ECRL, but as development along the rail line and in the east coast increases, passenger load will also automatically increase,“ he said.
As far as passenger traffic is concerned, “we are talking about people visiting their relatives and about tourists being provided with an alternative mode of transport to the east coast”.
“In that sense, we have to ensure that ticket prices are kept affordable,“ he said.
To boost passenger traffic, he said the Pakatan Harapan government decided to re-route the ECRL so that it passes through Putrajaya Sentral, which is a far-sighted move as it will connect the east coast to the federal government administrative centre and “this is important for businesses.”
“This will also help increase passenger load for the ECRL,“ Daim, said, adding the ECRL would now pass through five states – Selangor-Federal Territory-Putrajaya, Negeri Sembilan, Pahang, Terengganu and Kelantan, under the renegotiated agreement as opposed to the original deal which covered only four states.
That means more people would stand to benefit from the spillover benefits of the ECRL project, he said. — Bernama
2019-04-18 23:52 | Report Abuse
Philip, thanks for the generous sharing
2019-04-18 21:44 | Report Abuse
The Case For $100 Oil
By Nick Cunningham - Apr 15, 2019
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/The-Case-For-100-Oil.html
The oil market has been tightening rapidly this year, due to OPEC+ cuts taking supply off of the market, outages in Iran and Venezuela, and a slowdown in U.S. shale. But forthcoming regulations from the International Maritime Organization (IMO) could provide an additional jolt, particularly as global inventories decline against the backdrop of a tightening market.
Bank of America said that the Brent options market only implies a 2 percent chance that Brent spikes to $100 per barrel. The bank says everyone might be underestimating these odds.
The “massive surge in distillate demand” later this year could “potentially push oil prices above $100 per barrel,” the bank concluded.
2019-04-18 20:22 | Report Abuse
Japanese refiners halt Iran oil imports as waiver expiry looms
http://www.arabnews.com/node/1474401/business-economy
TOKYO: Japanese refineries have put a halt on imports of Iranian oil after buying 15.3 million barrels between January and March ahead of the expiry of a temporary waiver on US sanctions, according to industry sources and data on Refinitiv Eikon.
The waiver, which allowed Japan to buy some Iranian oil for another 180 days, expires in early May. However, Japanese refiners want to ensure enough time for all cargoes already loaded to arrive in Japan and for payments to be completed.
“We think it would be difficult to keep on lifting Iranian oil after March,” a Fuji Oil spokesman said, noting that banks and insurance companies want to make sure all the transactions and deliveries are done well before the waivers expire.
...............................
“If the US government does not extend the waiver, it could push crude oil prices up significantly as the gasoline season approaches and it could hurt Trump’s reputation,” he said.
2019-04-18 19:32 | Report Abuse
it hit 1.24 when Brent was below 71 USD/brl on 9th April......and USD to RM was 4.09
now exchange rate is 4.16
2019-04-15 14:22 | Report Abuse
sslee, this is one of the most beneficial article of yours to me. It made me learn a lot on IPP together with DK66 sharings.
You are very valuable contributor in i3
keep up the good work
thank you
2019-04-14 23:42 | Report Abuse
Punter, pls remove OTB and KC lor...as they have to be client oriented...their reputation is of importance...
but we monitor these stocks Ancom and Comfort...just name O and K there would do
Stock: [MMCCORP]: MMC CORPORATION BHD
2019-04-21 22:24 | Report Abuse
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/mmc-earnings-likely-improve-fy19
Maintain buy with a lower target price (TP) of RM1.37:
MMC Corp Bhd’s (MMC) current share price of 83.5 sen is cheaper than the value of its ownership in Malakoff and Gas Malaysia combined at 85 sen per share.
Effectively, the market is ascribing zero value for all of MMC’s other assets, with the most obvious mispricing being its port operations, which have generated steady earnings historically.
Going forward, we expect any negative news from the engineering segment to have little impact on MMC’s share price as its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation contribution made up only 6% of MMC’s cumulative nine months of financial year 2018 earnings, with 87% from the ports and logistics segment.