Followers
1
Following
0
Blog Posts
0
Threads
986
Blogs
Threads
Portfolio
Follower
Following
2021-12-06 10:53 | Report Abuse
@bullrun1985, still ask ? Look at price chart. When they announced their final quarter results last year, what was the price ? (answer : around 1.70). What was the price when they announced the 2q results last year ? I use 2q results because it was normally the weakest quarterly results. (answer : around 1.20). And 1.20 was the price before covid selldown in March 2020. So the best case scenario should be RM1.20 level....
I have analysed both from fundamental, technical and market expectation angle.
2021-12-02 14:04 | Report Abuse
Will there be any forced labour issue in furniture industry ?
2021-12-01 15:21 | Report Abuse
@MrWinMoney Refer to my comment dated 13/9.
2021-12-01 10:09 | Report Abuse
@bullrun. Just do a simple calculation. Assuming it can break-even in its final quarter 2021 results, its EPS for full year will be 13.49 sen (This is very good). Assume industry PE valuation is 7x, its target price is only 95sen ! Let's say u wanna value it at 10x PE, then it is RM1.35 (which is what the market is expecting at current level)......and u know this figure is very optimistic !
2021-12-01 09:56 | Report Abuse
are u kidding ? I am now in SCOMNET.....I only focus few stocks at a time...
2021-11-30 17:20 | Report Abuse
Please take note seriously.....As per LiiHen announcement, we could imagine the same challenges in Poh Huat operation, i.e. increasing raw material, labour shortage, transport issue and worst still, the supply chain disruption. So, it is lack of near-term catalysts.
Don't expect to report any profit in 4q. (A small loss is a bonus). Challenging road ahead. Don't play play. As Chinese saying : there are plenty of flowers out there, why only focus on one"
2021-11-30 14:37 | Report Abuse
Think about it. Its Vietnam factory had been locked down since mid July to end of October 2021 (as per Vietnam government lock down announcement). So you could expect a bloody red in Vietnam operations. Malaysia lock down since early Jun to mid of September. Again, you could expect a bread-even in Malaysia operation given there is 1.5 months of operation. So, in total, there is almost no way to be in profitable in their final quarter ending October.
As per LiiHen announcement, we could imagine the same challenges in Poh Huat operation, i.e. increasing raw material, labour shortage, transport issue and worst still, the supply chain disruption. So, it is lack of near-term catalysts.
2021-11-25 22:56 | Report Abuse
Guys n gals.....I believe most of you would have continued to hold on till now. We are now feel more confidence upon the results announcement. At least, we don't feel "uncertain" throughout the weekend break.
Well, given its 9-month profit of RM17mil, full year of RM25mil is still very conservative. The company can even perform better during MCO (or 60% capacity period), thanks to its high margin products. I am not here to repeat the facts, but let's look forward.....Achieving RM25mil is not a big growth (as compare to those tech stock) if u compare to FY2020 PAT of RM23mil. BUT if you looking into FY2022 and FY2023, its growth potential is almost double given the full capacity operation (no more MCO lah), schedule factory expansion, confirmed order on hand with high level of entry level. Based on RM50mil PAT in FY2022, its forward PE will be around 30x. (based on current price of RM1.96). Immediate TP should be in RM2.64 based on FPE of 40x.
Again, for short term players, exit at its resistance level of RM2.40 level is good enough. However, long term players should continue hold on till its potential to be fully reflected in the next 5 years, if not at least waiting it to be transferred to Main Board by end of next year, and looking forward RM70mil PAT in FY2023 or TP of RM3.68 (based on FY2023 FPE of 40x). My comments on 20/10 remains valid should you be able to wait beyond FY2023.
Transferring into Main Board may not have its fundamental value, but it will attract more institutions to re-look this counters. It is "lucky" for us to pick it up now before it was in radar of institutions.
Good Luck !
2021-11-25 17:27 | Report Abuse
to announce an very encouraging results soon (even in MCO period)...stay tune.....
2021-11-25 10:17 | Report Abuse
break-out resistant level.....fly toward RM2.40 first
2021-11-10 14:23 | Report Abuse
Haha. You should invest into TAFI
2021-10-22 16:14 | Report Abuse
shit loh.....better sale today b4 "normalised"
2021-10-20 14:20 | Report Abuse
Refer to my earlier comments dated 13/9, UOB has given a TP of RM2.15 based on 32x PE. However, I expect a higher TP if you can hold a bit longer, to achieve a TP of RM4.40 (based on industry PE of 40x)
2021-10-01 10:08 | Report Abuse
Every current price level is the support level, as it is already "floating on the ground". the only direction is up.
2021-09-27 12:36 | Report Abuse
Pls refer to my comment dated 13/9, and do your own research. It is still "on the ground", just floating a bit only
2021-09-23 10:45 | Report Abuse
Cherry still green, and isn't ripe yet. Please buy back and keep before it is sold out
2021-09-23 08:41 | Report Abuse
Haha....Cherry is very conservative....Anyway, this cherry remains fresh and will still hold on
2021-09-22 14:57 | Report Abuse
guys n gals.....start to look excited....next immediate TP should be RM2.00
2021-09-18 19:54 | Report Abuse
bullrun1985, who do you call in Poh Huat ? When are they going to release the results ?
2021-09-14 13:20 | Report Abuse
Another Warren Buffee was born... LOL
2021-09-13 15:57 | Report Abuse
wah...u really can tahan !
2021-09-13 10:07 | Report Abuse
@wallstreetrookie.....agreed. We should focus on its future growth
2021-09-13 09:46 | Report Abuse
Correction : The company is scheduled to transfer to Main Board in 2nd half of next year !
2021-09-13 09:40 | Report Abuse
If we refer to UOB research dated 6/9, its TP is RM2.15. This is based on 32x PE of next year PE. However, if you can hold a little longer, say 2 more years, and based on Healthcare Index's 5-year mean of 44x, you could expect RM4.40 (Based on FY2023 EPS of 10sen with PE of 44x). Although this company is a small little company, if you look at its Top30 shareholdings, other than the directors' holdings, other top 30 shareholders are all institutional funds (mainly Public, Affin, Kenanga). Top30 accounted 74% of the total issued shares.
UOB is rather conservative as it did not take in the additional 100% capacity expansion on its 5-floor buiding which to be completed in 3 years. Again, if you can even longer, I can expect its TP to hit RM8.80 ! Why, because this company product is almost "monopoly" and only can produce by them (with FDA approval). And the single-use endoscope will be the "future trend" due to the COVID risk. Hospital will be replace this single-use from re-useable endoscope.
The company profile will be highlighted again once it transfer to Main Board in the 2nd half of the year later....So, BUY while still cheap
2021-09-11 15:47 | Report Abuse
Conglats to those who still hold it
2021-09-04 12:26 | Report Abuse
bullrun1985.....could be.....(imagine yourself)....
2021-09-02 10:14 | Report Abuse
I have transited from BPPLAS to here. I can see a strong organic growth in this Group. I have attended its virtual AGM. Main points :
1) It is confirmed by the Board that the Group will be transferred to Main Board next year. They will recruit a qualified CFO upon transfer to Main Board. (Pls share this info to anyone who interested the post)
2) Its AGM, Mr Lim Eng Chuan keeps emphasize that there will have an organic growth in next coming few years, where they will focus on medical products in future.
I am not going to repeat what has been written in the annual report. Please refer yourself to page 17 and 18 of its annual report. Let me summarise the growth factor below, after getting final update from Mr Lim in the AGM
1) The new 5-storey, costing around RM10mil, should complete by next year, and start operating in Jan 2023. This new building will contribute 70~80% additional capacity. Medical products generate higher profit margin of 40% as compare to its traditional E&E product of 10%. This factor is an encouraging growth factor. I estimate to be more than 200% growth in FY2023. (as compare FY2020)
2) They have completed another smaller building which is expected to contribute 20% to 25% capacity under normal condition (no MCO, lock-down, etc). This itself will contribute additional 30~50% growth in FY2022, given it has higher profit margin in medical product.
3) Other than its 2 main medical products customers, Edwards and Ambu, they have secured a third customer, Mermaid Medical. They have got the FDA approval to produce (OEM) D Clot HD and OWT Type. The mass production is in fact "delay" due to the COVID pandemic. The main 5-storey building is mainly cater for this operation. Mass production should start next year. (This is the main growth factor)
4) According to Mr Lim, once they got the FDA approval to manufacture the medical product. The customers can't simply change suppliers. (I am not sure why.....but he keep emphasize this is the industry practice) . This is definitely another plus point. They have signed the ever-green agreement (not allow to change suppliers ??). Meaning, it is a monopoly business.
5) As for its Fuel Tank, Mr Lim can't give us further update as their customer (Proton / Perduoa) still under lock down, and is expected to resume operation next week only.
6) As for dividend, you know lah....they wion't commit, and just talk (like no talk)
Well, this is the summary from the AGM above. (other than some shareholders asking for cash voucher). Valuation wise, it looks expensive now. But if you factor in the next year growth....it is reasonable. I will discuss more on its valuation part in later part.
Hope this will help in your investing. Be safe !
2021-09-01 16:38 | Report Abuse
Just to update u guys that Liihen has started to resume operation effective today. However, Poh Huat factory remains closed. We should expect a recovery in the coming quarter
2021-08-31 11:31 | Report Abuse
Hope you all enjoy the gain. As I have reached my destination, and would like to transit to other board. will see u guys in other board soon.
2021-08-23 17:02 | Report Abuse
Do u think TP of RM2.40 make sense to you ?
2021-08-23 12:57 | Report Abuse
Both Kenanga and Malacca had raised its TP to RM3.15 and RM3.06 respectively, mainly from its capacity expansion (as mentioned above) as well as its improvement in margin even with its 60% workforce.
Personally, I did not revise my own TP as yet....maintaining at RM2.40 !
2021-08-22 16:57 | Report Abuse
I have the same concern on its ESG issue too. However, management has indicated its initiative to invest into environment friendly machinery. I have extracted the relevant section from its annual report as below :
The Group has allocated approximately RM35.6 million of CAPEX investments in FY2021 as part of the Group’s ongoing strategic expansion plans to enhance shareholder value. This include a new 9th Cast Stretch Film machine, where installation and commissioning are expected to be completed by the end of 2021. This new technology stretch film machine will not only increase production capacity, but also broaden product offerings to cater for market demands for more sophisticated packaging requirements and sustainability-based packaging.
Management follows the 3Rs concepts of “Recycle, Reuse and Reduce”. We have sufficient waste
management know-how, technical expertise and capabilities to design the manufacturing process flow to incorporate the salvage and reclaim (“Recycle”) of our internally generated plastics waste, rejects and scraps. The recycling capacity utilisations are 71% and 83% in FY2020 and FY2019 respectively. The Recycling process is an enabler which also allows the outer packaging from our suppliers to be reused (“Reuse”) as raw materials for suitable industrial packaging film application.
Reuse further helps us to ensure that we can reduce (“Reduce”) our consumption of virgin raw materials at the same time keeping our waste footprint low, in support of the concept of circular economy and more efficient use of our valuable resources. As the Group remains focused on quality and product innovations, our Plant operations team were able to reduce the total plastics waste, rejects and scraps metric tonnes by 9.8% in FY2020.
2021-08-20 20:23 | Report Abuse
After reviewing its 2Q results and refer my earlier comments dated 13/7, my TP of RM2.40 remains intact. My earlier EPS estimate is rather on a low side. Let's remains at 20sen for FY2021 and 22sen for FY2022. At PE of 12x, TP should be in range of RM2.40 to RM2.64. Growth potential still at 26%. Dividends wise, management has declared 6sen in 1H2021. Again, we assume total only 10sen for FY2021 (3+3+2+2). This is on a very conservative side. Its yield still remain attractive at 5.2%. If we assume its total dividend of 12sen, the yield will be 6.3%.
All and all, it is a small and sexy growth company to consider before it is on major broking radar. Its company is still in capacity expansion plan where it will be fully materialized in next year.
2021-08-03 16:30 | Report Abuse
Liihen will start to vaccinate its staff via PIKAS on 5/8. Hope the factory can open back after vaccine
2021-08-03 16:05 | Report Abuse
I was told Poh Huat will start to vaccinate its staff via PIKAS on 6/8. Hope the factory can open back after vaccine
2021-08-03 16:01 | Report Abuse
BPPLAS is allowed to operate at 60% capacity during this MCO period. Given lower raw material prices, you will expected another result record making this coming quarter result announcement
2021-07-27 08:53 | Report Abuse
The more comments you guys given, the more KYY will write. Just remain quiet and let him write. There will be no sound when clap with 1 hand.
@OTB, silence is the perfect weapon here. haha.
2021-07-16 11:22 | Report Abuse
The worst could be priced in, we may be seeing the light in the tunnel soon. However, you may want to wait to really see the light before buying.....https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/ptres/60173.jsp
2021-07-13 11:11 | Report Abuse
@Sardin, Management has indicated to increase its ASP to off-set the material cost increases. With its recent drop (or stabilize) in its material prices, ASP remains at high. Management indicates that a "SUDDEN" increase or decrease in material cost is actually favorable to its margin. Any SUDDEN increase in cost allow them to increase ASP easily but not otherwise. However, a GRADUAL increase or decrease in cost may not favor its margin as it is difficult to pass the cost over to customers.
2021-07-13 10:32 | Report Abuse
Referring to my earlier comment dated 27/5, the EPS for FY2021 should be around 20sen (Kenanga estimate at 19.2 sen). Even with current MCO (I actually dont know how to name the current lock-down status), BPPLAS still allow to operate at 60% capacity. Therefore, negative profit impact is minimal whereby it is contra off with better margin in 2Q and 3Q in FY2021. Its past 10-years PE was ranging from 7-16x. So, Let's take average of 12x (which is closed to Kenanga's PE of 13x), my own TP would be RM2.40 with current yield of 5.4% (assume price of RM1.85 with dividend per share of 10sen). Still not really expensive at current level, if you guys are patient enough to wait for the pandemic crisis to be over. Hope this comment help you guys to make some informed decision.
2021-07-12 11:15 | Report Abuse
Target to hit RM2.50 by Kenanga !
2021-07-05 20:16 | Report Abuse
ASPs to decline in 2HCY21.As resin prices continue to decline, we expect ASPs to gradually follow suit from current levels. It’s important to note that not all selling prices will decline by the same quantum. Generally, more commoditized products will experience faster declines compared to the non-commoditized products. As noncommoditized products tend to be customised for client-specific needs, selling prices tend to be stickier and would not fall as much, allowing plastic packagers to protect their margins. As we expect ASPs to gradually fall in 3QCY21 as they catch up with lower resin prices, we foresee a period of continued margin expansion followed by margin normalisation after ASPs fall in tandem.
Stock: [POHUAT]: POH HUAT RESOURCES HOLDINGS
2021-12-06 11:35 | Report Abuse
I did not recommend you to buy or sell....i am only telling you what I did....