Fabien _the efficient capital allocator

fabienwks | Joined since 2010-12-10

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Stock

2018-08-24 09:58 | Report Abuse

Revenue keeps growing in USD terms.
GP margin remains healthy at above 15%.
Operating cashflows remain healthy.
Healthy FCF.
Prospects remain good. US economy remains robust.
US dollar remain strong.

Price please come down.

Stock

2018-08-15 20:31 | Report Abuse

Thong Guan Industries Bhd
image: https://cdn.thestar.com.my/Themes/img/chart.png

managing director Datuk Ang Poon Chuan also said the group was now exploring opportunities with a few Chinese plastic packaging materials manufacturers to set up joint-venture operations in the northern region.

“We are looking to invest about RM10mil for the joint-venture business, which is expected to generate an annual revenue of about RM40mil.

“The Chinese manufacturers are investing here because of the on-going trade war between China and the US.

“Chinese are also prompted to come over due to the stringent regulations of the Chinese government to regulate new and existing industrial product manufacturers,” he added.


Read more at https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2018/08/13/chip-and-plastic-makers-gain-from-trade-war/#OhOmqARejCRCuuLX.99

Stock

2018-08-15 20:24 | Report Abuse

maybe OTB is right. some hidden hand is pressing down the share price.

better sell ur stake if u lack the patience. haha

Stock

2018-08-14 19:30 | Report Abuse

we should be looking at 1.50 at a minimum la

Stock

2018-08-14 16:07 | Report Abuse

in terms of prospect, i prefer aeoncredit

in terms of valuation, rcecap is cheaper

tough decisions...

Stock

2018-08-14 14:45 | Report Abuse

stay away from looking at share price on daily basis.

come back to lctitan every quarter to check on their performance

Stock

2018-08-14 14:18 | Report Abuse

so many value investors here.

let's see who last longer to eventually enjoy "the day value in Insas emerges". lol

Stock

2018-08-14 14:12 | Report Abuse

its better for them to do split to improve trading liquidity

News & Blogs

2018-08-14 14:10 | Report Abuse

i have both flbhd and favco. both stocks are cheap enough with limited downside risk.

News & Blogs

2018-08-14 14:08 | Report Abuse

i dont see anything wrong with your strategy of selecting stocks based on low EV/EBIDTA

perhaps you should give yourself more time, say 3-4 years instead of 1 year span for you to conclude the investment outcome. 1 year is too short.

Stock

2018-08-10 20:47 | Report Abuse

Look at vegetablebird earlier posting.


Stock: [POHUAT]: POH HUAT RESOURCES HOLDINGS BHD

Aug 5, 2018 08:26 PM | Report Abuse

sell la, walao eh, next quater report should be a red colour instead of a green colour.

Stock

2018-08-10 20:45 | Report Abuse

you sure he is trying to help you?

or perhaps he's trying to get it cheap by selling you some story.

the moment he said he checked the quarter report and yet telling you there is no robust growth with lesser capex. that is one big red sign.

you will know it if you indeed checked the quarter report as he asked you to.


Cf81 But Vegetablebird is a nice person, trying to help you not lose money. That's his/her life goal. That's why Vegetablebird spends time here and posting and warnings. In this modern times, those traits are extinct. You gotta appreciate Vegetablebird.
10/08/2018 20:03

Stock

2018-08-10 20:36 | Report Abuse

@theContrarian

i'm no longer invested in Eksons. sold it at 80.5sen. free up cash to buy other stocks.

all the best to u, bro.

Stock

2018-08-10 20:34 | Report Abuse

i think i want to set up a portfolio. 30% of capital on good quality companies. passive investing style. really LT holdings say min 10 years.

i would include Panamy in.

Stock

2018-08-10 20:29 | Report Abuse

why are you so concerned about the share price?


Posted by RainT > Aug 10, 2018 05:03 PM | Report Abuse

Still.many naive buying Liihen

Waste time only

Getting dividend then ? But share price stuck cannot move

Stock

2018-08-10 20:28 | Report Abuse

i wonder would ppl invest in companies if there is no share price quoted, say for the next 5 years.

Stock

2018-08-10 15:54 | Report Abuse

my cost after adjusted for dividends is 2.855

Stock

2018-08-10 09:17 | Report Abuse

yes, subjective. to me, paying 17x PE for Panamy is fair.


Posted by RainT > Aug 9, 2018 11:00 PM | Report Abuse

fair price ?

how much is the fair price? very subjective though

Stock

2018-08-09 22:17 | Report Abuse

Insas only ikut Inari when Inari goes down.

When Inari goes up, Insas tak ikut. Lol

Stock

2018-08-09 16:23 | Report Abuse

stocks like Panamy hard to get it cheap.

can only buy them at fair price.


Posted by paperplane > Aug 9, 2018 02:43 PM | Report Abuse

I only buy recently, haha.
39.2

Stock

2018-08-09 13:51 | Report Abuse

Panamy looks very strong.

What's ur entry cost @paperplane?

Stock

2018-08-03 20:31 | Report Abuse

Eksons slow and steady

Stock

2018-08-03 09:56 | Report Abuse

Putrajaya is reviewing the operation model for tolls and expects the study to be
done by year end, according to the Works Minister Baru Bian. He said the review
will cover the operation model of future tolls including toll prices. As it is a big
concern to many people, we will try to expedite it. The toll issue is very clear, I
think we have made our stand that we are going to review, look at the whole
aspect of it, (including) the impact of it, to all the stakeholders," Baru told
reporters at the Parliament lobby today.

Noting that the abolishment of tolls is a "very sensitive" matter, Baru said the
ministry will make a final decision after it is clear on the implications.

"We also come to understand that the implication [of the toll abolishment] is
huge. If we abolish it all at one go, as the previous government said, it could
even cost us about RM400bn," he said. (The Edge Markets)

Stock

2018-08-02 21:06 | Report Abuse

you can be a script writer.


Posted by JJchan > Aug 2, 2018 08:41 PM | Report Abuse

USA/China tariff war is getting Olh nervous. He has alot OskH shares pledged as collateral in his
personal loan from RHB. Pushing Oskh price higher would give him a higher Oskh floor that he can
used 10% OskH buyback option to support price.

Stock

2018-08-02 17:32 | Report Abuse

in times like this, better to keep some cash. you just never know, with Trump tantrum big sale might come soon.

Stock

2018-08-02 15:53 | Report Abuse

Anyone buying Trop today? :)

Stock

2018-08-02 15:46 | Report Abuse

Few days ago LCTitan up by 9 sen. yesterday drop 3 sen. today down another 8 sen. All these day to day movement does not tell you anything on the company's fundamentals.

KNOW what your are buying. Know the story behind your investment decision and assess whether the story is intact by following the market developments affecting the business the company operates in, NOT the share price.

Stock

2018-08-02 15:41 | Report Abuse

CIMB set the target price based on the company's prospects/fundamentals.

Today price declined probably driven by market sentiment.

Can you differentiate?



Posted by thesteward > Aug 2, 2018 03:10 PM | Report Abuse

Drop so much what happen that Cimb some more put target pricdvso hjgh crazy lo

Stock

2018-08-01 19:12 | Report Abuse

Based on CIMB's estimates

current plant capacity around 3368 ktpa
with PP3 commissioning in 3Q, that will add another 200 ktpa
estimated capacity for current FY is 3568

2019F
their LC USA (both ethane cracker and MEG plant) will add additional 640 ktpa

moving longer term to 2022
the integrated naphta complex in Indonesia will provide 1000 ktpa giving rise to 5,208 ktpa

the growth story of LCTitan is of longer term

Stock

2018-08-01 18:06 | Report Abuse

perhaps OTB should recommend ekovest to KYY to invest in? hahaha

News & Blogs

2018-08-01 17:28 | Report Abuse

lol this is the best joke of the year.

Stock

2018-08-01 10:35 | Report Abuse

their growth projects are of long term. probably will see the impact in 2019-2020 onwards

News & Blogs

2018-07-31 20:48 | Report Abuse

Icon, if you want to have exposure to IPP with a more trustworthy management with good track record. why dont u have a look at MFCB?

Stock

2018-07-31 15:51 | Report Abuse

probably many got stucked. lost their patience and offload whenever opportunities come.

if you have longer term view, it's good to hold. the business is cyclical no doubt, need to monitor the performance very closely. but having said that, i believe the company will do much better in 2019-2020.


Posted by Victor Yen > Jul 31, 2018 03:34 PM | Report Abuse

No buying interest....To support

Stock

2018-07-31 15:26 | Report Abuse

my previous assumption was wrong. the stronger USD has in fact translated into a positive net effect to the company's earnings.

based on latest quarter, EBIDTA margin eased back to 20%. still not comprehensively above 20% as in previous quarters.

utilisation rate is pretty much the same around 82-83%. Board indicated that the operating rate should be around 85% overall.

Stock

2018-07-31 15:06 | Report Abuse

what's happening to our Trop? @TheContrarian

News & Blogs

2018-07-31 14:02 | Report Abuse

Looking forward, the Board would like to revise the full year 2018 operating rate to about 85% due to profit optimization and general plant maintenance.


David, it is at your lower range ~85%

Stock

2018-07-31 14:00 | Report Abuse

PP3 project to commence operation in Q3

News & Blogs

2018-07-30 15:12 | Report Abuse

then bad news for us.

TheContrarian Notice that Dato' Thong has been aggressively selling off his own direct interest in Inari. Perhaps he is raising cash to do a "Tony Tiah" on Insas.
29/07/2018 21:43

Stock

2018-07-30 15:08 | Report Abuse

be patient. earnings expansion should come in 2019-2020 onwards.

Stock

2018-07-29 21:42 | Report Abuse

Leno valuation is correct. 3 ringgit

News & Blogs

2018-07-29 21:41 | Report Abuse

wasted time on this piece of rubbish

Stock

2018-07-27 11:16 | Report Abuse

why the high profit? can share some details.

Posted by Yael Jasper > Jul 27, 2018 11:00 AM | Report Abuse

Up Up Up, high profit incoming

Stock

2018-07-27 10:59 | Report Abuse

bought a bit today. cheers.

Stock

2018-07-26 21:48 | Report Abuse

Trop sold their piece of land at Jalan Kia Peng back in 2013 for RM2,121 psf. Pocketing handsome profit of RM132mil.

i wonder how much that prime land TA1 & TA2 would worth....

Stock

2018-07-26 21:32 | Report Abuse

how about your Daiman? as i recalled, they own a hotel in JB run by Doubletree Hilton.

Stock

2018-07-26 21:30 | Report Abuse

Not all hotels losing money.

TA hotels are not.

Even local ones like Landmark is not. They contribute healthy cashflows to complement the property development business.

Stock

2018-07-26 21:21 | Report Abuse

but really need to watch out the oil price. rising dollar is a double whammy.

Stock

2018-07-26 21:21 | Report Abuse

i think the return will only gets better in end 2019 to 2020 onwards when the extra capacity from their expansion in Indonesia and the shale gas project takes place

Stock

2018-07-26 21:20 | Report Abuse

last quarter EBIDTA margin drop below 20% for the first time