Followers
19
Following
0
Blog Posts
0
Threads
2,547
Blogs
Threads
Portfolio
Follower
Following
2017-06-27 12:43 | Report Abuse
My men, this is a beauty. Hold till RM0.90 is realized by years end!
2017-06-23 10:20 | Report Abuse
Short term always depressed with a rights issue unless it is a totally high flying company which is continually ever expending. Just common sense lah.
2017-06-22 16:57 | Report Abuse
I hate this man... :(
Now onwards and upwards, hopefully no issue with Kraken delivery. Days are running out. Just one week left.
2017-06-22 16:40 | Report Abuse
Damn missed opportunity for tmrw
2017-06-22 09:43 | Report Abuse
Guys, wasn't Bumi Armada already not recognizing profit from their Armada Perdana? In all the research reports you read, like from CIMB, it already says they are not taking into account and possible future profits from Perdana. This issue has been since 2015. Armada only collect Ops/Maintanence payments will allows them to breakeven, no more.
Anyway, these are glorious days to buy. Sadly today I do not have the means to enter. Just one day later...and I would have been good to go. I won't sell my other holdings though, Joshua.
2017-06-22 09:35 | Report Abuse
I mean what has changed guys? This is insane! So sad bullets will arrive tmrw, will need to wait for one day.
2017-06-22 09:29 | Report Abuse
How wow! Haha. Now I got to think about topping up Armada too...So many things on sale in recent days...
2017-06-21 14:56 | Report Abuse
Walao, this one kena gao gao. Haha now no choice, just wait lo. Armada's contracts mostly are firm charter FPSOs. Oil price day to day shouldn't in theory affect them much. Tempted to top up, but the bears have taken to the o&g stocks.
2017-06-20 17:42 | Report Abuse
Looks like a buy now, hope QR dont come out before friday otherwise i got no bullets lah!
2017-06-20 13:37 | Report Abuse
You guys don't know meh, MSCI index re-balancing occurs today midnight, expectations are for China A-Shares to get a 0.5% weightage, and some fear that Malaysia's weight will be further downgraded.
2017-06-20 13:02 | Report Abuse
I think RM1.12 is a solid entry price. Will we get there? I don't know for sure, but if we do, I will be waiting with a fistful of bullets to take advantage of the depressed valuations amidst the rights issue.
2017-06-20 12:59 | Report Abuse
We shall be buying at RM0.42. Rights issues always create short-term havoc (for good reason). But once we get past that, UMWOG should be on a road to recovery. No point rushing, it will fall lower still. Buy it at truly depressed valuations.
2017-06-20 11:38 | Report Abuse
We must waited more, drop it must and drop it will.
2017-06-20 10:54 | Report Abuse
Qtr shd be out this week or next week right? What's the big view on things?
2017-06-19 13:45 | Report Abuse
it needs to felling down a bit more lah!
2017-06-16 15:04 | Report Abuse
Damn this Kraken thing is making me sweat. EnQuest best not F it up! If EnQuest wants to go down, they should go down on their own, not drag Bumi along with them.
2017-06-15 18:34 | Report Abuse
Are these guys serious ah?
Cash in hand: RM1.26bil
TOTAL liabilities: RM81mil
Market cap: RM1.06bil
The cash in hand net of all liabilities is larger than the market cap? It's almost impossible to find such companies in the world and I am wondering what am I missing here.
2017-06-15 09:04 | Report Abuse
I mean the news is nothing great. It's just a JV for the bid, nothing beyond that is confirmed. We already know they were bidding for the Hess project in Ghana, but now only as a 45% JV.
I don't see how this should effect the share price in any way.
2017-06-15 08:48 | Report Abuse
Any comments on Poh Huat results? Bodes well for Hevea this coming quarter?
2017-06-14 09:10 | Report Abuse
Head and shoulders pattern lol, long may I stay ignorant about technical details and observations such as these. Fundamentals are the long term drivers of a stock price, nothing else.
2017-06-14 00:32 | Report Abuse
Good to have profit taking. Will consolidate around 14.50 till we have any fresh catalysts or if the latest Q earnings surprise on the upside.
2017-06-12 13:15 | Report Abuse
In that sense I disagree. It's not my job to predict a recession. Just buy and hold companies that WILL see a turnaround in a five year period. I do believe that Tchong fits the bill well.
Just my 2 cents. By the way if you ask me, I believe Malaysia's fundamentals will improve over the coming 3 years. 2017 Q1 GDP growth shows that we are in the beginning of such a process.
What other companies would you consider to be "safe" no-brainer investments for gains in a five year period? I believe Prlexus is one of them, Hevea is another. But I'm spreading my risk exposure in buying both "beaten down/fallen giants" and buying companies with "growth at reasonable price" such as Heveaboard. Both of course following the margin of safety concept, where you primary aim is to NOT lose money, rather than make money.
2017-06-11 21:46 | Report Abuse
@TheContrarian, how is it the most undervalued? Do you even compare the banks' long-form ROE, and look at it together with the P/BV multiples? Affin seems very fairly valued for now, maybe even a tad overvalued.
You can't just be contrarian for the sake of being different...your claims of the stock being undervalued has to be backed by some financial metric. When I look at ROE and P/BV, I don't sense the stock being particularly undervalued.
2017-06-11 11:02 | Report Abuse
johnmaster, who is to be blamed? Retailers are the idiots here. Sell low, buy high. How stupid. Sometimes even funds behave in the same manner, but mostly it is retailers. Just think about the long term, dont care about short term noise. Then no one can trick you.
Retailers are on the whole dumb. I have no pity for those who are greedy, fearful and indisciplined.
2017-06-11 10:59 | Report Abuse
2) Refers to Indochina growth. But i3 keeps deleting the comment. Why can't I post it? I don't even use any vurgar words or talk about politics. Can't share as it keeps getting removed, sorry.
2017-06-11 10:56 | Report Abuse
3) Stabilizing/strengthening Ringgit. In Q1 17, the Ringgit averaged RM4.43/USD, but in Q2 this has dropped to about RM4.35. This arguably means that the worst is over for the Ringgit as far as the FX with USD and JPY is concerned, and going forward there may even be a slight upwards/bullish bias for the Ringgit. Not to mention, Tan Chong would have been renegotiating cost of parts/models with Nissan Corp., which should also boost the bottomline.
4) Possibly taking over Mitsubishi distribution in Malaysia. Nissan bought a ~35% stake in Mitsubishi Motors in Japan last October. Now the entire group comprises of Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi. Tan Chong already distributes the former two in Malaysia, so its entirely possible they will take a stake in distributing Mitsubishi cars here to streamline operations and reduce costs for the R-N-M group.
5) Low base effect. Q1 2017 saw a very small volume of Nissan cars sold in Malaysia. Their marketshare was among the lowest seen in the past 5 years. Things have recovered in the following months. Inventories have been falling these past few quarters. When we get to next year, there will be a favorable bias when doing YoY comparisons due to the low base effect.
2017-06-11 10:54 | Report Abuse
I got in at 1.82 on Thursday. Buying for long-term. At 0.42X B/V, this is considered cheap. If and when Tan Chong returns to profitability, it will eventually approach 1.0X B/V, and if the ROE can be sustained above 10% then it can possibly hit 1.2-1.4X B/V, which should mean at least a doubling or tripling of capital invested. The catch is...this may take 3-5 years to materialize. It's not a short game...it's a very long game indeed but with a good payoff potential.
Based on my risk analysis, I believe the downsides have been adequately priced in. I will top up more if the stock drops to 1.75, 1.68 etc (every 7 cents down) as long as the story hasn't changed. The few upside catalysts that will lead to a re-rating of the stock in the coming months and/or years are as follows:
1) New models launch. Tan Chong Motors has not brought in a single new model in 2017, and in 2016 they just brought in one or two minor facelifts. That means two new of almost zero updates, unlike its competitors such as Honda, Toyota and Mazda which have been actively launching brand new models here. In 2016, Tan Chong maintained that new models will be deferred to 2018. One highly rumored model is the Nissan Kicks, which should see good demand. The other is the Serena Hybrid facelift, also said to be highly sought after.
2017-06-10 18:54 | Report Abuse
If you are a serious Bumi investor, you should read this FULL report. Very well written/researched!
http://investing.com.my/clients/inveszcom/Downloads/Bumi_Armada-On_track_for_a_brighter_futures_(CIMB)_08062017682017112129AM1.pdf
2017-06-10 14:28 | Report Abuse
Next week should be good, I guess.
2017-06-09 11:37 | Report Abuse
I will sell at 1720, but I don't think so fast yet. It will consolidate at under 1500 until there are re-rating catalysts in the second half of the year.
2017-06-08 22:17 | Report Abuse
Waiting at RM0.75. May buy at RM0.80 though just in case some contracts are handed out soon.
2017-06-07 22:37 | Report Abuse
Calm down, this will be at RM1.20, maybe even RM1.10 in no time. After ex-date, then you can buy in. No hurry.
2017-06-07 21:17 | Report Abuse
If you listen to Ben Graham and stay away from "hot issues" you will never have had this problem.
2017-06-06 22:58 | Report Abuse
Can anyone here go to China websites and see why Parkson Retail Group is going so high? I am not able to type in Chinese. Doing an English language search yields nothing.
There must definitely be a reason.
2017-06-06 22:14 | Report Abuse
Possibly better QoQ, not as good YoY. Stock price should stabilize at RM0.42 thereafter.
2017-06-06 21:04 | Report Abuse
PRGL market cap is HKD3.64 bil. PHB owns 53.5% of PRGL. 1 HKD = 0.55 MYR.
Therefore PHB's stake in PRGL is worth RM1.07 bil.
Current PHB market cap = RM645 mil.
This doesn't even count its stake in PRAL which is worth around RM200mil.
Now the question is, is PRGL rising based on unfounded speculation...or do the guys there know something we don't? If PRGL's ascent is lasting, then sooner rather than later PHB's valuation will also catch up, no doubt.
2017-06-06 20:52 | Report Abuse
WTF man. What's going on in PRGL? Dude this is insane!!! Parkson Bhd's stake in PRGL is worth more than its entire market cap!
2017-06-06 17:30 | Report Abuse
Damn didn't hold. Still lots of room.
2017-06-05 23:14 | Report Abuse
CCB....well, safe to say this one is being sold by institutions. Hard to regain glory days.
2017-06-05 22:14 | Report Abuse
Sanatan, just wait lah. Buy at 0.82, then buy again at 0.75, and again at 0.70/0.65 if it ever goes that low. This company is effectively owned by MISC and by extension Petronas. It will get projects, no question. MISC FPSO's will need to be built/converted here.
Buy for the long term. Just wait for 0.82 (and pray no good news in these next 2-4 weeks).
2017-06-05 22:01 | Report Abuse
Time for the big fish to exit.
2017-06-05 10:23 | Report Abuse
PRGL up by another 7 cents so far, Parkson Bhd is down 0.005 sen. I mean, WTF? How can there be such a divergence? I feel like this is a classic case of a mispriced security...but I don't have the guts to go all in. I am going to "wait and see" and learn...but I may regret not throwing in everything at 0.575.
2017-06-04 21:15 | Report Abuse
@Mmzai...buy the rumor, sell the news. Of course if you are not LONG TERM, sell right before they announce the actual quantum.
2017-06-03 23:50 | Report Abuse
WTF does CPO price have to do with AA?
2017-06-03 15:52 | Report Abuse
If AAC truly happens, how much special deividend can we expect?
2017-06-03 13:23 | Report Abuse
Still waiting for weakness in the share price. Penang mainland property market outlook is also looking rather subdued. Lower my entry price to RM1.35-RM1.38 from RM1.42.
Stock: [ARMADA]: BUMI ARMADA BERHAD
2017-06-28 09:07 | Report Abuse
Let the market digest loh...