"Hopefully you won't have to find out the hard way that buying a good company for too high a price is still better than buying a poor company - even at what you may think is a bargain price."
"No matter how low it may be, a company that doesn't meet the quality requirements will always be too expensive - at any price!"
A new tiny 800cc Myvi cost 10,000. A new 2500cc Honda Accord costs Rm300,000. Which would you buy?
A house with untidy garden, some broken windows, tiles is selling 500k. A nice looking house in the neighborhood, everything in good conditions selling at 1m. Which house would you buy?
@Kcchongnz: Thanks for generating a discussion mate. I know it is an analogy to the content of the article but I cant resist to respond :). Based on the conditions you described in the comment, a property investor may choose to get the undervalued property instead because broken windows, tiles and garden can be rectified for less than the potential profit of RM500k but the location of the neighbourhood cant be changed.
Investment success doesn’t come from “buying good things,” but rather from “buying things well.”
If you buy something for its fair value, you can expect a return that is fair given the risk. So buying something at its intrinsic value is no great shakes. And paying more than something’s worth is clearly a mistake; it takes a lot of hard work or a lot of luck to turn something bought at a too-high price into successful investment.
Buying something for less than its value. The most dependable way to make money. Buying discount from IV and having asset price move towards its value doesn’t require serendipity; it just requires that market participants wake up to reality.
Howard Marks: The most important thing illuminated
Just some 2 cents...Warrent buffett said in a recent interview that when Bershire is relatively small...He used Benjamin Graham philosophy...When Bershire is so big...he needs to use Fisher philosophy...the difference between these 2 investment gurus...Benjamin believe buying something cheap...Fisher believes in value in the company....For a small retailer with capital less than Rm1 mil...i think Bejamin philosphy is suitable to us...
" Cheap" means that the current price to its intrinsic value..But, Fisher is looking at growth to overcome the current pricing..Warren Buffet bought American Express at 20X PE....But, Amex has proven the company is valuable because of its growth and world wide exposure...
kcchongnz in your opinion how would you determine a shares intrinsic value? i think every investors problem is dunno which is a good buy and when is a great price to sell
Posted by Elwin Kai Kai > Jan 25, 2014 07:48 PM | Report Abuse
kcchongnz in your opinion how would you determine a shares intrinsic value? i think every investors problem is dunno which is a good buy and when is a great price to sell
Intrinsic value of a company and its stock is the sum of all discounted future cash flows, or in finance we call it the present value. That is the very basis of valuation.
So whether you buy a good quality stock, or a poor quality stock, what is important is the present value. Is the present value higher than the price now? if so it is a good buy, if not, it isn't.
If you pay a high price for a quality company with estimated intrinsic value lower than the price you pay, is it a good buy?
How to estimate intrinsic value? Please refer to my latest comment on 25th January 2014 in the appended link below:
hi kcchongnz yes i do read all your posts from my bed when i have gum operation .. i will provide my opinions when i know what to say. you know lah i am old .. brain not use to be sharp like before .. anyway want to wish you
Happy Chinese New Year and Gong Xi Fa Chai Good wealth and health!
mr.kcchongnZ if want to learn how to calculate intrinsic value what kind of method or book would you recommend....new here would like to learn from pros like you....
Posted by Elwin Kai Kai > Jan 27, 2014 01:33 AM | Report Abuse
mr.kcchongnZ if want to learn how to calculate intrinsic value what kind of method or book would you recommend....new here would like to learn from pros like you....
There are plenty of e-resources in the net. Book wise try this one "the 5 rules for successful stock investing" by Pat Dorsey.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
kcchongnz
6,684 posts
Posted by kcchongnz > 2014-01-25 11:49 | Report Abuse
"Hopefully you won't have to find out the hard way that buying a good company for too high a price is still better than buying a poor company - even at what you may think is a bargain price."
"No matter how low it may be, a company that doesn't meet the quality requirements will always be too expensive - at any price!"
A new tiny 800cc Myvi cost 10,000. A new 2500cc Honda Accord costs Rm300,000. Which would you buy?
A house with untidy garden, some broken windows, tiles is selling 500k. A nice looking house in the neighborhood, everything in good conditions selling at 1m. Which house would you buy?