Profit should be consistent at 10-11M after the Australia company acquisition last year. Reasonable pe is 10-12 for current economic. Thanks for analysis.
Too much part of the profit of kimhin consists of investment income.
See below:
30/6/2015 3.3mil out of 10mil consist of fair value gain on investment 31/3/2015 2.45mil out of 11.1mil consist of fair value gain on investment 31/12/2014 2.8mil out of 5.8mil consist of fair value gain on investment 30/9/2014 3.1mil out of 1.28mil consist of fair value gain on investment
From the latest rolling 4 quarter, 11.65mil (EPS7.9sen) out of 28.18mil (EPS19.32 sen) consists of fair value gain on investment, which is 41% of the company profit. Hence the real earning for Kimhin business is EPS11.42sen.
Are kimhin doing business of investment? You buying kimhin because of investment income or their business.
Currently, the company trading at RM2.56 and the rolling 4 quarter for EPS11.42sen, which mean the company currently trading at PE22.42.
Cannot ignore that Kimhin have expansion in Australia, drop in oil price will help the cost of sales decrease and usd earning trading but because of the price now trading at PE22.4, I dont tink it is a good investment.
Just my own opinion. Im might be wrong. Trade at your own risk
KIMHIN result better than my blog's expectation !! Hurray !! 6:12PM KIMHIN Nine-month net profit 31.690 million (increased 51.30%) Revenue RM 91,817 Mil (Increase!) Net profit RM 9,945 Mil (increase!) EPS 6.79 cent ..woahhhhhh !
Interesting write up from Logic. Just wonder how you could visit the factory, are you related person to Chua? Instead of going up and up, my guess is KImHin will be privatised by Chua.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Logic Trading Analysis
189 posts
Posted by Logic Trading Analysis > 2015-11-23 23:42 | Report Abuse
you all did not do detail analysis. u will missed this train.