kc is right, margin call in stock investing was never for newbies and even experienced investors. The risks are too high for people who did not even earn big profits by using cash investing. But having said that margin investing is one useful leverage only when individual's own financial match his margin call, and when he knows what is he doing.
Certainly, CHina stock market bubble was caused by OVER margin/leverage as well. And many china people are now fear of it... My colleague from China had turned all his investment into bond and told everyone STOCK MARKET was cruel and dangerous... I can feel that he had totally lost all his confidence in stock market... Beware of leverage, avoid it as much as you can... Want quick money, just go Genting for quick bid! We invest, for long-term wealth.
Posted by bracoli > Feb 29, 2016 12:49 AM | Report Abuse Newbie like me use margin die lor... Need to sell house later.. Gg
Great comment bracoli, forced to sell house is nothing compared to this:
Posted by TAH > Feb 29, 2016 04:33 AM | Report Abuse History, got people jump from high rise building during market plunge because of Margin oh! Don't Play 2 Oh!
Jesse Livermore, perhaps the greatest stock market tycoon of all time, died on November 28, 1940, by his own hand, via a revolver bullet through the brain.
“The trick of successful investors is to sell when they want to, not when they have to.” Seth Klarman
I'm not very successful currently - infact only 2 months into the year already lost 10% n if the fella below really got crystal ball then i will be half dead - The other half Hopefully live to see a recovery of my paper losses so my trick to survival is to sell when my shares recovers n not when I'm forced to coz I dun have margin,OD nor ah long and ah leng coming after me when n if the mart falls further
PlsGiveBonus More bad news is coming Expect a Great Depression to come within near term 29/02/2016 16:33
When the market is with them, those who leveraged enjoy the highs. In fact, it can be so intoxicating, they may even leverage more without realising the true risks. However, the 1% of the time when the market is against them, they lose everything.
The only time I will leverage is when I have certainty of the outcome. However, these situations are rare and far in between. Arbitrage situations that are within your circle of competence and where you are certain of their outcomes, are those when you can leverage up safely, knowing there is safety of your capital with promise of big returns.
Actually using margin and not using margin the investment risk is the same.....don be mislead for avoiding margin all together. Especially in very low interest rate environment.
Fyi....a margin investor actually enjoy lower cost compare to cash equity investor loh.! For example margin cost is 5% pa, whereas epf cost is 6.4% pa loh...!!
U just need to manage the margin better loh....!! They are 3 points raider mentioned earlier, that u need to take note for using margin.
In this country You will be bankrupt if you cannot service as little as 20k loan When you are bankrupt you are not eligible for any financial loan for the rest of your life, include personal loan house loan car loan and any financial aids. All your daily purchase will need to report to your banker.
Posted by stockraider > Mar 1, 2016 10:51 AM | Report Abuse
Actually using margin and not using margin the investment risk is the same.....don be mislead for avoiding margin all together. Especially in very low interest rate environment.
USING MARGIN AND NOT USING MARGIN IN INVESTMENT IS THE SAME? YOU MUST BE KIDDING!
HAVE YOU CONSIDERED MARGIN CALL RISK, BANKRUPTCY RISK, EXAGGERATED LOSS RISK, SLEEPLESS NIGHTS RISK, STRESS RISK ETC?
Fyi....a margin investor actually enjoy lower cost compare to cash equity investor loh.! For example margin cost is 5% pa, whereas epf cost is 6.4% pa loh...!!
THE COST THE SAME? HAVE YOU CONSIDERED THE SETUP COST, COST OF MARGIN CALL, ETC?
U just need to manage the margin better loh....!! They are 3 points raider mentioned earlier, that u need to take note for using margin.
PLEASE RAISE YOUR "3 POINTS" HERE AND WE CAN DELIBERATE HERE.
What would be the result of lack of capital, lack of skill, and combine with the use of margin finance? RAIDER AGREE LACKED OF SKILL CAN BE TRAINED...BUT USING MARGIN FINANCING IS ALSO PART OF THE OVERALL INVESTMENT SKILL....SHOULD RAIDER SAY TRAINING INVESTOR TO MANAGE THEIR MARGIN IS ALSO PART OF THE INVESTMENT SKILL,,,PERHAPS RAIDER SAY IT IN A DIFFERENT WAY...IT CAN BE CONSIDER ADVANCE PART OF INVESTMENT LOH....!!
Still want to encourage youngsters to invest with margin finance? Yes, skill can be taught, but that guarantee the success in investing, especially in the short run? AS RAIDER SAY EARLIER...INVESTMENT IS NOT SHORT TERM....IT IS A LONG TERM PLAY....!! REMEMBER THIS ....SHARE PRICE IS A VOTING MACHINE IN THE SHORT TERM....THAT MEANS U UNABLE TO PREDICT ITS MOVEMENT IN SHORT TERM, BUT IN THE LONG TERM IT IS A WEIGHING MACHINE, THAT MEAN ITS VALUE CAN BE DETERMINE LOH...!!
If one uses margin finance, he has to be right, not only in the long run, but also in the short term. Otherwise any sharp fall in the market incurs short selling and capital can be wiped out easily. So a skilful investor guaranteed of short-term success in investing with margin finance? WHETHER PEOPLE USE MARGIN OR OWN MONIES TO INVEST...THEY NEED TO BE RIGHT IN THE LONG RUN...IF THEY ARE WRONG WEALTH WILL BE DESTROYED LOH....!!
DON'T FORGET, EVEN IF U INVEST USING YOUR OWN MONIES....U R EXPOSE TOO...SAME AS MARGIN LOH....!! U NEED TO MAKE HIGHER THAN UR OPPORTUNITY COST....!!
IN FACT SOMETIME IT IS BETTER TO USE MARGIN THAN UR OWN MONIES LOH...!! FOR EXAMPLE IF U LEAVE MONIES IN THE EPF...UR RATE RETURN IS 6.4% PA BUT IF U CAN BORROW USING MARGIN AT 5.4% PA, THEN IT IS BETTER FOR U TO BORROW LOH....!!
HAVING SAY THE ABOVE, AN INVESTOR NEED TO ON GUARD MORE ON MARGIN COMPARE WITH OWN MONIES.
1. WHEN SHORT TERM MOVEMENT MAY TRIGGER MARGIN CALL
2. THE BANK MAY CHANGE THE CAPPING VALUE OF YOUR SHARE, AGAIN THIS MAY REDUCE UR SECURITY..RESULTING THE RISK OF MARGIN CALL AND FORCE SELL.
3. THE BANK MAY COMPLETE DISALLOW THE VALUE OF YOUR SHARE PLEDGE, AGAIN THIS MAY TRIGGER A MARGIN CALL,
IN THE CASE OF A MARGIN INVESTOR...HE NEED TO BEAR IN MIND OF RISK ITEM 1 TO 3 COMPARE TO SHARE INVESTOR. OTHER THAN ITEM 1 TO 3....THE RISK OF CASH INVESTOR AND MARGIN INVESTOR ARE EXACTLY THE SAME.
SO IN ORDER TO USE MARGIN FINANCING U NEED TO MANAGE YOUR MARGIN RISK LOH....RAIDER WILL ELABORATE THIS LATER...!!
Posted by stockraider > Mar 1, 2016 02:53 PM | Report Abuse What would be the result of lack of capital, lack of skill, and combine with the use of margin finance? RAIDER AGREE LACKED OF SKILL CAN BE TRAINED...BUT USING MARGIN FINANCING IS ALSO PART OF THE OVERALL INVESTMENT SKILL....SHOULD RAIDER SAY TRAINING INVESTOR TO MANAGE THEIR MARGIN IS ALSO PART OF THE INVESTMENT SKILL,,,PERHAPS RAIDER SAY IT IN A DIFFERENT WAY...IT CAN BE CONSIDER ADVANCE PART OF INVESTMENT LOH....!! Me: Most young people can’t even handle the elementary part of the investment skill, so you want to training them the “advance” part, using margin financing? Would you want to train an aspiring pilot to fly now when he can’t even understand the instrumentations in the plane?
Still want to encourage youngsters to invest with margin finance? Yes, skill can be taught, but that guarantee the success in investing, especially in the short run? AS RAIDER SAY EARLIER...INVESTMENT IS NOT SHORT TERM....IT IS A LONG TERM PLAY....!! REMEMBER THIS ....SHARE PRICE IS A VOTING MACHINE IN THE SHORT TERM....THAT MEANS U UNABLE TO PREDICT ITS MOVEMENT IN SHORT TERM, BUT IN THE LONG TERM IT IS A WEIGHING MACHINE, THAT MEAN ITS VALUE CAN BE DETERMINE LOH...!!
Me: How can investing with margin finance to belong term when the change in share price can be more than 30% in less than two months as some of the stocks described in this thread, or even up to 50% in a year? Isn’t there high risk of margin call? Even there is no margin call, won’t youngsters subject to the high risk of losing 60% in a year like what have been described in this article?
If one uses margin finance, he has to be right, not only in the long run, but also in the short term. Otherwise any sharp fall in the market incurs short selling and capital can be wiped out easily. So a skilful investor guaranteed of short-term success in investing with margin finance? WHETHER PEOPLE USE MARGIN OR OWN MONIES TO INVEST...THEY NEED TO BE RIGHT IN THE LONG RUN...IF THEY ARE WRONG WEALTH WILL BE DESTROYED LOH....!!
Me: No, margin users not only have to be right in the short-term but have to right in the short-term too as described in this article. Genetic lost 48% of its share price within 3 months. 50% margin users would have lost everything.
DON'T FORGET, EVEN IF U INVEST USING YOUR OWN MONIES....U R EXPOSE TOO...SAME AS MARGIN LOH....!! U NEED TO MAKE HIGHER THAN UR OPPORTUNITY COST....!!
Me: I can withstand even short term losses, and I often do, but not necessary must be higher than opportunity cost. You are exposed to short-term margin call risks, besides higher return from your opportunity cost. Anyway, opportunity cost should not be the prime concern of a margin user. The high risk of margin calls and forced selling due to market volatility, which is very common, is the concern.
IN FACT SOMETIME IT IS BETTER TO USE MARGIN THAN UR OWN MONIES LOH...!! FOR EXAMPLE IF U LEAVE MONIES IN THE EPF...UR RATE RETURN IS 6.4% PA BUT IF U CAN BORROW USING MARGIN AT 5.4% PA, THEN IT IS BETTER FOR U TO BORROW LOH....!!
Me: Why do you compare with the return of EPF and use it as an opportunity cost? Why not from your FD, or Along? Do you also encourage youngsters to take up their safe EPF and reasonable return fixed income to invest in risky assets, not guaranteed of higher return?
HAVING SAY THE ABOVE, AN INVESTOR NEED TO ON GUARD MORE ON MARGIN COMPARE WITH OWN MONIES.
1. WHEN SHORT TERM MOVEMENT MAY TRIGGER MARGIN CALL
2. THE BANK MAY CHANGE THE CAPPING VALUE OF YOUR SHARE, AGAIN THIS MAY REDUCE UR SECURITY..RESULTING THE RISK OF MARGIN CALL AND FORCE SELL.
3. THE BANK MAY COMPLETE DISALLOW THE VALUE OF YOUR SHARE PLEDGE, AGAIN THIS MAY TRIGGER A MARGIN CALL,
IN THE CASE OF A MARGIN INVESTOR...HE NEED TO BEAR IN MIND OF RISK ITEM 1 TO 3 COMPARE TO SHARE INVESTOR. OTHER THAN ITEM 1 TO 3....THE RISK OF CASH INVESTOR AND MARGIN INVESTOR ARE EXACTLY THE SAME.
SO IN ORDER TO USE MARGIN FINANCING U NEED TO MANAGE YOUR MARGIN RISK LOH....RAIDER WILL ELABORATE THIS LATER...!!
Me: So you do see the high risk of margin finance from your above statement. Aren’t they any concern to youngsters? Why still encourage and want to train youngsters to use it in the first place? Let us hear how you manage them.
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
PlsGiveBonus
3,749 posts
Posted by PlsGiveBonus > 2016-02-28 18:24 | Report Abuse
Margin call is one of the best approach to catch the falling knife.